🐻⬇️🏀

Biola

Also known as: Biola
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1017 (#166) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 990 (#196) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → +10.5 (#81) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.618 (#275) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +4.7 More → 0.623 (#160) NetEff +4.7
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +7.4 More → 0.701 (#298) AdjNet +7.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +7.7 More → 0.711 (#296) AdjNet +7.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 80.1 | AdjD 73.5 More → 0.645 (#278) AdjO 80.1 | AdjD 73.5

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-08 @ Cal St. San Marcos W 65 - 57
2024-11-09 vs Cal State LA W 83 - 71
2024-11-14 vs CSUSB L 63 - 68
2024-11-16 @ Cal Poly Pomona W 83 - 79
2024-11-23 vs La Sierra W 76 - 49
2024-11-25 vs Stanton W 98 - 68
2024-11-30 @ La Sierra W 86 - 61
2024-12-04 vs CUI W 81 - 75
2024-12-07 @ Fresno Pacific W 81 - 65
2024-12-11 @ Point Loma L 67 - 82
2024-12-14 @ Vanguard W 74 - 71
2024-12-20 vs Northwest Nazarene L 68 - 80
2025-01-02 vs Academy of Art L 67 - 82
2025-01-04 vs Jessup W 87 - 74
2025-01-10 @ Chaminade W 88 - 81
2025-01-12 @ Hawaii Hilo L 82 - 87
2025-01-16 vs Point Loma L 70 - 76
2025-01-18 vs Dominican (CA) W 86 - 73
2025-01-23 vs Chaminade W 92 - 72
2025-01-25 vs Hawaii Pacific W 77 - 61
2025-01-29 @ Westmont W 89 - 82
2025-02-01 vs Azusa Pacific W 76 - 68
2025-02-06 @ Menlo W 87 - 72
2025-02-08 @ Dominican (CA) W 72 - 65
2025-02-12 @ CUI W 91 - 76
2025-02-15 vs Vanguard W 74 - 71
2025-02-22 vs Westmont W 74 - 70
2025-02-27 @ Azusa Pacific W 77 - 72
2025-03-07 vs Academy of Art L 66 - 67
2025-03-14 vs CSUSB L 77 - 88

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jaden Lazo - 1 31.0 18.0 4.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 13.0 11.0 - - - 53.8 37.5 100.0 - 67.0 65.4
Casey Cappo - 29 29.2 15.7 6.7 1.2 0.6 1.1 1.6 11.1 12.5 -89 -3.3 -12.6 49.2 40.6 72.5 0.6 58.4 53.6
Davian Brown - 29 32.4 15.6 5.0 2.5 1.2 0.2 2.0 11.2 11.2 -83 -3.0 -11.4 44.3 34.9 87.5 0.08 59.1 52.2
Daniel Esparza - 28 32.6 14.8 4.3 2.5 1.2 0.2 2.0 11.5 9.5 -87 -3.1 -11.8 47.5 40.1 71.2 0.34 58.3 56.1
Kyjuan Cannady - 1 29.0 14.0 5.0 6.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 9.0 19.0 - - - 66.7 100.0 0 - 77.8 77.8
Corey Cofield II - 1 27.0 14.0 10.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 4.0 9.0 15.0 - - - 55.6 50.0 100.0 - 67.8 61.1
Kris Krause - 1 27.0 14.0 10.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 4.0 9.0 15.0 - - - 55.6 50.0 100.0 - 67.8 61.1
Erik Howlin - 28 28.8 12.2 4.4 1.9 1.4 0.5 1.4 8.7 10.2 -100 -4.0 -16.3 50.6 36.6 77.4 0.11 60.9 56.8
Nathan Medina - 13 23.1 11.2 2.9 1.5 0.5 0.2 1.2 9.2 5.9 -57 -3.6 -19.0 41.7 36.2 87.5 -0.02 55.9 52.1
Dominic Escobar - 1 30.0 8.0 3.0 1.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 12.0 4.0 - - - 25.0 33.3 50.0 - 31.1 29.2
Julien Franklin - 24 16.5 5.2 3.0 1.4 0.5 0.3 0.8 4.6 5.0 32 2.1 19.4 43.2 20.0 69.7 -0.04 50.2 46.4
Shane Bell - 1 32.0 5.0 3.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 5.0 3.0 - - - 40.0 0.0 20.0 - 34.7 40.0
Devin Ringer - 1 13.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 0.0 - - - 33.3 20.0 0.0 - 36.3 41.7
Chris Harris - 27 15.9 4.4 2.2 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.5 3.8 3.4 -175 -3.4 -24.3 41.2 35.6 60.0 -0.13 51.2 49.0
Facundo Aranda - 29 15.6 4.0 2.1 1.2 0.9 0.0 0.9 3.4 4.0 -27 -1.2 -9.5 34.7 31.6 85.7 0.54 51.1 43.9
Chasen Stewart - 1 10.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 4.0 0.0 - - - 50.0 0.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Michael Pearson, Jr. - 1 8.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 -1.0 -3 -0.6 -12.3 20.0 33.3 0 0.8 30.0 30.0
Garrison Sherman - 29 10.3 1.7 2.2 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.3 1.7 3.2 -30 -1.5 -24.1 42.0 16.0 30.8 -0.16 44.9 46.0
Hunter Ruck - 26 6.2 0.8 1.8 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.8 2.1 23 1.9 49.4 36.4 0 66.7 -0.57 42.4 36.4
Scott McDowell - 29 2.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0 0.0 0.0 33.3 0 0 -1.24 33.3 33.3
Raphael Gay - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Robin Kniss - 1 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Connor Scales - 1 12.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 2.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Martin Zarzuela - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jonah Alvarez - 10 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Jaden Penberthy - 8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Tyus Parrish-Tillman - 4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jet Pokossy - 4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Brendan Mora - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Mikah Tolpezninkas - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG