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Bethune-Cookman

2026-2027 Team Stats (4 games)

71.0
PPG
85.5
Opp
-14.5
Margin
42.5%
FG%
37.7%
3P%
70.0%
FT%
30.5
RPG
9.0
APG
14.5
TO
71.7
Est. poss./game
73.3
Adj PPG
73.6
Adj Opp PPG
#161
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 955 (returning production + recruiting): last season 933, returning +16, transfers +26, freshmen -20 More โ†’ 916 (#185) Preseason prior 955 (returning production + recruiting): last season 933, returning +16, transfers +26, freshmen -20
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +206 elo More โ†’ 944 (#215) HCA +206 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +205 elo More โ†’ 945 (#216) HCA +205 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More โ†’ +3.8 (#121) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.2 More โ†’ +3.8 (#121) HCA +2.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.240 (#270) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -3.2 More โ†’ 0.449 (#183) AdjNet -3.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -2.3 More โ†’ 0.461 (#176) AdjNet -2.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 73.3 | AdjD 73.6 More โ†’ 0.488 (#161) AdjO 73.3 | AdjD 73.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 73.4 | AdjD 73.6 More โ†’ 0.488 (#162) AdjO 73.4 | AdjD 73.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.457 (#175) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.457 (#175) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 181 | GP 4 More โ†’ 906 (#246) RD 181 | GP 4
Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. Chronological component blend with rest and venue. More โ†’ 0.475 (#156) Chronological component blend with rest and venue.

Rank through the season

League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.

Recency Ensemble Log Adjusted Elo Points Off/Def Recency

2026-2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-02 vs Furman Paladins L 70 - 79
2026-11-05 @ Texas Tech Red Raiders L 58 - 76
2026-11-07 @ Grand Canyon Lopes L 81 - 99
2026-11-11 @ San Diego State Aztecs L 75 - 88
2026-11-15 vs Paine Lions - Preview
2026-11-18 @ Creighton Bluejays - Preview

2026-2027 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions and box-score rates; an unlisted position is inferred from those rates, and missing rates are treated as zero. Legend numbers are each player's share of recorded roster minutes, scaled to five players' regulation minutes; they can differ from minutes per game in the roster below, especially when players miss games or coverage is incomplete. Each position column totals one regulation game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Daniel Rouzan Daniel Rouzan F 3 20.0 10.3 2.0 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.3 7.3 6.0 -21 2 -10.5 -23.0 59.1 50.0 75.0 -0.19 65.2 63.6
Mari Jordan Mari Jordan G 4 20.8 9.8 2.8 0.2 0.8 0.5 1.8 6.2 6.0 -20 2 -10.0 -24.3 56.0 45.5 54.5 -1.07 65.3 66.0
Jameel Morris Jameel Morris PG 4 21.2 9.5 2.5 1.2 1.2 0.0 1.0 6.0 7.5 -17 2 -8.5 -19.0 41.7 42.9 88.2 -0.04 60.4 47.9
Jaylen Jones Jaylen Jones G 4 22.2 9.2 3.0 3.0 0.5 0.2 2.0 7.2 6.8 -21 2 -10.5 -18.4 41.4 40.0 100.0 -1.57 56.1 48.3
Quentin Heady Quentin Heady F 4 19.5 7.8 2.2 0.2 0.8 0.2 1.5 6.2 3.5 -20 2 -10.0 -19.9 40.0 0.0 64.7 -1.39 47.7 40.0
Daniel Johnson Daniel Johnson G 4 25.0 7.2 4.8 0.8 1.0 0.0 1.8 7.8 4.2 -17 2 -8.5 -17.8 38.7 45.5 0 -0.58 46.8 46.8
Connor Teasley Connor Teasley G 4 17.8 7.2 2.2 0.2 0.5 0.0 0.8 6.5 3.0 -18 2 -9.0 -14.3 30.8 21.4 76.9 -0.61 45.7 36.5
Kevin Patton Jr. Kevin Patton Jr. G 3 22.3 5.7 3.3 1.3 1.0 1.0 1.7 5.0 5.7 -14 2 -7.0 -13.2 46.7 40.0 50.0 0.05 53.5 53.3
Vuk Boskovic Vuk Boskovic F 4 25.2 5.2 3.8 1.5 0.5 0.2 2.0 5.2 4.0 -10 2 -5.0 -8.7 33.3 38.5 33.3 -0.21 44.4 45.2
IJ Ezuma IJ Ezuma F 4 10.5 2.8 2.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 1.0 1.5 3.2 -6 2 -3.0 -19.0 50.0 0 71.4 -0.79 60.6 50.0
Melian Martinez Melian Martinez C 3 8.0 0.3 1.3 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.7 1.3 -16 2 -8.0 -32.7 0.0 0 25.0 -1.02 13.3 0.0
Karmello Branch Karmello Branch G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Kollen Murphy Kollen Murphy G 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Kallai Patton Kallai Patton G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Jared Smith Jared Smith F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2026-2027 Shot Zones

226 located field-goal attempts in 4 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Rouzan27% Heady32% Teasley33% Johnson33% Rouzan22% Patton100% Morris20% Jones29% Johnson36%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Jones24% Heady31% Johnson29% Johnson50% Johnson21% Jordan40% Teasley33% Teasley30% Teasley18% Teasley22%
Misses: who misses most here

Mari JordanDaniel JohnsonDaniel RouzanJaylen JonesJameel MorrisQuentin HeadyConnor TeasleyKevin Patton Jr.

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 30-47 63.8 60 Daniel Rouzan 27% (16 pts) Mari Jordan 13% (8 pts) Jaylen Jones 24% (4 misses) Daniel Johnson 18% (3 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 22-57 38.6 44 Quentin Heady 32% (14 pts) Daniel Johnson 14% (6 pts) Quentin Heady 31% (11 misses) Daniel Rouzan 11% (4 misses)
Mid-range left 3-10 30.0 6 Connor Teasley 33% (2 pts) Daniel Rouzan 33% (2 pts) Daniel Johnson 29% (2 misses) Kevin Patton Jr. 29% (2 misses)
Mid-range center 3-7 42.9 6 Daniel Johnson 33% (2 pts) Jaylen Jones 33% (2 pts) Daniel Johnson 50% (2 misses) Mari Jordan 25% (1 misses)
Mid-range right 9-28 32.1 18 Daniel Rouzan 22% (4 pts) Jaylen Jones 22% (4 pts) Daniel Johnson 21% (4 misses) Jameel Morris 16% (3 misses)
Left corner 3 0-5 0.0 0 - - Mari Jordan 40% (2 misses) Jaylen Jones 20% (1 misses)
Right corner 3 1-4 25.0 3 Kevin Patton Jr. 100% (3 pts) - Connor Teasley 33% (1 misses) Daniel Johnson 33% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 left 10-30 33.3 30 Jameel Morris 20% (6 pts) Jaylen Jones 20% (6 pts) Connor Teasley 30% (6 misses) Vuk Boskovic 20% (4 misses)
Above-break 3 center 7-18 38.9 21 Jaylen Jones 29% (6 pts) Vuk Boskovic 29% (6 pts) Connor Teasley 18% (2 misses) Daniel Johnson 18% (2 misses)
Above-break 3 right 11-20 55.0 33 Daniel Johnson 36% (12 pts) Mari Jordan 27% (9 pts) Connor Teasley 22% (2 misses) Daniel Johnson 22% (2 misses)