Bethesda (CA)
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 981 (#273) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 929 (#335) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -24.5 (#376) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.004 (#728) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.014 (#653) | AdjNet -36.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.012 (#657) | AdjNet -36.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.080 (#670) | AdjO 57.4 | AdjD 84.3 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-12 | @ | Caltech | L | 46 - 71 |
| 2025-01-07 | @ | Cal Lutheran | L | 66 - 78 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Makaia Smith | - | 2 | 35.5 | 18.5 | 10.5 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 4.5 | 12.0 | 17.0 | 112 | 4.5 | 3.8 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 57.1 | 0.48 | 55.7 | 52.1 |
| Ivori Scott | - | 1 | 34.0 | 17.0 | 16.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 14.0 | 18.0 | 19 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 57.1 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.13 | 57.1 | 57.1 |
| Alex Buckley | - | 2 | 37.5 | 11.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 14.0 | -0.5 | - | - | - | 28.6 | 22.2 | 28.6 | -0.08 | 35.4 | 35.7 |
| Danielle Roberts | - | 1 | 38.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | -0.11 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Samantha Ballantyne | - | 2 | 28.5 | 7.0 | 5.0 | 4.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5 | 8.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 0.0 | 66.7 | - | 35.1 | 25.0 |
| Ivory Scott | - | 1 | 30.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | -5.0 | 19 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 22.2 | 0 | 0 | 0.3 | 22.2 | 22.2 |
| Jacqueline Aguilar | - | 2 | 21.0 | 2.5 | 7.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 5.5 | - | - | - | 14.3 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 25.9 | 14.3 |
| Jordan McCanless | - | 1 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 25.8 | 0.0 |
| Selene Romero | - | 2 | 10.5 | 0.0 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.5 | -0.5 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Serina Quezada | - | 2 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | -1.5 | 75 | 2.9 | 3.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Kiella Castello | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Malo Faalaulau | - | 2 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Sierra Hill | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Xyamiyia Miller | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Kiana Castello | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Aaliyah Carter | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG