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Bethel (MN)

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: Bethel (MN)
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 939 (#484) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 909 (#480) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 996 (#487) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -14.4 (#305) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -11.6 (#556) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.315 (#583) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -12.0 More → 0.202 (#537) AdjNet -12.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -12.2 More → 0.194 (#539) AdjNet -12.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 72.3 | AdjD 81.3 More → 0.306 (#538) AdjO 72.3 | AdjD 81.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 73.6 | AdjD 78.4 More → 0.392 (#588) AdjO 73.6 | AdjD 78.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.292 (#582) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.311 (#579) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 94 | GP 22 More → 979 (#410) RD 94 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-08 @ North Central (MN) W 89 - 86
2025-11-16 vs Augustana (IL) L 53 - 87
2025-11-18 @ Wis.-Parkside L 61 - 95
2025-11-22 @ Buena Vista L 78 - 83
2025-11-25 vs Wis.-Eau Claire L 52 - 68
2025-12-03 vs Macalester W 74 - 67
2025-12-06 @ Crown (MN) W 89 - 87
2025-12-10 @ Augsburg L 64 - 72
2025-12-13 @ Martin Luther L 83 - 88
2025-12-20 @ Wis.-Superior W 73 - 66
2025-12-30 vs Simpson L 68 - 82
2026-01-03 @ Gustavus Adolphus L 62 - 97
2026-01-07 vs Saint Mary's (MN) W 85 - 83
2026-01-10 vs Carleton W 93 - 81
2026-01-14 vs St. Olaf L 68 - 78
2026-01-17 @ St. Scholastica L 73 - 93
2026-01-21 vs Saint John's (MN) W 81 - 63
2026-01-24 vs Concordia-M'head L 74 - 79
2026-01-28 @ Macalester W 78 - 70
2026-01-31 @ Saint Mary's (MN) W 77 - 58
2026-02-04 @ St. Olaf L 82 - 96
2026-02-07 vs St. Scholastica W 85 - 70

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Nick Burke - 21 33.1 16.9 6.2 2.9 0.7 0.2 2.9 11.2 12.8 -55 -3.1 -11.7 45.5 35.1 79.7 1.2 60.9 53.8
Blake Schmitz - 18 31.7 14.6 4.7 1.7 1.3 0.6 1.8 11.3 9.8 -61 -3.6 -15.9 49.8 40.0 75.0 4.26 59.4 57.1
Sam Gingras - 21 25.9 10.7 3.3 1.7 0.7 0.5 1.8 7.8 7.3 -28 -1.5 -7.3 53.4 27.5 83.0 -0.18 61.0 56.7
Jay Neubert - 17 28.0 10.7 2.8 1.6 0.7 0.2 1.0 9.6 5.4 -50 -3.1 -15.5 38.7 27.1 67.3 -1.4 49.3 45.7
Jack Charbonneau - 22 22.8 9.1 5.3 1.2 0.5 0.4 1.1 6.7 8.6 -56 -2.9 -16.7 56.8 15.8 66.7 -2.86 59.9 57.8
Adam Mattes - 22 21.6 6.3 2.8 1.0 0.2 0.1 1.0 5.9 3.6 -111 -5.8 -36.5 43.4 33.3 42.9 -1.04 50.3 50.4
AJ Kaul - 20 17.1 4.7 1.2 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.6 3.9 2.4 -45 -2.6 -23.7 37.2 36.5 81.8 0.69 56.7 54.5
JT Schradle - 14 12.5 2.8 1.9 1.0 0.1 0.1 1.1 2.7 2.1 -10 -0.9 -14.4 42.1 25.0 66.7 1.65 48.0 46.1
Caleb Rosendahl - 22 18.1 2.6 3.1 1.4 0.4 0.0 1.3 2.2 4.0 -60 -3.2 -26.2 46.9 41.7 37.5 -2.72 50.9 52.0
Evan Murray - 16 6.6 2.4 1.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.6 1.9 -19 -1.5 -25.7 44.0 37.5 78.6 -0.03 62.6 56.0
Jack Rosendahl - 11 5.0 1.5 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.7 0.6 -18 -2.0 -47.2 26.3 25.0 57.1 -2.46 36.2 31.6
Dominic Zoa - 4 3.5 1.2 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.8 1.2 - - - 0.0 0 83.3 - 44.3 0.0
Soren Leafblad - 8 1.7 1.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.9 4 0.7 48.7 75.0 75.0 0 -0.49 112.5 112.5
Evan Strand - 14 7.5 0.6 1.4 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.6 0.9 1.5 -1 -0.1 -1.9 23.1 0.0 60.0 -1.12 29.6 23.1
Micah Strand - 6 1.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 -1 -0.2 -28.9 0 0 50.0 -0.46 56.8 0
Luke Jacobson - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -15 -1.4 -103.4 0 0 0 -0.98 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG