Bethel (MN)
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1017 (#332) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 953 (#434) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 996 (#487) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -10.5 (#347) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -11.6 (#556) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.315 (#583) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.202 (#537) | AdjNet -12.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.194 (#539) | AdjNet -12.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.306 (#538) | AdjO 72.3 | AdjD 81.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.392 (#588) | AdjO 73.6 | AdjD 78.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.292 (#582) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.311 (#580) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 974 (#404) | RD 94 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | @ | North Central (MN) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-16 | vs | Augustana (IL) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-18 | @ | Wis.-Parkside | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Buena Vista | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Wis.-Eau Claire | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Macalester | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Crown (MN) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-10 | @ | Augsburg | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Martin Luther | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Wis.-Superior | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-30 | vs | Simpson | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Gustavus Adolphus | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-07 | vs | Saint Mary's (MN) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Carleton | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | St. Olaf | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | St. Scholastica | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Saint John's (MN) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Concordia-M'head | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Macalester | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Saint Mary's (MN) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | St. Olaf | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | St. Scholastica | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Burke | - | 20 | 33.4 | 17.1 | 6.2 | 3.0 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 2.8 | 11.1 | 13.3 | -55 | -3.1 | -11.7 | 46.6 | 35.3 | 79.8 | 2.55 | 61.9 | 54.8 |
| Blake Schmitz | - | 18 | 31.7 | 14.6 | 4.7 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 11.3 | 9.8 | -61 | -3.6 | -15.9 | 49.8 | 40.0 | 75.0 | -0.93 | 59.4 | 57.1 |
| Sam Gingras | - | 20 | 25.9 | 10.8 | 3.4 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 7.8 | 7.3 | -28 | -1.5 | -7.3 | 53.5 | 28.2 | 82.2 | 2.35 | 61.1 | 57.0 |
| Jay Neubert | - | 17 | 28.0 | 10.7 | 2.8 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 9.6 | 5.4 | -50 | -3.1 | -15.5 | 38.7 | 27.1 | 67.3 | -3.77 | 49.3 | 45.7 |
| Jack Charbonneau | - | 21 | 23.1 | 9.5 | 5.4 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 7.0 | 8.8 | -56 | -2.9 | -16.7 | 57.1 | 16.7 | 68.3 | 0.37 | 60.3 | 58.2 |
| Adam Mattes | - | 21 | 21.5 | 6.4 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 5.9 | 3.7 | -111 | -5.8 | -36.5 | 43.9 | 34.0 | 42.9 | -2.85 | 51.0 | 51.2 |
| AJ Kaul | - | 19 | 17.3 | 4.7 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 3.9 | 2.4 | -45 | -2.6 | -23.7 | 37.8 | 36.6 | 77.8 | 0.04 | 57.1 | 55.4 |
| Caleb Rosendahl | - | 21 | 17.9 | 2.5 | 3.1 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 2.2 | 4.0 | -60 | -3.2 | -26.2 | 46.8 | 36.4 | 28.6 | -4.08 | 48.9 | 51.1 |
| JT Schradle | - | 13 | 12.2 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 2.4 | 2.2 | -10 | -0.9 | -14.4 | 41.9 | 20.0 | 66.7 | 0.62 | 47.6 | 45.2 |
| Evan Murray | - | 15 | 6.3 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 1.8 | -19 | -1.5 | -25.7 | 42.9 | 33.3 | 75.0 | 0.09 | 59.0 | 52.4 |
| Soren Leafblad | - | 7 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 4 | 0.7 | 48.7 | 75.0 | 75.0 | 0 | - | 112.5 | 112.5 |
| Jack Rosendahl | - | 10 | 4.5 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 1.6 | 0.7 | -18 | -2.0 | -47.2 | 25.0 | 14.3 | 66.7 | -0.66 | 34.9 | 28.1 |
| Evan Strand | - | 13 | 6.9 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 1.3 | -1 | -0.1 | -1.9 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 60.0 | -0.88 | 31.7 | 25.0 |
| Micah Strand | - | 5 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | -1 | -0.2 | -28.9 | 0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 56.8 | 0 |
| Dominic Zoa | - | 3 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | -0.3 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Luke Jacobson | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -15 | -1.4 | -103.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG