๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

Bethany Lutheran

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1002 (#174) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +62 elo More โ†’ 1012 (#166) HCA +62 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More โ†’ 990 (#189) HCA +62 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +1.6 More โ†’ -5.1 (#257) HCA +1.6
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +1.6 More โ†’ -5.3 (#259) HCA +1.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.332 (#245) -
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 71.9 | AdjD 82.5 More โ†’ 0.416 (#244) AdjO 71.9 | AdjD 82.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.9 | AdjD 82.5 More โ†’ 0.402 (#265) AdjO 71.9 | AdjD 82.5
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 195 | GP 2 More โ†’ 984 (#186) RD 195 | GP 2

2026-2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-06 @ WashU L 69 - 90
2026-11-07 vs Transylvania L 74 - 89

2026-2027 Roster

No roster data available for this season.