Berry
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 951 (#466) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 895 (#500) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 956 (#593) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -9.3 (#249) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -8.1 (#496) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.656 (#361) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.481 (#359) | AdjNet -0.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.479 (#355) | AdjNet -0.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.482 (#362) | AdjO 75.7 | AdjD 76.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.422 (#550) | AdjO 71.1 | AdjD 74.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.319 (#564) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.336 (#560) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 927 (#457) | RD 102 | GP 20 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | vs | Centenary (LA) | W | 77 - 55 |
| 2025-11-08 | vs | Maryville (TN) | L | 53 - 68 |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Asbury | W | 72 - 60 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Transylvania | L | 68 - 70 |
| 2025-11-18 | vs | Covenant | W | 97 - 88 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Hanover | L | 65 - 82 |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Oglethorpe | L | 78 - 83 |
| 2025-12-07 | @ | Emory | L | 65 - 90 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | LaGrange | W | 66 - 63 |
| 2025-12-17 | vs | Belhaven | L | 70 - 90 |
| 2025-12-29 | @ | Spalding | L | 67 - 68 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Belhaven | L | 68 - 83 |
| 2026-01-09 | @ | Southwestern (TX) | W | 79 - 77 |
| 2026-01-11 | @ | Trinity (TX) | L | 66 - 87 |
| 2026-01-16 | vs | Centre | W | 63 - 62 |
| 2026-01-18 | vs | Sewanee | L | 72 - 82 |
| 2026-01-23 | vs | Oglethorpe | W | 92 - 75 |
| 2026-01-30 | vs | Millsaps | W | 77 - 69 |
| 2026-02-01 | vs | Rhodes | L | 68 - 80 |
| 2026-02-06 | @ | Centre | L | 77 - 82 |
| 2026-02-08 | @ | Sewanee | L | 0 - 0 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nile King | - | 9 | 27.4 | 13.4 | 7.4 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 1.6 | 11.7 | 10.7 | -14 | -1.4 | -10.2 | 48.6 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 1.1 | 51.6 | 51.0 |
| Cameron Pope | - | 19 | 26.0 | 13.2 | 4.2 | 3.1 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 2.5 | 11.6 | 7.5 | 79 | 4.0 | 21.8 | 47.5 | 24.0 | 45.5 | 3.68 | 49.2 | 48.9 |
| Parker Gonzalez | - | 1 | 24.0 | 13.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 11.0 | -1 | -0.1 | -0.5 | 80.0 | 0 | 71.4 | -0.06 | 80.4 | 80.0 |
| Kani Rashied-Henry | - | 1 | 33.0 | 13.0 | 7.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 | 17.0 | 58 | 4.1 | 19.2 | 60.0 | 0.0 | 20.0 | 5.83 | 53.3 | 60.0 |
| Drew Winegarden | - | 19 | 27.1 | 9.8 | 2.9 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 7.9 | 6.2 | 21 | 1.1 | 5.6 | 40.4 | 36.4 | 85.7 | 0.56 | 56.9 | 53.6 |
| Austen Colton | - | 1 | 10.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 54 | 4.2 | 24.9 | 30.0 | 25.0 | 0 | 2.47 | 40.0 | 40.0 |
| Canon Armstead | - | 19 | 18.5 | 6.6 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 4.7 | 4.5 | 55 | 2.8 | 18.9 | 41.6 | 36.5 | 87.9 | 0.97 | 60.9 | 54.5 |
| Isaac Martin | - | 18 | 23.8 | 6.6 | 2.8 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 5.9 | 4.3 | 80 | 4.2 | 21.1 | 32.7 | 28.0 | 89.7 | -1.33 | 49.7 | 43.5 |
| Mason Lawrence | - | 19 | 19.1 | 6.2 | 5.4 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 4.3 | 7.9 | 57 | 2.9 | 19.2 | 64.2 | 0 | 56.5 | 1.15 | 64.2 | 64.2 |
| Ryan Luttrell | - | 19 | 16.7 | 6.2 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 5.5 | 2.4 | -45 | -2.4 | -12.2 | 40.0 | 39.1 | 88.9 | -1.99 | 53.7 | 51.9 |
| Chadan Hamiliton | - | 1 | 30.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 | 14 | 1.8 | 49.0 | 66.7 | 66.7 | 0 | -1.67 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Micah McAllister | - | 1 | 22.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 9.0 | 132 | 8.2 | 40.6 | 12.5 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.42 | 30.7 | 12.5 |
| Grant Stubbs | - | 18 | 13.6 | 5.4 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 3.8 | 4.2 | 30 | 1.7 | 24.2 | 42.0 | 34.9 | 80.6 | -1.07 | 59.3 | 52.9 |
| Trenton Dillard | - | 1 | 16.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | -8 | -0.5 | -3.6 | 100.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -3.0 | 86.8 | 100.0 |
| Isaac Plavich | - | 19 | 10.7 | 4.7 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 4.5 | 1.3 | 2 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 34.9 | 25.5 | 68.2 | 1.35 | 46.5 | 43.0 |
| Bennett Frazer | - | 19 | 16.7 | 4.1 | 4.7 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 4.2 | 4.3 | -17 | -0.9 | -7.6 | 42.5 | 14.3 | 75.0 | 0.12 | 45.7 | 43.1 |
| Chase Lamey | - | 11 | 5.3 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 2.1 | 0.5 | -7 | -0.6 | -17.9 | 34.8 | 30.8 | 100.0 | 0.63 | 47.3 | 43.5 |
| Catfish Battle | - | 1 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | -53 | -4.1 | -57.4 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -4.52 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Will Smith | - | 11 | 7.6 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 2.0 | 3.4 | -6 | -0.5 | -10.2 | 31.8 | 25.0 | 42.9 | -1.71 | 37.3 | 34.1 |
| Khamani Paxton | - | 8 | 7.6 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 1.2 | -10 | -1.2 | -36.7 | 35.7 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0.02 | 41.6 | 42.9 |
| Ethan Morgan | - | 12 | 8.3 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.9 | 1.2 | -3 | -0.2 | -7.6 | 17.4 | 20.0 | 0.0 | -0.96 | 23.0 | 23.9 |
| Cameron Hewling | - | 6 | 2.9 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 2 | 0.3 | 11.9 | 40.0 | 50.0 | 0 | 0.57 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Jace Herrell | - | 1 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 87 | 5.4 | 40.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.04 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG