🐻⬇️🏀

Berry

Also known as: Berry
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 951 (#466) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 895 (#500) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 956 (#593) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -9.3 (#249) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -8.1 (#496) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.656 (#361) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -0.7 More → 0.481 (#359) AdjNet -0.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -0.7 More → 0.479 (#355) AdjNet -0.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 75.7 | AdjD 76.5 More → 0.482 (#362) AdjO 75.7 | AdjD 76.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.1 | AdjD 74.6 More → 0.422 (#550) AdjO 71.1 | AdjD 74.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.319 (#564) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.336 (#560) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 102 | GP 20 More → 927 (#457) RD 102 | GP 20

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 vs Centenary (LA) W 77 - 55
2025-11-08 vs Maryville (TN) L 53 - 68
2025-11-14 @ Asbury W 72 - 60
2025-11-15 @ Transylvania L 68 - 70
2025-11-18 vs Covenant W 97 - 88
2025-11-22 vs Hanover L 65 - 82
2025-12-03 @ Oglethorpe L 78 - 83
2025-12-07 @ Emory L 65 - 90
2025-12-13 @ LaGrange W 66 - 63
2025-12-17 vs Belhaven L 70 - 90
2025-12-29 @ Spalding L 67 - 68
2026-01-03 @ Belhaven L 68 - 83
2026-01-09 @ Southwestern (TX) W 79 - 77
2026-01-11 @ Trinity (TX) L 66 - 87
2026-01-16 vs Centre W 63 - 62
2026-01-18 vs Sewanee L 72 - 82
2026-01-23 vs Oglethorpe W 92 - 75
2026-01-30 vs Millsaps W 77 - 69
2026-02-01 vs Rhodes L 68 - 80
2026-02-06 @ Centre L 77 - 82
2026-02-08 @ Sewanee L 0 - 0

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Nile King - 9 27.4 13.4 7.4 1.9 0.8 0.3 1.6 11.7 10.7 -14 -1.4 -10.2 48.6 33.3 50.0 1.1 51.6 51.0
Cameron Pope - 19 26.0 13.2 4.2 3.1 1.0 0.1 2.5 11.6 7.5 79 4.0 21.8 47.5 24.0 45.5 3.68 49.2 48.9
Parker Gonzalez - 1 24.0 13.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 5.0 11.0 -1 -0.1 -0.5 80.0 0 71.4 -0.06 80.4 80.0
Kani Rashied-Henry - 1 33.0 13.0 7.0 5.0 0.0 5.0 3.0 10.0 17.0 58 4.1 19.2 60.0 0.0 20.0 5.83 53.3 60.0
Drew Winegarden - 19 27.1 9.8 2.9 1.9 0.8 0.0 1.3 7.9 6.2 21 1.1 5.6 40.4 36.4 85.7 0.56 56.9 53.6
Austen Colton - 1 10.0 8.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 10.0 0.0 54 4.2 24.9 30.0 25.0 0 2.47 40.0 40.0
Canon Armstead - 19 18.5 6.6 1.9 0.8 0.6 0.2 1.1 4.7 4.5 55 2.8 18.9 41.6 36.5 87.9 0.97 60.9 54.5
Isaac Martin - 18 23.8 6.6 2.8 1.4 0.7 0.0 1.2 5.9 4.3 80 4.2 21.1 32.7 28.0 89.7 -1.33 49.7 43.5
Mason Lawrence - 19 19.1 6.2 5.4 0.7 0.6 0.4 1.0 4.3 7.9 57 2.9 19.2 64.2 0 56.5 1.15 64.2 64.2
Ryan Luttrell - 19 16.7 6.2 1.6 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.9 5.5 2.4 -45 -2.4 -12.2 40.0 39.1 88.9 -1.99 53.7 51.9
Chadan Hamiliton - 1 30.0 6.0 5.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 10.0 14 1.8 49.0 66.7 66.7 0 -1.67 100.0 100.0
Micah McAllister - 1 22.0 6.0 6.0 2.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 8.0 9.0 132 8.2 40.6 12.5 0.0 100.0 0.42 30.7 12.5
Grant Stubbs - 18 13.6 5.4 2.7 0.7 0.3 0.1 1.3 3.8 4.2 30 1.7 24.2 42.0 34.9 80.6 -1.07 59.3 52.9
Trenton Dillard - 1 16.0 5.0 5.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 7.0 -8 -0.5 -3.6 100.0 0 50.0 -3.0 86.8 100.0
Isaac Plavich - 19 10.7 4.7 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.1 1.1 4.5 1.3 2 0.1 0.9 34.9 25.5 68.2 1.35 46.5 43.0
Bennett Frazer - 19 16.7 4.1 4.7 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.8 4.2 4.3 -17 -0.9 -7.6 42.5 14.3 75.0 0.12 45.7 43.1
Chase Lamey - 11 5.3 2.1 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.3 2.1 0.5 -7 -0.6 -17.9 34.8 30.8 100.0 0.63 47.3 43.5
Catfish Battle - 1 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 -53 -4.1 -57.4 50.0 0.0 0 -4.52 50.0 50.0
Will Smith - 11 7.6 1.9 2.3 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.1 2.0 3.4 -6 -0.5 -10.2 31.8 25.0 42.9 -1.71 37.3 34.1
Khamani Paxton - 8 7.6 1.5 1.4 0.0 0.8 0.0 0.6 1.8 1.2 -10 -1.2 -36.7 35.7 25.0 0.0 0.02 41.6 42.9
Ethan Morgan - 12 8.3 0.9 1.3 0.8 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.9 1.2 -3 -0.2 -7.6 17.4 20.0 0.0 -0.96 23.0 23.9
Cameron Hewling - 6 2.9 0.8 0.7 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.7 0.8 0.2 2 0.3 11.9 40.0 50.0 0 0.57 50.0 50.0
Jace Herrell - 1 11.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 87 5.4 40.2 0 0 0 -0.04 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG