Berea
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1068 (#108) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1038 (#267) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1002 (#424) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +4.6 (#142) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -0.3 (#375) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.742 (#339) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.527 (#352) | NetEff +0.8 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.608 (#343) | AdjNet +3.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.598 (#344) | AdjNet +3.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.541 (#341) | AdjO 64.1 | AdjD 62.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.509 (#371) | AdjO 63.4 | AdjD 63.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.491 (#389) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.495 (#387) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 998 (#312) | RD 93 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Hardin-Simmons | L | 52 - 73 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | East Tex. Baptist | L | 50 - 63 |
| 2025-11-18 | vs | Asbury | W | 78 - 68 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Spalding | W | 73 - 67 |
| 2025-11-30 | vs | Wilmington (OH) | L | 62 - 65 |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Hanover | L | 52 - 62 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Franklin | L | 66 - 81 |
| 2025-12-17 | vs | Bluffton | W | 67 - 57 |
| 2025-12-29 | @ | Oglethorpe | L | 67 - 73 |
| 2025-12-30 | @ | Sewanee | W | 88 - 68 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Manchester | W | 83 - 62 |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Mt. St. Joseph | W | 52 - 49 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Bluffton | L | 51 - 59 |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Hanover | W | 73 - 68 |
| 2026-01-23 | vs | Rose-Hulman | W | 68 - 51 |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Transylvania | L | 58 - 66 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Manchester | L | 61 - 66 |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Transylvania | L | 46 - 73 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Franklin | L | 65 - 76 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lynkaylah James | - | 19 | 31.5 | 18.5 | 12.3 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 12.8 | 19.2 | 12 | 0.5 | 3.2 | 57.2 | 0.0 | 66.1 | 2.43 | 60.2 | 57.2 |
| Madison Howell | - | 19 | 25.8 | 8.9 | 5.1 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 7.7 | 8.3 | -39 | -1.8 | -12.7 | 35.4 | 32.7 | 83.3 | 1.84 | 51.9 | 47.3 |
| Atyia Moss | - | 19 | 26.1 | 8.6 | 3.1 | 2.7 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 2.4 | 9.3 | 4.4 | -3 | -0.1 | -1.0 | 32.4 | 26.2 | 90.6 | 0.81 | 43.1 | 38.4 |
| Payton Bugg | - | 19 | 32.9 | 6.7 | 3.4 | 2.7 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 3.1 | 7.3 | 4.3 | 49 | 2.2 | 13.9 | 30.4 | 19.7 | 64.6 | 1.52 | 40.2 | 35.1 |
| Joyce Mukalamusi | - | 18 | 20.2 | 6.6 | 3.9 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 2.8 | 6.5 | 3.0 | -29 | -1.4 | -12.8 | 34.2 | 18.2 | 64.2 | -0.17 | 42.0 | 35.9 |
| Ariyana Sutton | - | 19 | 21.3 | 5.9 | 2.6 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 3.0 | 6.9 | 2.2 | -43 | -2.0 | -18.1 | 32.1 | 20.4 | 81.8 | -1.68 | 39.8 | 35.9 |
| Nevaeh Bates | - | 19 | 21.2 | 3.8 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 4.8 | 1.1 | -7 | -0.3 | -3.2 | 22.0 | 0.0 | 63.5 | -2.75 | 32.1 | 22.0 |
| London Sweeney | - | 19 | 14.8 | 3.7 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 3.3 | 3.9 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 34.9 | 15.4 | 78.1 | 0.02 | 46.1 | 36.5 |
| Mylee Garrett | - | 6 | 4.6 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 18 | 3.0 | 445.4 | 42.9 | 33.3 | 100.0 | -0.4 | 57.1 | 50.0 |
| Kayla McClendon | - | 15 | 8.4 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3.4 | -1.7 | -29 | -1.7 | -27.6 | 11.8 | 3.3 | 50.0 | -1.73 | 14.9 | 12.7 |
| Jada Henderson | - | 3 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Nevaeh Carsby | - | 1 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG