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Berea

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Berea
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 937 (#486) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 900 (#494) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 905 (#667) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -11.3 (#275) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -12.0 (#563) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.340 (#571) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -12.4 More → 0.194 (#547) AdjNet -12.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -12.6 More → 0.186 (#548) AdjNet -12.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 72.1 | AdjD 81.9 More → 0.292 (#555) AdjO 72.1 | AdjD 81.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 69.6 | AdjD 76.7 More → 0.345 (#634) AdjO 69.6 | AdjD 76.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.240 (#632) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.252 (#632) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 97 | GP 22 More → 872 (#507) RD 97 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-11 vs Asbury W 68 - 59
2025-11-13 @ Tennessee Tech L 64 - 86
2025-11-15 vs Centre L 58 - 76
2025-11-18 @ Maryville (TN) L 73 - 81
2025-11-22 vs Warren Wilson W 79 - 62
2025-11-30 @ Sewanee W 80 - 69
2025-12-03 vs Hanover W 68 - 63
2025-12-06 vs Anderson (IN) L 60 - 96
2025-12-13 @ Franklin L 74 - 83
2025-12-17 vs Bluffton L 72 - 85
2025-12-29 @ Wabash L 67 - 82
2025-12-30 @ Thomas (ME) W 83 - 56
2026-01-03 @ Rose-Hulman L 64 - 96
2026-01-07 @ Earlham W 77 - 70
2026-01-10 vs Manchester W 79 - 71
2026-01-14 vs Mt. St. Joseph L 61 - 69
2026-01-17 @ Bluffton L 81 - 87
2026-01-21 @ Hanover L 61 - 82
2026-01-23 vs Rose-Hulman L 58 - 66
2026-01-28 vs Transylvania L 64 - 73
2026-01-31 @ Manchester L 70 - 77
2026-02-04 @ Transylvania L 77 - 91
2026-02-07 vs Franklin W 77 - 69

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Joe Brand - 1 34.0 27.0 5.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 13.0 24.0 27 1.3 7.6 69.2 50.0 55.6 -0.74 79.6 84.6
Bud Davis - 1 31.7 26.0 5.0 6.0 5.0 0.0 7.0 17.0 18.0 -86 -5.1 -38.6 58.8 36.4 50.0 -0.61 69.3 70.6
Jackson Garner - 1 41.3 23.0 3.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 21.0 10.0 79 3.8 15.8 33.3 33.3 100.0 0.72 51.5 47.6
JD Gardner - 1 29.5 19.0 5.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 12.0 12.0 -2 -0.1 -0.7 41.7 50.0 100.0 -0.27 69.0 62.5
JD Stokes - 1 29.4 18.0 10.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 10.0 17.0 25 1.1 8.5 80.0 66.7 0 0.97 90.0 90.0
Nevin Robson - 1 38.0 17.0 6.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 5.0 5.0 17.0 18 0.9 7.9 80.0 0 75.0 2.01 82.7 80.0
Chase Morgan - 1 32.7 17.0 14.0 1.0 3.0 2.0 4.0 11.0 22.0 55 2.6 13.3 45.5 0.0 87.5 0.28 58.5 45.5
Clay McCorckle - 2 38.6 16.5 2.5 3.5 1.0 0.0 1.5 16.5 5.5 -75 -6.8 -56.2 36.4 27.8 100.0 -1.4 47.5 43.9
Mathew Menninger - 1 36.4 16.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 7.0 13.0 6 0.3 1.3 85.7 100.0 100.0 -0.74 96.2 92.9
Bryce Riley - 16 32.5 15.8 7.3 1.6 1.1 0.1 1.7 12.7 11.5 51 2.3 10.8 38.9 33.3 73.0 0.77 52.0 46.1
Jaxon Foster - 1 26.7 14.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 12.0 6.0 38 1.7 12.9 41.7 50.0 0 -0.59 58.3 58.3
Ty Lynas - 2 36.6 13.5 6.5 5.0 0.5 0.0 4.0 17.0 4.5 -160 -8.0 -29.0 26.5 7.7 88.9 -0.3 35.6 27.9
Matthew Schneider - 1 32.9 13.0 9.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 10.0 11.0 25 1.3 5.8 50.0 33.3 28.6 1.36 49.7 55.0
Max Robertson - 2 30.5 12.5 4.0 3.0 1.0 0.5 0.0 9.5 11.5 -150 -7.5 -29.7 42.1 45.5 80.0 -2.3 59.0 55.3
Tommy Reddick - 1 30.6 12.0 7.0 4.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 9.0 16.0 -58 -3.2 -23.6 55.6 40.0 0 1.78 66.7 66.7
Chris Hardy - 1 23.3 12.0 5.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 4.0 15.0 -28 -2.2 -51.4 75.0 66.7 100.0 -1.39 104.2 100.0
Ladarius Wallace - 2 29.7 12.0 3.5 1.5 0.5 0.0 1.5 7.0 9.0 -144 -7.2 -27.1 64.3 50.0 50.0 -0.49 80.6 82.1
R.J. Simmons - 1 24.8 12.0 10.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 6.0 15.0 -15 -1.0 -17.7 50.0 0 75.0 -1.17 63.0 50.0
Jack Bakken - 1 28.3 12.0 17.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 5.0 25.0 -15 -0.8 -3.3 100.0 0 50.0 -1.05 88.8 100.0
Talan Boehler - 2 22.6 11.5 3.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 8.5 7.0 -51 -2.5 -21.1 47.1 46.7 0 1.4 67.6 67.6
Nikolas Avaliani - 1 28.2 10.0 4.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 13.0 3.0 35 1.8 7.1 30.8 25.0 0 2.03 38.5 38.5
Jake Kolbay - 1 16.4 9.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 4.0 -23 -1.4 -13.9 50.0 50.0 0 -2.86 75.0 75.0
Reid Carrier - 1 27.7 9.0 5.0 8.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 13.0 9.0 -25 -1.5 -7.4 23.1 16.7 50.0 0.61 32.4 30.8
Jae'dyn Gist - 16 26.0 8.8 6.4 1.5 0.8 0.1 1.2 6.1 10.2 33 1.5 8.7 54.1 0.0 66.0 2.29 58.1 54.1
Zach Hudson - 16 24.8 8.8 4.0 2.7 1.0 0.1 1.9 7.9 6.7 6 0.3 2.0 38.6 27.1 79.3 -0.09 50.1 46.1
Nathaniel Barrow - 14 27.1 8.4 2.2 2.1 1.0 0.1 1.9 8.2 3.8 -3 -0.1 -0.7 40.0 36.9 50.0 -3.44 50.5 50.4
Andre Irvin - 1 25.4 8.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 8.0 5.0 28 1.3 7.8 37.5 40.0 0 -0.51 50.0 50.0
Patrick Hardimon - 1 26.1 8.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 4.0 9.0 -37 -1.9 -12.6 75.0 0.0 50.0 -0.52 69.4 75.0
Fletcher Bigham - 1 32.6 7.0 10.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 4.0 11.0 7.0 16 0.8 3.3 27.3 0.0 50.0 2.1 29.5 27.3
Andrew Jones - 16 17.2 6.9 2.4 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.9 5.8 4.2 30 1.4 231.5 39.1 33.9 76.9 0.91 53.7 49.5
Jack Sullivan - 1 18.5 6.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 3.0 -11 -0.6 -4.7 50.0 33.3 100.0 -2.64 67.6 62.5
Michael Loftis - 1 23.4 6.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 4.0 19 0.9 6.0 28.6 50.0 0 2.68 42.9 42.9
Jett Sutton - 1 13.7 6.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 6.0 60 3.2 46.5 40.0 40.0 0 1.58 60.0 60.0
Jacob Amonett - 1 13.3 6.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 2.0 17 0.9 12.2 33.3 33.3 0 0.92 50.0 50.0
Brendan Williams - 1 5.8 5.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 4.0 -22 -1.2 -50.8 66.7 0 50.0 -3.42 64.4 66.7
Jaylen Black - 8 19.1 4.5 2.0 2.8 1.4 0.0 1.9 3.6 5.1 64 6.4 138.1 48.3 14.3 87.5 1.89 55.4 50.0
Braden Hudson - 6 12.9 4.2 1.2 0.3 1.0 0.2 1.2 3.2 2.5 4 0.7 16.2 36.8 28.6 70.0 -1.01 53.4 47.4
Junior McAntione - 6 12.9 4.2 1.2 0.3 1.0 0.2 1.2 3.2 2.5 - - - 36.8 28.6 70.0 - 53.4 47.4
Collin Smith - 1 15.0 4.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 47 2.2 24.7 100.0 0 0.0 0.52 69.4 100.0
Anthony Hamm - 16 11.8 3.8 1.7 0.6 0.4 0.0 1.0 3.2 2.2 23 1.0 11.3 34.6 35.7 63.3 -2.21 46.0 39.4
Justice Thompson - 1 9.7 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 -18 -0.9 -8.3 33.3 33.3 0 0.38 50.0 50.0
Donovan Pruitt - 1 25.5 3.0 2.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 6.0 -58 -3.2 -17.3 20.0 50.0 0 0.38 30.0 30.0
Jaylon Green - 1 21.8 3.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 1.0 58 2.9 23.3 20.0 25.0 0.0 1.33 25.5 30.0
Javi Rosell - 1 28.3 3.0 3.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 6.0 36 1.7 8.8 16.7 20.0 0 -0.71 25.0 25.0
Joshua Decker - 3 3.9 2.7 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.7 2.0 -12 -0.9 -46.8 80.0 0.0 0.0 -0.97 73.5 80.0
John Stanford - 13 9.6 2.6 1.3 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.7 3.3 0.7 -10 -5.0 -68.8 32.6 18.2 100.0 0.32 38.7 37.2
Cobi Commodore - 13 9.6 2.6 1.3 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.7 3.3 0.7 -21 -1.1 -13.5 32.6 18.2 100.0 1.01 38.7 37.2
Jack Ngog - 10 7.2 2.4 0.8 0.3 0.5 0.0 0.3 2.3 1.4 -7 -0.6 -29.6 34.8 27.8 60.0 -0.64 47.6 45.7
Trenton Wilson - 5 2.9 2.4 1.2 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.2 2.8 8 0.4 2.2 66.7 50.0 66.7 -0.21 82.0 83.3
Tyler Moss - 16 11.6 2.1 1.8 0.9 0.7 0.1 1.4 1.9 2.2 -9 -0.4 -6.5 40.0 14.3 52.9 -0.2 45.4 41.7
William Layfield - 1 21.9 2.0 7.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 3.0 8.0 27 1.3 7.5 33.3 0.0 0.0 1.28 29.1 33.3
Travis Makabu - 1 10.4 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 -83 -4.2 -29.1 33.3 0.0 0 -3.22 33.3 33.3
Chase Newton - 1 16.5 2.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 2.0 -44 -2.3 -14.3 25.0 0.0 0 0.12 25.0 25.0
Marcos Paul - 1 9.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 -37 -2.6 -16.0 100.0 0 0 -0.38 100.0 100.0
Logan Brace - 2 26.9 2.0 6.5 1.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 1.5 8.0 -130 -6.5 -29.8 66.7 0 0 -0.61 66.7 66.7
Alpha Diop - 1 1.1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 - - - 50.0 0.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Nathaniel Mitchell - 1 3.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Brock Barton - 1 3.2 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 -5 -1.0 -40.3 33.3 0.0 0 -0.08 33.3 33.3
Philip Ryan - 1 13.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 2.0 -1.0 -10 -0.5 -3.1 50.0 0.0 0 0.65 50.0 50.0
Aidan Treacy - 1 24.2 2.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 2.0 -25 -1.3 -5.8 0.0 0.0 50.0 -1.18 14.8 0.0
Wyatt Clark - 4 2.5 1.2 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.0 - - - 100.0 100.0 0 - 125.0 125.0
Matt Ray - 1 8.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -71 -3.7 -176.4 0 0 0 -2.52 0 0
Ian Snelling - 1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 30 1.5 12.8 0 0 0 1.48 0 0
James Clark - 1 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -31 -3.4 -240.0 0 0 0 0.17 0 0
Dane Copeland - 1 3.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3 0.3 5.0 0 0 0 -2.37 0 0
Hamweemba Mukando - 1 3.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -6 -0.6 -10.2 0 0 0 1.26 0 0
Grady Smitley - 1 5.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 6 0.6 9.3 0 0 0 -0.36 0 0
Braden Miller - 1 16.6 0.0 1.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 -61 -5.1 -411.2 0 0 0 0.92 0 0
Kobe Franklin - 1 14.6 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 -1.0 -21 -1.1 -19.6 0.0 0.0 0 -2.56 0.0 0.0
Peyton Dixon - 4 3.9 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.2 - - - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - 0.0 0.0
Eli Thomas - 2 0.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 -47 -1.7 -100.4 0 0 0 0.1 0 0
Kaleb Green - 1 1.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 59 5.4 224.4 0 0 0 -0.22 0 0
Jason Kobe - 1 5.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -12 -0.9 -11.3 0 0 0 2.62 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG