Bemidji St.
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 954 (#311) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 909 (#429) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 873 (#552) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +3.7 (#185) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +7.6 (#197) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.469 (#358) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.974 (#134) | NetEff +35.5 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.768 (#255) | AdjNet +10.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.776 (#252) | AdjNet +10.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.680 (#250) | AdjO 81.8 | AdjD 73.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.560 (#197) | AdjO 75.9 | AdjD 73.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.520 (#300) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.512 (#303) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 772 (#467) | RD 140 | GP 6 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-23 | vs | Concordia-St. Paul | L | 95 - 99 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Winona St. | L | 83 - 86 |
| 2026-01-30 | @ | Augustana (SD) | L | 67 - 69 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Wayne St. (NE) | L | 67 - 76 |
| 2026-02-05 | @ | Minot St. | L | 65 - 72 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Mary | W | 74 - 73 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Kopetzki | - | 1 | 36.4 | 34.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 15.0 | 29.0 | -9 | -0.4 | -1.4 | 60.0 | 57.1 | 92.3 | 0.89 | 82.0 | 73.3 |
| Tameron Ferguson | - | 1 | 40.0 | 26.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 14.0 | 18.0 | 114 | 5.0 | 18.7 | 57.1 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 2.61 | 76.1 | 67.9 |
| Sam West | - | 1 | 34.3 | 24.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 12.0 | 18.0 | 30 | 1.6 | 4.8 | 75.0 | 50.0 | 83.3 | 2.04 | 82.0 | 79.2 |
| John Pecarich | - | 3 | 39.4 | 24.0 | 4.3 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 20.3 | 10.0 | -53 | -2.3 | -7.4 | 39.3 | 38.9 | 90.9 | 2.18 | 54.7 | 50.8 |
| Deuce Benjamin | - | 1 | 35.9 | 21.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 15.0 | 12.0 | -48 | -2.0 | -8.3 | 46.7 | 57.1 | 75.0 | -1.0 | 62.6 | 60.0 |
| Sam Rensch | - | 1 | 27.2 | 17.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 13.0 | 9.0 | 136 | 5.9 | 26.8 | 46.2 | 28.6 | 75.0 | 2.23 | 57.6 | 53.8 |
| Darik Dissette | - | 1 | 40.0 | 17.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 14.0 | -17 | -2.1 | -2.9 | 40.0 | 0 | 90.0 | 1.34 | 59.0 | 40.0 |
| Owen Carlson | - | 1 | 29.7 | 16.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 13.0 | 24 | 1.1 | 4.8 | 28.6 | 28.6 | 90.9 | -2.86 | 67.6 | 42.9 |
| Henry Shannon III | - | 3 | 27.8 | 15.0 | 9.0 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 2.3 | 2.7 | 11.7 | 14.0 | -53 | -2.1 | -8.5 | 57.1 | 0.0 | 83.3 | 2.62 | 59.8 | 57.1 |
| Caden Hinker | - | 1 | 28.5 | 14.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 8.0 | 101 | 4.8 | 18.8 | 36.4 | 28.6 | 100.0 | 1.16 | 54.9 | 45.5 |
| Isaiah Alexander | - | 1 | 36.8 | 13.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 11.0 | 10.0 | -12 | -0.5 | -2.3 | 36.4 | 0.0 | 83.3 | 0.53 | 47.7 | 36.4 |
| Chet Kloss | - | 1 | 33.7 | 12.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 17.0 | 35 | 1.5 | 7.1 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 2.6 | 110.3 | 110.0 |
| Trey Brandt | - | 1 | 28.7 | 11.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 9.0 | -40 | -1.7 | -10.9 | 50.0 | 25.0 | 100.0 | 0.9 | 61.9 | 56.2 |
| Tanner Te Slaa | - | 1 | 29.3 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 8.0 | 136 | 5.9 | 30.4 | 42.9 | 40.0 | 100.0 | -0.23 | 63.5 | 57.1 |
| Nathan Fenske | - | 3 | 30.2 | 9.3 | 4.3 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 7.7 | 8.3 | -44 | -1.9 | -8.9 | 43.5 | 40.0 | 85.7 | 0.59 | 53.7 | 47.8 |
| Eddie Jallow Hedqvist | - | 3 | 19.5 | 7.7 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.7 | 2.3 | -98 | -4.7 | -22.2 | 40.0 | 40.0 | 50.0 | -1.17 | 55.1 | 55.0 |
| Dominic Fairbanks | - | 3 | 25.8 | 7.3 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.3 | 4.0 | -91 | -4.1 | -21.9 | 36.4 | 33.3 | 0.0 | -3.06 | 49.0 | 50.0 |
| Austin Josephson | - | 3 | 27.9 | 6.7 | 6.0 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3.3 | 11.7 | -28 | -1.2 | -6.8 | 60.0 | 0 | 66.7 | 0.44 | 65.4 | 60.0 |
| Jaden Wysocki | - | 1 | 13.6 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | -21 | -0.9 | -5.3 | 50.0 | 33.3 | 0 | 1.35 | 62.5 | 62.5 |
| Kiku Parker Jr | - | 1 | 18.6 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 42.5 | 40.0 |
| Carson Yale | - | 1 | 21.9 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | -16 | -0.7 | -4.0 | 12.5 | 0.0 | 75.0 | 0.17 | 25.6 | 12.5 |
| Marcus Burks | - | 1 | 14.3 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 68 | 2.8 | 22.7 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.79 | 40.0 | 40.0 |
| Ryan Johnson | - | 1 | 29.6 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 26 | 1.1 | 5.7 | 25.0 | 25.0 | 50.0 | -2.46 | 41.0 | 37.5 |
| Isaac Severts | - | 3 | 21.3 | 2.0 | 3.7 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 3.0 | 3.7 | -102 | -4.4 | -26.2 | 22.2 | 20.0 | 100.0 | -5.04 | 31.8 | 27.8 |
| Bennett Fried | - | 1 | 17.3 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 79 | 3.4 | 28.1 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -2.25 | 41.0 | 50.0 |
| Logan Sipple | - | 2 | 6.4 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | -0.5 | -29 | -3.6 | -32.6 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | -3.62 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Patrick Bath | - | 1 | 3.4 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | 5 | 0.2 | 4.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -1.56 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Hudson Vaith | - | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -1.0 | 26 | 1.1 | 22.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.52 | 0 | 0 |
| Brady Helgren | - | 1 | 31.9 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 76 | 3.6 | 16.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2.09 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Conner Kraft | - | 1 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -26 | -1.7 | -83.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.37 | 0 | 0 |
| Amari Westmoreland-Vendiola | - | 1 | 23.6 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | -1.0 | 41 | 1.8 | 9.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Lovasoa Andriatsarafara | - | 1 | 16.4 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | -13 | -0.5 | -6.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -2.73 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Dylan Gichaba | - | 1 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -5 | -0.3 | -5.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.12 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG