Beloit
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 869 (#439) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 833 (#430) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -21.7 (#361) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.097 (#634) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.017 (#403) | NetEff -27.8 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.032 (#628) | AdjNet -29.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.029 (#627) | AdjNet -29.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.161 (#617) | AdjO 49.8 | AdjD 67.9 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-09 | @ | Rockford | L | 48 - 64 |
| 2024-11-12 | vs | Carroll (WI) | L | 32 - 75 |
| 2024-11-14 | vs | Aurora | L | 58 - 72 |
| 2024-11-16 | @ | Lakeland | L | 55 - 82 |
| 2024-11-20 | vs | Benedictine (IL) | L | 42 - 73 |
| 2024-11-23 | vs | North Park | L | 55 - 63 |
| 2024-11-26 | vs | Marian (WI) | L | 50 - 51 |
| 2024-12-03 | vs | Lawrence | L | 35 - 59 |
| 2024-12-08 | @ | Monmouth (IL) | L | 55 - 71 |
| 2024-12-14 | vs | Cornell College | L | 41 - 53 |
| 2024-12-17 | @ | Eureka | L | 56 - 63 |
| 2024-12-30 | @ | Mount Mary | W | 64 - 48 |
| 2025-01-04 | @ | Ripon | L | 44 - 67 |
| 2025-01-08 | vs | Illinois Col. | L | 46 - 76 |
| 2025-01-11 | vs | Monmouth (IL) | W | 73 - 58 |
| 2025-01-14 | vs | Grinnell | L | 40 - 70 |
| 2025-01-18 | vs | Knox | L | 48 - 84 |
| 2025-01-22 | @ | Lake Forest | L | 57 - 63 |
| 2025-01-25 | @ | Illinois Col. | L | 47 - 72 |
| 2025-01-28 | @ | Lawrence | L | 37 - 64 |
| 2025-02-05 | vs | Ripon | L | 41 - 69 |
| 2025-02-08 | @ | Cornell College | L | 49 - 72 |
| 2025-02-15 | @ | Knox | L | 52 - 74 |
| 2025-02-19 | @ | Grinnell | L | 49 - 82 |
| 2025-02-22 | vs | Lake Forest | W | 59 - 48 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hailey Johnson | - | 23 | 24.1 | 9.7 | 4.1 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 1.9 | 9.0 | 5.3 | -172 | -4.3 | -4.1 | 40.1 | 32.4 | 66.0 | -0.83 | 48.5 | 45.7 |
| Johanna Mcnair | - | 2 | 33.5 | 8.0 | 6.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 7.5 | 9.5 | -127 | -5.1 | -5.5 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.71 | 43.2 | 40.0 |
| Hadja Bayo | - | 24 | 24.4 | 6.5 | 7.2 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 6.0 | 8.8 | -60 | -2.5 | -2.9 | 35.2 | 20.6 | 64.8 | 0.16 | 44.0 | 37.6 |
| Kaelie Moreno | - | 25 | 18.6 | 5.2 | 3.3 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.9 | 6.6 | 0.8 | -106 | -3.7 | -6.1 | 23.6 | 21.9 | 69.2 | -0.54 | 35.7 | 31.2 |
| Bailey Darneal | - | 25 | 14.5 | 4.5 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 5.2 | 1.1 | -105 | -2.9 | -4.7 | 32.6 | 22.0 | 52.9 | -0.32 | 39.2 | 36.8 |
| Kaitlin Davis | - | 25 | 24.5 | 3.8 | 4.2 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 2.1 | 4.6 | 3.9 | -150 | -4.4 | -5.4 | 21.9 | 21.7 | 64.6 | -0.93 | 34.8 | 27.6 |
| Julia Kennedy | - | 25 | 16.2 | 3.8 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.8 | 0.1 | -54 | -2.2 | -2.2 | 30.5 | 33.3 | 66.7 | -0.76 | 44.9 | 41.1 |
| Angela Donath | - | 24 | 16.8 | 3.6 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.2 | 0.6 | 8 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 26.7 | 19.0 | 73.7 | 0.29 | 36.5 | 28.7 |
| Aina Mallorqui | - | 25 | 13.5 | 2.6 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 2.2 | 2.8 | 0.0 | -99 | -2.8 | -5.2 | 33.3 | 17.2 | 62.5 | -0.77 | 41.5 | 37.0 |
| Oceanna Estrada | - | 25 | 8.6 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 0.5 | -33 | -1.4 | -3.8 | 30.0 | 27.6 | 35.7 | -0.45 | 40.1 | 40.0 |
| Kyana Aguilera | - | 23 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.3 | -4 | -0.3 | -1.4 | 66.7 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 0.05 | 67.8 | 72.2 |
| Madalyn Kavalary | - | 25 | 3.6 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.4 | -5 | -0.2 | -0.9 | 30.0 | 0.0 | 33.3 | 0.16 | 30.5 | 30.0 |
| Kylie Wolff | - | 23 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 2 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.03 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG