Belhaven
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1126 (#44) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1107 (#127) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1065 (#144) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +2.7 (#167) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +3.6 (#309) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.725 (#351) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.919 (#146) | NetEff +16.8 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.276 (#458) | AdjNet -8.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.257 (#461) | AdjNet -9.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.379 (#455) | AdjO 65.0 | AdjD 70.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.603 (#228) | AdjO 72.2 | AdjD 67.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.594 (#299) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.599 (#297) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1124 (#129) | RD 118 | GP 18 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | @ | MUW | W | 103 - 78 |
| 2025-11-08 | @ | Dallas | W | 90 - 49 |
| 2025-11-12 | vs | Southeastern Bapt. | W | 93 - 66 |
| 2025-11-18 | @ | Millsaps | W | 82 - 73 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | LeTourneau | W | 79 - 69 |
| 2025-12-02 | vs | Millsaps | L | 81 - 85 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Asbury | L | 0 - 0 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Asbury | W | 86 - 72 |
| 2026-01-16 | @ | Covenant | W | 72 - 60 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Maryville (TN) | L | 54 - 59 |
| 2026-01-22 | @ | LaGrange | L | 60 - 89 |
| 2026-01-30 | vs | Agnes Scott | W | 92 - 61 |
| 2026-02-03 | @ | Huntingdon | L | 78 - 79 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Maryville (TN) | W | 75 - 69 |
| 2026-02-08 | vs | Piedmont | L | 0 - 0 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Savannah Hailey | - | 10 | 22.4 | 17.8 | 8.5 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 2.6 | 15.9 | 11.4 | 21 | 1.5 | 11.9 | 46.5 | 25.0 | 70.7 | -0.41 | 50.3 | 46.9 |
| Veronica Williams | - | 13 | 29.0 | 11.9 | 5.8 | 3.0 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 10.4 | 10.4 | 87 | 4.8 | 22.0 | 37.0 | 29.2 | 75.6 | 2.7 | 50.1 | 44.8 |
| Katelyn Coleman | - | 13 | 23.4 | 11.6 | 5.6 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 8.9 | 9.5 | 54 | 3.0 | 22.8 | 46.6 | 16.7 | 59.2 | 1.33 | 51.3 | 47.0 |
| Jasi Jenkins | - | 10 | 15.3 | 10.4 | 6.1 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 7.5 | 9.4 | 12 | 0.9 | 10.9 | 57.3 | 0 | 56.2 | -0.01 | 58.4 | 57.3 |
| Ava Hunter | - | 1 | 12.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 4 | 0.2 | 3.6 | 75.0 | 0 | 75.0 | 2.75 | 78.1 | 75.0 |
| Kiersten Hudson | - | 13 | 26.3 | 7.8 | 4.5 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 2.5 | 8.8 | 5.5 | 68 | 4.0 | 17.9 | 36.8 | 23.7 | 42.9 | 1.07 | 43.1 | 43.0 |
| Alexandria Willis | - | 1 | 12.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 7 | 0.4 | 3.3 | 33.3 | 0 | 83.3 | -0.27 | 62.1 | 33.3 |
| Kyla Farmer | - | 12 | 13.0 | 5.5 | 3.4 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 5.5 | 4.3 | 23 | 1.4 | 10.4 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 56.4 | 1.55 | 39.7 | 33.3 |
| Kylie Watkins | - | 1 | 12.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | -5 | -0.3 | -2.4 | 33.3 | 100.0 | 100.0 | -1.32 | 64.4 | 50.0 |
| RaMya King | - | 11 | 10.0 | 4.7 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 3.0 | 2.8 | -33 | -2.4 | -20.7 | 48.5 | 16.7 | 90.5 | 0.91 | 61.6 | 50.0 |
| Ny Jones | - | 13 | 26.7 | 4.5 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9 | 5.3 | 4.2 | 60 | 3.5 | 15.9 | 29.0 | 22.7 | 54.2 | 1.05 | 36.5 | 32.6 |
| Riley Bryan | - | 1 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 7 | 0.4 | 3.4 | 66.7 | 0 | 0 | -0.31 | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Kamren Edwards | - | 13 | 11.0 | 3.8 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 3.2 | 2.4 | 2 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 47.6 | 27.3 | 46.2 | -2.7 | 51.3 | 51.2 |
| Tra'Shaylah Wilson | - | 13 | 10.7 | 3.6 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 3.5 | 3.1 | 26 | 1.4 | 16.0 | 28.9 | 25.0 | 86.4 | 2.22 | 43.0 | 31.1 |
| Amanda Walker | - | 10 | 11.3 | 3.4 | 3.3 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 2.9 | 4.4 | 48 | 3.4 | 19.8 | 55.2 | 0 | 33.3 | 1.16 | 53.7 | 55.2 |
| Neeli Magee | - | 5 | 4.1 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 9 | 1.8 | 32.3 | 30.8 | 14.3 | 25.0 | 0.86 | 33.9 | 34.6 |
| Calise Jackson | - | 1 | 5.2 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | -32 | -1.5 | -16.1 | 50.0 | 0 | 0.0 | -2.51 | 34.7 | 50.0 |
| Gracie Deetz | - | 1 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -1 | -0.1 | -0.6 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | 2.58 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Allison Liddell | - | 11 | 9.9 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 2.3 | 1.8 | -18 | -1.1 | -26.4 | 28.0 | 20.0 | 100.0 | -0.17 | 37.4 | 32.0 |
| Chrystianna Beeman | - | 8 | 9.8 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 3.1 | 1.4 | -40 | -3.3 | -42.2 | 20.0 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0.01 | 24.3 | 26.0 |
| Jayden Coleman | - | 4 | 5.3 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0.0 | 0.59 | 86.8 | 125.0 |
| Zoey Cade | - | 4 | 5.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.8 | -1.2 | 4 | 1.0 | 18.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Hayley Borino | - | 1 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 58 | 3.2 | 32.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.88 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Emma Lightsey | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Lily Conkell | - | 1 | 17.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | -3.0 | -56 | -3.3 | -29.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.56 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Marissa Mason | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 166 | 8.3 | 39.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.45 | 0 | 0 |
| Brooklyn Begley | - | 1 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 28 | 1.6 | 30.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.54 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Jaylah Ellison | - | 1 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -13 | -1.4 | -29.6 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.24 | 0.0 | 0 |
| Kennedi Henson | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Kivana Bogne | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0.2 | 10.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.68 | 0 | 0 |
| Emaline Rault | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5 | 0.6 | 14.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.08 | 0 | 0 |
| Addison Rouse | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -8 | -2.7 | -100.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.4 | 0 | 0 |
| Kelsey Banks | - | 1 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -2.0 | -23 | -1.4 | -16.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.92 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG