Belhaven
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1075 (#84) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1087 (#114) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +2.7 (#86) | HCA +2.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.725 (#333) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.696 (#178) | NetEff +7.2 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.465 (#368) | AdjNet -1.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.459 (#369) | AdjNet -1.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.470 (#371) | AdjO 74.0 | AdjD 75.3 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-12 | vs | MUW | W | 87 - 65 |
| 2024-11-15 | @ | Rhodes | L | 71 - 79 |
| 2024-11-16 | @ | Ozarks (AR) | W | 69 - 58 |
| 2024-11-19 | vs | Millsaps | W | 78 - 60 |
| 2024-11-22 | @ | Centenary (LA) | W | 77 - 49 |
| 2024-11-23 | @ | Ozarks (AR) | L | 65 - 69 |
| 2024-12-02 | vs | Southeastern Bapt. | W | 92 - 33 |
| 2024-12-06 | @ | Whitworth | L | 64 - 66 |
| 2024-12-11 | @ | East Tex. Baptist | W | 77 - 71 |
| 2024-12-19 | @ | Berry | W | 62 - 60 |
| 2024-12-29 | @ | William Peace | W | 65 - 48 |
| 2024-12-30 | @ | Guilford | W | 54 - 51 |
| 2025-01-04 | @ | Millsaps | W | 81 - 64 |
| 2025-01-07 | vs | LaGrange | W | 96 - 65 |
| 2025-01-16 | @ | Covenant | W | 96 - 92 |
| 2025-01-18 | @ | Piedmont | W | 72 - 65 |
| 2025-01-24 | @ | Asbury | W | 87 - 74 |
| 2025-01-25 | @ | Maryville (TN) | W | 91 - 83 |
| 2025-01-29 | @ | LaGrange | W | 61 - 58 |
| 2025-02-01 | vs | Piedmont | W | 82 - 63 |
| 2025-02-04 | @ | Huntingdon | W | 71 - 67 |
| 2025-02-08 | vs | Covenant | W | 103 - 80 |
| 2025-02-13 | vs | Huntingdon | W | 73 - 64 |
| 2025-02-15 | vs | Asbury | W | 95 - 66 |
| 2025-02-21 | vs | Maryville (TN) | L | 72 - 77 |
| 2025-02-28 | vs | Huntingdon | L | 66 - 78 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Marshall | - | 25 | 28.8 | 15.6 | 3.4 | 3.4 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 3.4 | 13.8 | 6.6 | 116 | 8.9 | 12.8 | 41.7 | 34.5 | 74.4 | 2.05 | 50.9 | 47.2 |
| Stephen Behil | - | 1 | 30.0 | 15.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 11.0 | 79 | 4.2 | 11.0 | 50.0 | 25.0 | 100.0 | 1.08 | 70.5 | 56.2 |
| Jacob Reese | - | 25 | 28.7 | 12.3 | 13.5 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 8.4 | 19.4 | 104 | 6.9 | 9.9 | 54.8 | 0.0 | 70.9 | 1.91 | 59.6 | 54.8 |
| Jonathan Lucas | - | 25 | 25.4 | 10.8 | 8.1 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 2.4 | 6.8 | 12.8 | 65 | 4.1 | 6.7 | 47.1 | 18.8 | 71.9 | 1.98 | 57.8 | 48.8 |
| Jake Holtz | - | 1 | 23.0 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 6.0 | 53 | 3.5 | 8.0 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.92 | 42.5 | 40.0 |
| Diego Jaques | - | 1 | 29.0 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 50 | 8.3 | 16.8 | 57.1 | 50.0 | 0 | 0.78 | 71.4 | 71.4 |
| Garrett Long | - | 1 | 36.0 | 10.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 11.0 | 10.0 | 12 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 27.3 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 1.35 | 36.7 | 31.8 |
| Ben Nyquist | - | 1 | 14.0 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 148 | 9.2 | 39.9 | 75.0 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 0.34 | 94.0 | 87.5 |
| DeMarcus Powe | - | 25 | 27.1 | 9.3 | 2.7 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 8.9 | 4.5 | 84 | 5.6 | 8.2 | 40.8 | 34.4 | 87.5 | 1.79 | 51.2 | 50.4 |
| Jermario Hersey | - | 25 | 26.4 | 8.8 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 6.9 | 7.6 | 80 | 5.3 | 9.1 | 45.1 | 33.3 | 67.2 | 1.2 | 55.7 | 52.6 |
| Jordan Williams | - | 25 | 14.1 | 6.8 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 6.1 | 2.0 | 17 | 1.5 | 4.7 | 35.5 | 34.9 | 85.7 | 0.69 | 51.4 | 47.7 |
| Neal Terry | - | 25 | 15.5 | 4.8 | 4.7 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 3.2 | 8.4 | -11 | -0.5 | -2.1 | 62.5 | 0.0 | 33.9 | 0.62 | 56.6 | 62.5 |
| Ty Edwards | - | 1 | 29.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 111 | 5.3 | 15.8 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.55 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Kaden Justice | - | 22 | 9.2 | 3.0 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 2.8 | 3.5 | - | - | - | 44.3 | 0.0 | 56.5 | - | 47.1 | 44.3 |
| Raymond Adams | - | 22 | 9.2 | 3.0 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 2.8 | 3.5 | 12 | 2.0 | 12.6 | 44.3 | 0.0 | 56.5 | -0.03 | 47.1 | 44.3 |
| Dyllon Redmond | - | 25 | 10.2 | 3.0 | 2.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 66 | 5.1 | 24.4 | 42.9 | 23.5 | 50.0 | 0.44 | 49.3 | 48.6 |
| Caden Bateman | - | 1 | 13.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 71 | 5.1 | 38.3 | 33.3 | 100.0 | 0 | 0.12 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Justin Reid | - | 13 | 5.0 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 2.3 | -9 | -4.5 | -60.7 | 57.1 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.75 | 57.1 | 57.1 |
| Colton Looney | - | 1 | 16.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | -4.0 | 63 | 5.2 | 32.5 | 14.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.16 | 14.3 | 14.3 |
| Craig Mueller | - | 1 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 42 | 8.4 | 752.2 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | -1.16 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Kade West | - | 1 | 16.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | -3.0 | - | - | - | 20.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 20.0 | 20.0 |
| Miles Gilbert | - | 21 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.7 | -1 | -0.5 | -7.3 | 50.0 | 33.3 | 71.4 | -0.81 | 66.3 | 62.5 |
| Todd Larkin | - | 24 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 0.7 | -2 | -0.7 | -3.9 | 40.9 | 31.2 | 0 | -0.33 | 52.3 | 52.3 |
| Owen Davis | - | 24 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | -36 | -3.3 | -323.6 | 36.4 | 33.3 | 0 | -0.85 | 40.9 | 40.9 |
| Charleston Wallace | - | 21 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Kaleb King | - | 21 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Hays Regard | - | 24 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 11.1 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 11.1 | 11.1 |
| Caleb Rawls | - | 23 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Justice Smith | - | 23 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | -4 | -2.0 | -165.5 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.48 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Zion Owens | - | 11 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Deshun Dunn | - | 8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Jonah Forrest | - | 9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Troy Carter | - | 9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -46 | -2.7 | -5.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.88 | 0 | 0 |
| Jordan Presley | - | 9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Finnegan Anderson | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Jamison Atwood | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 33 | 3.7 | 5657.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.47 | 0 | 0 |
| Aidan Bews | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 29 | 4.8 | 4971.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.47 | 0 | 0 |
| Ben Fried | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6 | 0.5 | 9.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.23 | 0 | 0 |
| Nate Krohn | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 65 | 7.2 | 11142.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.47 | 0 | 0 |
| Lucas Meissner | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -17 | -2.4 | -64.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.56 | 0 | 0 |
| Carson Talbert | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 9 | 0.8 | 29.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.51 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Dylan Westermeyer | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 21 | 1.8 | 19.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.05 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG