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Belhaven

Also known as: Belhaven
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1044 (#195) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 944 (#438) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 978 (#560) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -4.0 (#177) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -4.0 (#416) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.725 (#333) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -1.2 More → 0.465 (#368) AdjNet -1.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -1.4 More → 0.459 (#369) AdjNet -1.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 74.0 | AdjD 75.3 More → 0.470 (#371) AdjO 74.0 | AdjD 75.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 79.8 | AdjD 78.8 More → 0.522 (#353) AdjO 79.8 | AdjD 78.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.379 (#512) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.402 (#492) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 108 | GP 21 More → 940 (#445) RD 108 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-08 vs East Tex. Baptist W 78 - 70
2025-11-12 vs Southeastern Bapt. W 131 - 80
2025-11-15 @ LeTourneau L 86 - 109
2025-11-18 @ Millsaps L 73 - 76
2025-11-20 @ Mississippi Col. L 78 - 103
2025-11-22 @ Mary Hardin-Baylor L 80 - 117
2025-11-25 vs Austin L 98 - 104
2025-11-29 @ MUW L 79 - 89
2025-12-02 vs Millsaps L 80 - 88
2025-12-06 @ Whitman W 92 - 73
2025-12-08 @ Whitworth L 76 - 90
2025-12-13 @ Asbury L 0 - 0
2025-12-17 @ Berry W 90 - 70
2025-12-31 @ Austin W 88 - 80
2026-01-03 vs Berry W 83 - 68
2026-01-06 vs LaGrange W 96 - 78
2026-01-10 vs Asbury W 98 - 70
2026-01-16 @ Covenant W 87 - 78
2026-01-17 @ Maryville (TN) L 76 - 92
2026-01-22 @ LaGrange L 65 - 69
2026-02-03 @ Huntingdon L 92 - 93
2026-02-07 vs Maryville (TN) L 63 - 79
2026-02-08 vs Piedmont L 0 - 0

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Kidus Getenet - 1 37.5 29.0 10.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 17.0 25.0 -28 -1.5 -10.0 58.8 60.0 100.0 0.3 73.8 67.6
Jamien June - 1 39.0 24.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 17.0 13.0 -111 -6.2 -49.9 52.9 66.7 100.0 -0.38 64.0 58.8
Myles Murphy - 1 40.0 22.0 8.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 20.0 11.0 29 1.8 10.8 45.0 40.0 28.6 0.77 47.7 50.0
Jackson Garner - 1 33.5 21.0 0.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 12.0 13.0 79 3.8 15.8 66.7 57.1 50.0 0.72 81.5 83.3
Brodie Scott - 1 26.7 20.0 4.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 10.0 17.0 84 6.5 61.8 60.0 100.0 85.7 0.66 76.5 70.0
Ethan Pearce - 1 28.3 20.0 10.0 1.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 15.0 21.0 -6 -0.7 -4.0 66.7 0.0 0.0 1.21 59.7 66.7
Dan Robinson - 13 27.5 17.5 3.8 4.1 1.9 0.2 3.0 15.0 9.5 186 10.3 273.5 42.6 26.7 75.4 2.23 51.4 46.7
Jamal Ware - 1 29.6 17.0 8.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 17.0 98 6.5 28.2 66.7 75.0 66.7 2.22 82.4 83.3
Cameron Pope - 1 27.0 16.0 6.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 15.0 8.0 79 4.0 21.8 53.3 0.0 0.0 3.68 49.0 53.3
Logan Patterson - 1 28.7 16.0 2.0 1.0 4.0 0.0 2.0 17.0 4.0 -70 -3.5 -28.3 41.2 14.3 50.0 -1.01 44.7 44.1
Tyler Mallory - 1 34.0 16.0 1.0 1.0 4.0 0.0 6.0 21.0 -5.0 113 8.1 47.2 28.6 36.4 0.0 1.33 35.8 38.1
Micah McAllister - 2 25.4 15.0 6.0 2.5 1.0 0.5 1.5 13.5 10.0 132 8.2 40.6 44.4 20.0 62.5 0.42 49.1 46.3
Eric Moore - 1 24.0 15.0 7.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 9.0 16.0 -13 -0.9 -6.9 55.6 50.0 100.0 0.06 72.7 66.7
Aiden Schnurr - 1 28.4 14.0 2.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 14.0 - - - 60.0 66.7 75.0 - 82.2 80.0
Chase Morgan - 1 26.0 14.0 9.0 4.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 11.0 17.0 55 2.6 13.3 54.5 0 50.0 0.28 54.9 54.5
Nile King - 1 23.6 13.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 10.0 9.0 -14 -1.4 -10.2 50.0 100.0 50.0 1.1 55.3 55.0
Benjamin Stewart - 14 25.2 11.3 4.6 1.4 1.0 0.1 1.6 9.1 7.6 104 5.2 49.3 41.4 35.3 84.6 -0.4 56.7 53.1
Braylon Dame - 14 22.2 11.2 2.5 1.2 1.1 0.1 1.5 10.0 4.6 128 6.4 72.1 39.3 28.8 74.3 0.09 50.5 46.8
Korbin Long - 1 29.5 11.0 7.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 4.0 8.0 11.0 -14 -0.7 -6.4 62.5 0.0 50.0 1.22 61.9 62.5
Matthew Schneider - 1 29.1 11.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 12.0 4.0 25 1.3 5.8 33.3 0.0 60.0 1.36 38.7 33.3
DJ Jones - 14 21.4 10.4 3.4 1.2 0.8 0.0 1.2 8.5 6.1 11 2.8 6.3 41.2 31.3 79.4 -0.21 54.5 50.0
Drew Winegarden - 1 23.0 10.0 1.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 4.0 9.0 4.0 21 1.1 5.6 33.3 16.7 100.0 0.56 48.4 38.9
Pierce Smith - 1 29.5 10.0 9.0 2.0 3.0 10.0 2.0 9.0 23.0 -69 -3.5 -27.6 22.2 0 75.0 -0.24 39.9 22.2
Canon Armstead - 1 19.7 9.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 5.0 55 2.8 18.9 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.97 116.0 116.7
Austen Colton - 2 25.6 9.0 3.5 3.0 1.5 0.0 2.0 12.5 2.5 54 4.2 24.9 28.0 18.2 100.0 2.47 34.8 32.0
Dyllon Redmond - 2 21.2 9.0 7.5 2.5 0.5 0.5 2.5 7.0 10.5 50 8.3 40.7 42.9 33.3 57.1 2.13 52.7 50.0
Luuk Dusek - 1 17.4 9.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 4.0 -15 -0.8 -13.8 37.5 25.0 100.0 -2.81 50.7 43.8
Jake Stephens - 1 17.3 9.0 3.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 7.0 8.0 2 0.1 1.4 57.1 50.0 0 -1.94 64.3 64.3
Mason Lawrence - 1 23.9 8.0 8.0 0.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 16.0 57 2.9 19.2 100.0 0 100.0 1.15 103.1 100.0
Derrius Teagle - 1 14.5 8.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 7.0 -67 -3.4 -68.7 75.0 0.0 100.0 -0.59 82.0 75.0
Jeremy Autin - 1 27.0 8.0 20.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 11.0 18.0 10 0.7 5.1 27.3 0.0 33.3 2.31 29.3 27.3
Keyshawn Dickey - 1 11.0 8.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 1.0 15 1.4 9.2 37.5 25.0 100.0 0.99 47.4 43.8
Owen LaRocca - 1 21.0 8.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 7.0 -4 -0.2 -1.6 50.0 50.0 100.0 -1.33 82.0 75.0
Marcus Townsend - 1 18.0 8.0 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 7.0 5.0 23 1.4 10.0 28.6 0.0 66.7 -1.88 41.5 28.6
Neal Terry - 14 20.2 7.9 6.1 1.4 1.2 1.1 1.1 5.4 11.1 93 4.7 52.4 59.2 0.0 38.5 0.17 55.6 59.2
Kani Rashied-Henry - 2 25.9 7.5 8.5 0.5 1.5 3.5 5.0 2.5 14.0 58 4.1 19.2 40.0 0.0 64.7 5.83 60.1 40.0
Trenton Dillard - 2 13.9 6.0 2.5 1.0 1.0 0.5 3.5 4.0 3.5 -8 -0.5 -3.6 50.0 0 80.0 -3.0 58.8 50.0
Ryan Dupre - 1 23.3 6.0 2.0 8.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 15.0 -30 -1.6 -23.4 100.0 100.0 0 -0.41 150.0 150.0
Jordan Hudgins - 1 23.7 6.0 5.0 7.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 13.0 11 0.6 4.2 66.7 0 100.0 1.15 77.3 66.7
Ethan Parker - 1 15.9 6.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 5.0 7.0 0.0 -63 -3.1 -45.0 28.6 20.0 50.0 -3.22 38.1 35.7
Andersen Madyun - 1 34.0 6.0 7.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 14.0 30 2.0 11.3 33.3 0 50.0 -0.66 46.0 33.3
Javi Rosell - 1 31.3 6.0 3.0 5.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 10.0 36 1.7 8.8 60.0 0 0 -0.71 60.0 60.0
Jett Sutton - 1 9.3 6.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 4.0 60 3.2 46.5 50.0 100.0 0 1.58 75.0 75.0
Kam Beverly - 14 15.9 5.4 4.3 1.3 1.0 0.6 1.5 4.4 6.7 32 1.6 22.3 44.3 14.3 58.8 -3.25 49.4 45.1
Zion Owens - 14 11.1 5.1 1.6 1.0 1.2 0.0 1.6 3.2 4.1 11 0.6 15.5 46.7 21.4 66.7 0.54 57.1 50.0
Devin Dowell - 1 16.4 5.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 3.0 -2 -0.2 -1.4 25.0 100.0 0 -1.99 31.2 31.2
Parker Gonzalez - 2 17.8 5.0 3.0 0.5 0.5 2.5 0.5 4.5 6.5 -1 -0.1 -0.5 44.4 0 100.0 -0.06 50.6 44.4
Tyler Harrington - 1 24.2 5.0 4.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 -26 -2.2 -100.0 25.0 0.0 75.0 -2.41 43.4 25.0
Courtland Walker - 1 2.2 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 -1 -0.2 -0.9 100.0 0 50.0 -0.1 86.8 100.0
Tasshir Pina-Warren - 1 11.7 5.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 6.0 -2.0 -4 -0.2 -1.3 33.3 33.3 0 1.51 41.7 41.7
Brandon Payne - 1 7.9 5.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 0.0 - - - 50.0 33.3 0 - 62.5 62.5
Charleston Wallace - 14 13.6 4.4 2.1 0.8 0.9 0.3 1.3 3.9 3.3 2 0.1 1.7 50.0 11.1 50.0 -0.23 51.5 50.9
Isaac Martin - 1 11.9 4.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 4.0 80 4.2 21.1 33.3 50.0 100.0 -1.33 58.1 50.0
Thomas Malcolm - 1 7.8 4.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 4.0 -44 -2.3 -47.4 50.0 0 100.0 0.57 69.4 50.0
Collin Smith - 1 17.6 4.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 7.0 47 2.2 24.7 50.0 0 100.0 0.52 69.4 50.0
Ryan Luttrell - 1 20.1 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 6.0 -4.0 -45 -2.4 -12.2 0.0 0.0 100.0 -1.99 20.5 0.0
Grant Stubbs - 1 15.2 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 30 1.7 24.2 50.0 0.0 33.3 -1.07 45.2 50.0
Chadan Hamiliton - 1 15.6 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 -2.0 14 1.8 49.0 20.0 33.3 0 -1.67 30.0 30.0
Isaac Rorey - 1 7.6 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 -50 -2.6 -40.3 100.0 0 50.0 -2.93 79.8 100.0
Kaleb King - 9 5.0 2.9 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.0 0.3 2.0 2.3 - - - 38.9 9.1 73.3 - 52.8 41.7
Bennett Frazer - 1 20.0 2.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 5.0 -17 -0.9 -7.6 100.0 0 0 0.12 100.0 100.0
Zyon Heath - 1 3.7 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 -26 -3.7 -64.6 50.0 0 0 -2.81 50.0 50.0
Jace Herrell - 2 12.1 2.0 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 2.0 1.5 87 5.4 40.2 25.0 25.0 50.0 -0.04 41.0 37.5
Fisher Mitchell - 1 10.5 2.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 1.0 -56 -2.8 -42.2 25.0 0.0 0 -1.45 25.0 25.0
Myles Johnson - 1 11.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 5.0 -1 -0.1 -0.7 100.0 0 0 1.8 100.0 100.0
Avery Richards - 8 4.0 1.8 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.4 1.6 - - - 27.3 33.3 70.0 - 45.5 31.8
Justice Smith - 6 3.5 1.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 0.5 -48 -6.0 -1986.2 44.4 33.3 0.0 0.01 53.0 55.6
Devon Green - 1 2.2 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 -4 -0.7 -58.9 0 0 50.0 -0.77 56.8 0
Ryan Tillman - 9 5.3 0.9 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.7 0.0 -33 -3.0 -1365.5 13.3 14.3 100.0 0.01 25.2 20.0
Hays Regard - 12 10.2 0.8 1.5 0.8 0.8 0.1 0.7 1.6 1.7 -22 -1.5 -46.1 15.8 20.0 0 -1.94 23.7 23.7
Ethan Morgan - 1 9.9 0.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 1.0 -3 -0.2 -7.6 0.0 0.0 0 -0.96 0.0 0.0
Isaac Plavich - 1 5.5 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 -1.0 2 0.1 0.9 0.0 0.0 0 1.35 0.0 0.0
Ford Barnes - 1 2.2 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -12 -2.0 -39.8 0 0 0.0 -1.56 0.0 0
Catfish Battle - 2 6.6 0.0 2.5 0.5 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 -53 -4.1 -57.4 0.0 0 0 -4.52 0.0 0.0
Peyton Gonzales - 1 5.3 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 -4.0 -38 -2.2 -14.8 0.0 0.0 0 0.06 0.0 0.0
Jacob Jackson - 1 2.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -44 -3.4 -109.5 0 0 0 -1.6 0 0
Cole Carroll - 1 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -93 -4.9 -90.0 0 0 0 -1.02 0 0
Gus Hood - 1 4.5 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 6 0.3 13.7 0 0 0 1.05 0 0
Noah Pence - 1 6.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 -5.0 -18 -0.9 -19.0 0.0 0.0 0 2.4 0.0 0.0
James White - 1 4.7 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 -25 -1.7 -122.2 0 0 0 -2.03 0 0
Skyler Stovall - 1 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 -3.0 34 2.8 28.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.13 0.0 0.0
Kobe Franklin - 1 5.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 -21 -1.1 -19.6 0.0 0.0 0 -2.56 0.0 0.0
Jaylon Green - 1 14.5 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 58 2.9 23.3 0.0 0.0 0 1.33 0.0 0.0
Jalen McCullough - 1 1.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4 0.4 53.0 0 0 0 -0.72 0 0
R.J. Simmons - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 -15 -1.0 -17.7 0.0 0 0 -1.17 0.0 0.0
David Stone - 1 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -23 -1.4 -57.6 0 0 0.0 -0.74 0.0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG