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Belhaven

Season: 2026 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: Belhaven
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 953 (#335) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 986 (#369) HCA +95 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → -24.2 (#549) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.039 (#568) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -17.8 More → 0.114 (#610) AdjNet -17.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -17.5 More → 0.113 (#611) AdjNet -17.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 79.9 | AdjD 95.5 More → 0.194 (#633) AdjO 79.9 | AdjD 95.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 75.1 | AdjD 82.1 More → 0.345 (#510) AdjO 75.1 | AdjD 82.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.166 (#551) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.197 (#540) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 920 (#324) RD 350 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-20 @ Mississippi Col. L 78 - 103

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Zion Owens - 1 24.6 18.0 4.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 5.0 10.0 10.0 - - - 50.0 50.0 70.0 - 62.5 55.0
DJ Jones - 1 19.9 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 9.0 0.0 65 3.2 44.9 44.4 33.3 50.0 1.08 55.8 55.6
Braylon Dame - 1 17.3 11.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 12.0 3.0 - - - 41.7 0.0 33.3 - 41.3 41.7
Dan Robinson - 1 20.7 10.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.0 2.0 85 4.2 69.8 25.0 33.3 100.0 3.48 37.5 29.2
Charleston Wallace - 1 16.4 8.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 3.0 - - - 66.7 0 0.0 - 58.1 66.7
Benjamin Stewart - 1 18.4 5.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 5.0 - - - 25.0 50.0 100.0 - 51.2 37.5
Kaleb King - 1 11.5 4.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 1.0 25 1.9 10.3 25.0 0.0 100.0 1.93 41.0 25.0
Neal Terry - 1 19.7 4.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 7.0 - - - 0.0 0 66.7 - 43.1 0.0
Avery Richards - 1 7.6 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 1.0 - - - 25.0 50.0 0 - 37.5 37.5
Justice Smith - 1 5.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 98 4.9 25.3 100.0 100.0 0 4.05 150.0 150.0
Kam Beverly - 1 15.7 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - 0.0 0.0
Hays Regard - 1 17.4 0.0 3.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 2.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Ryan Tillman - 1 5.8 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG