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Baylor

Also known as: Baylor Bears
Program History

2012 Team Stats (30 games)

77.6
PPG
52.6
Opp
+25.0
Margin
48.4%
FG%
35.0%
3P%
71.6%
FT%
40.5
RPG
18.0
APG
0.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
83.2
Adj PPG
43.9
Adj Opp PPG
#2
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2011-2012
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1821 (#1) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1649 (#1) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +78 elo More โ†’ 1363 (#1) HCA +78 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ +41.7 (#2) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.7 More โ†’ +41.0 (#1) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.991 (#2) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +65.3 More โ†’ 1.000 (#2) AdjNet +65.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +66.8 More โ†’ 1.000 (#2) AdjNet +66.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 83.2 | AdjD 43.9 More โ†’ 0.973 (#2) AdjO 83.2 | AdjD 43.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 77.7 | AdjD 46.8 More โ†’ 0.943 (#2) AdjO 77.7 | AdjD 46.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.990 (#1) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.988 (#1) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 91 | GP 40 More โ†’ 1629 (#1) RD 91 | GP 40

2012 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2011-11-11 vs Howard Bison W 82 - 28
2011-11-13 vs Chattanooga Mocs W 91 - 31
2011-11-17 vs UCLA Bruins W 83 - 50
2011-11-20 vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish W 94 - 81
2011-11-22 vs Yale Bulldogs W 109 - 59
2011-11-27 @ Tennessee Lady Volunteers W 76 - 67
2011-11-30 vs Texas Southern Tigers W 91 - 39
2011-12-04 @ Minnesota Golden Gophers W 89 - 60
2011-12-08 vs Milwaukee Panthers W 72 - 41
2011-12-11 @ St. John's Red Storm W 73 - 59
2011-12-18 vs UConn Huskies W 66 - 61
2011-12-21 vs McNeese Cowgirls W 90 - 50
2011-12-30 vs Mississippi Valley State Devilettes W 93 - 55
2012-01-04 vs Missouri Tigers W 90 - 46
2012-01-07 @ Iowa State Cyclones W 57 - 45
2012-01-11 vs Oklahoma State Cowgirls W 71 - 44
2012-01-15 @ Texas Longhorns W 77 - 59
2012-01-18 @ Texas Tech Lady Raiders W 72 - 64
2012-01-21 vs Kansas State Wildcats W 76 - 41
2012-01-26 @ Oklahoma Sooners W 89 - 58
2012-01-28 vs Kansas Jayhawks W 74 - 46
2012-02-01 @ Missouri Tigers W 71 - 41
2012-02-04 @ Kansas State Wildcats W 70 - 41
2012-02-06 vs Oklahoma Sooners W 81 - 54
2012-02-11 vs Texas A&M Aggies W 71 - 48
2012-02-15 @ Oklahoma State Cowgirls W 83 - 51
2012-02-18 vs Texas Tech Lady Raiders W 56 - 51
2012-02-21 vs Texas Longhorns W 80 - 59
2012-02-24 @ Kansas Jayhawks W 76 - 45
2012-02-27 @ Texas A&M Aggies W 69 - 62
2012-03-03 vs Iowa State Cyclones W 77 - 53
2012-03-08 vs Texas Tech Lady Raiders W 72 - 48
2012-03-09 vs Kansas State Wildcats W 86 - 65
2012-03-10 vs Texas A&M Aggies W 73 - 50
2012-03-18 vs UC Santa Barbara Gauchos W 81 - 40
2012-03-20 vs Florida Gators W 76 - 57
2012-03-24 vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets W 83 - 68
2012-03-26 vs Tennessee Lady Volunteers W 77 - 58
2012-04-01 vs Stanford Cardinal W 59 - 47
2012-04-03 vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish W 80 - 61

2012 Roster

Minutes by Position

Not enough player minute data to plot.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Brittney Griner Brittney Griner NA 30 0.0 23.5 9.3 1.6 0.6 5.0 1.4 14.6 24.0 703 29 24.2 31.3 60.3 50.0 81.4 9.87 66.1 60.4
B. Pope B. Pope NA 5 0.0 11.4 6.6 0.4 0.6 0.4 1.6 8.6 9.2 159 25 6.4 19.5 53.5 0 37.9 2.05 51.1 53.5
D. Williams D. Williams NA 24 0.0 10.2 9.3 1.2 1.0 0.6 1.6 8.2 12.4 542 28 19.4 31.1 53.0 0.0 72.3 4.93 55.8 53.0
K. Hayden K. Hayden NA 28 0.0 8.6 3.8 3.5 1.2 0.1 2.1 7.0 8.1 511 28 18.2 29.0 40.3 41.5 81.4 3.26 53.4 47.2
J. Madden J. Madden NA 28 0.0 4.5 3.3 2.9 0.8 0.6 1.5 4.9 5.7 524 29 18.1 29.0 33.3 23.0 57.1 4.07 41.1 38.4
T. Condrey T. Condrey NA 5 0.0 3.8 1.4 3.2 1.0 0.0 1.2 3.4 4.8 328 28 11.7 27.7 41.2 50.0 75.0 5.95 50.6 47.1
A. Field A. Field NA 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 0 23 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 -1.51 0.0 0.0
L. Palmer L. Palmer NA 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -32 21 -1.5 -9.9 0 0 0 -2.04 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG