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Bates

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2020 2019 2017 2016 2015
Also known as: Bates
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1269 (#15) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1273 (#18) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 1139 (#54) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → +7.7 (#37) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → +5.1 (#279) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.387 (#539) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -5.0 More → 0.360 (#420) AdjNet -5.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -5.2 More → 0.353 (#420) AdjNet -5.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 71.7 | AdjD 74.7 More → 0.433 (#405) AdjO 71.7 | AdjD 74.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 80.7 | AdjD 71.4 More → 0.700 (#105) AdjO 80.7 | AdjD 71.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.726 (#175) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.725 (#171) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 104 | GP 21 More → 1256 (#27) RD 104 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 @ Anna Maria W 100 - 55
2025-11-15 @ Plymouth St. W 95 - 87
2025-11-18 @ Husson W 90 - 62
2025-11-23 vs UMass Dartmouth W 88 - 82
2025-11-25 vs Southern Me. W 80 - 72
2025-11-30 vs Me.-Presque Isle W 94 - 64
2025-12-03 @ Bowdoin W 54 - 50
2025-12-15 vs Thomas (ME) W 101 - 53
2025-12-17 vs Maine Maritime W 107 - 59
2025-12-29 @ Emory L 66 - 104
2025-12-30 @ Maryville (TN) W 82 - 79
2026-01-04 vs Colby W 90 - 72
2026-01-09 @ Amherst L 50 - 71
2026-01-11 @ Hamilton L 69 - 74
2026-01-16 vs Bowdoin W 88 - 76
2026-01-18 @ Colby W 89 - 84
2026-01-20 @ Me.-Farmington W 87 - 82
2026-01-24 @ St. Joseph's (ME) L 67 - 69
2026-01-30 vs Williams W 67 - 57
2026-02-01 vs Middlebury W 89 - 71
2026-02-06 @ Trinity (CT) L 77 - 88
2026-02-08 @ Wesleyan (CT) L 0 - 0

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Zach McLaughlin - 1 25.0 26.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 19.0 10.0 123 8.2 43.1 52.6 50.0 100.0 3.05 61.3 55.3
Max Poulton - 1 35.0 25.0 6.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 16.0 18.0 150 7.9 47.1 50.0 41.7 100.0 0.62 70.4 65.6
Ray Cuevas - 1 34.0 23.0 6.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 12.0 18.0 20 1.2 4.8 50.0 57.1 70.0 3.49 70.1 66.7
Ryan Flauto - 1 23.0 20.0 5.0 1.0 2.0 4.0 1.0 10.0 21.0 19 1.1 6.1 60.0 0 100.0 1.77 74.0 60.0
Danny Reyes - 1 39.0 20.0 4.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 26.0 4.0 -20 -1.1 -5.0 26.9 0.0 85.7 0.82 34.4 26.9
Thomas Whelan - 1 33.0 20.0 5.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 19.0 6.0 16 1.1 4.3 42.1 33.3 100.0 0.16 51.4 50.0
Kory Donlin - 1 32.0 19.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 11.0 13.0 89 6.8 83.4 63.6 60.0 100.0 0.57 80.0 77.3
Carter Galley - 1 32.0 18.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.0 13.0 60 4.0 24.3 58.3 40.0 100.0 0.94 69.9 66.7
Babacar Pouye - 16 24.1 15.1 7.4 2.1 0.6 1.2 2.1 10.8 13.6 6 0.4 3.6 53.5 31.0 75.0 -0.88 61.8 58.7
Jason Reynolds - 1 38.0 14.0 10.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 15.0 10.0 122 7.2 44.7 33.3 20.0 50.0 1.23 41.8 40.0
Mason Dobie - 1 17.0 13.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 13.0 66 3.7 68.6 57.1 0.0 83.3 0.03 67.4 57.1
Brady Coyne - 17 24.5 12.8 3.4 1.6 0.9 0.1 0.9 10.5 7.3 -12 -0.7 -4.3 39.1 39.8 75.0 -0.75 56.2 53.9
Isaiah Makor - 1 29.0 11.0 8.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 16.0 7 0.6 40.6 80.0 100.0 100.0 0.74 93.5 90.0
Noah Dowling - 1 26.0 11.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 4.0 1.0 4.0 17.0 82 5.5 32.6 75.0 75.0 100.0 2.65 112.7 112.5
Jamari Robinson - 9 15.9 10.6 3.1 0.9 0.7 0.0 2.0 7.8 5.4 66 4.4 68.1 47.1 33.3 73.3 -1.4 57.1 52.1
Nic Boyd - 1 40.0 10.0 5.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 13.0 7.0 9 0.5 2.1 30.8 40.0 0 1.94 38.5 38.5
Camden Dunbury - 1 17.0 10.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 6.0 0 0.0 0.0 80.0 0 50.0 -0.98 74.0 80.0
Gabe Michaud - 1 39.0 10.0 8.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 4.0 18.0 93 5.8 55.5 75.0 0 80.0 0.54 80.6 75.0
Matthew Lamy - 1 22.0 9.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 11.0 79 4.6 40.4 50.0 50.0 75.0 -0.21 81.5 75.0
Tristan Robbins - 1 12.0 9.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 7.0 5.0 91 7.0 82.3 57.1 50.0 0 -0.34 64.3 64.3
Keenan Sparks - 6 25.5 8.2 6.0 4.3 0.7 0.0 1.7 6.3 11.2 -65 -5.4 -1106.4 42.1 37.5 51.9 0.51 49.1 46.1
Elliott Cravitz - 9 23.1 8.1 3.3 0.9 0.7 0.1 1.1 7.2 4.8 -34 -2.3 -29.6 40.0 37.5 0 1.05 56.2 56.2
Strada Joseph - 1 26.0 8.0 5.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 9.0 -21 -1.8 -29.6 42.9 50.0 33.3 1.01 48.1 50.0
Savion Stroud - 1 30.0 8.0 2.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 6.0 5.0 101 5.3 32.2 50.0 50.0 0.0 -0.67 58.1 66.7
Nate Kwiecinski - 1 15.0 7.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 12.0 34 1.8 19.8 0 0 87.5 -3.89 99.4 0
Sean O'Leary - 17 24.1 6.8 3.9 2.6 0.9 0.2 1.5 5.1 7.8 25 1.5 10.0 46.5 38.5 60.5 -1.45 55.3 52.3
Peter Psyhogeos - 17 20.0 6.8 3.5 1.1 0.9 0.5 1.6 6.1 5.1 45 2.6 19.7 41.3 32.3 80.0 1.24 50.4 46.2
Ben Chilson - 1 23.0 6.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 6.0 5.0 26 2.9 82.8 50.0 0.0 0 2.24 50.0 50.0
Kevin Reeves - 1 21.0 6.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 6.0 5.0 30 1.9 11.3 50.0 0 0 0.23 50.0 50.0
Mitch Humphrey - 1 19.0 6.0 4.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 8.0 34 2.0 59.6 40.0 40.0 0 0.88 60.0 60.0
Aidan Lawlor - 9 11.4 5.0 2.4 0.7 0.7 0.1 0.6 3.9 4.4 42 4.7 26.5 48.6 31.6 83.3 2.75 59.8 57.1
Dan Civello - 1 18.0 5.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 4.0 -1.0 94 4.9 36.7 50.0 0.0 100.0 3.88 56.3 50.0
Cohen Galley - 1 9.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 2.0 34 2.3 14.8 66.7 0.0 0.0 -0.4 58.1 66.7
Jack Gatjanis - 1 9.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 3.0 -35 -2.7 -110.5 100.0 0 0 -0.76 100.0 100.0
Sam Hinman - 1 28.0 4.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 1.0 95 5.0 30.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 -1.36 22.8 0.0
Brayden St. Pierre - 1 32.0 4.0 7.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 8.0 85 14.2 305.4 25.0 25.0 50.0 0.5 41.0 37.5
Chris Bianco - 6 9.4 3.8 1.2 1.3 1.2 0.0 1.3 2.5 3.7 13 0.9 12.0 46.7 57.1 50.0 -2.18 59.3 60.0
Chiwer Mayen - 17 10.7 3.5 3.2 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.4 2.1 5.1 11 0.6 13.1 82.9 0 33.3 -1.18 81.2 82.9
David Omasombo - 13 10.2 3.2 1.4 2.1 0.3 0.1 0.8 3.2 3.1 57 4.8 138.3 35.7 37.5 75.0 1.01 48.0 46.4
Charlie Williams - 7 3.8 3.0 1.4 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.1 1.7 3.0 18 3.0 411.4 75.0 0 100.0 0.31 78.8 75.0
Darius Peterson - 1 26.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 0.0 3 0.2 1.8 0.0 0.0 75.0 -2.36 22.2 0.0
Theo Pow - 1 6.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 67 3.9 24.7 50.0 0 50.0 2.31 52.1 50.0
Cole Decker - 9 11.8 2.8 1.8 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.7 3.4 1.3 48 3.4 91.8 29.0 33.3 100.0 0.57 39.2 37.1
Andrew Hartel - 1 16.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 -1.0 -10 -0.7 -5.3 25.0 0 0 -2.17 25.0 25.0
Gabe Lash - 1 37.0 2.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 4.0 1.0 38 2.5 13.4 25.0 0.0 0 2.31 25.0 25.0
Nolan Bessire - 1 19.0 2.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 4.0 -19 -1.4 -6.8 50.0 0 0 -1.0 50.0 50.0
Jackson Bleecker - 1 28.0 2.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 8.0 -4.0 21 7.0 36.5 0.0 0.0 100.0 -0.2 11.3 0.0
Ben Leach - 8 5.1 1.5 2.4 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.5 0.9 3.0 -11 -1.4 -25.0 71.4 0.0 66.7 0.9 72.1 71.4
Aydan Gedeon-Hope - 5 3.8 1.2 1.6 0.2 0.4 0.0 0.4 1.2 1.8 - - - 50.0 0.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Theo Falkenhain - 4 3.0 1.0 0.5 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.2 16 2.7 237.0 50.0 0.0 0 0.85 50.0 50.0
Logan Bagshaw - 1 6.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Alex Halpern - 1 17.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 -4.0 -9 -0.9 -8.6 0.0 0.0 0 -2.15 0.0 0.0
Justas Bardauskas - 1 20.0 0.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 3.0 4.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Chris Rey - 1 6.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 2 1.0 8.0 0.0 0 0 1.12 0.0 0.0
Rashard Doyal - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 6 0.5 27.3 0 0 0 -0.54 0 0
Braden Camire - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 64 4.9 35.5 0.0 0.0 0 0.23 0.0 0.0
Charlie Houghton - 1 20.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 5.0 9.0 -7.0 108 6.4 43.1 0.0 0.0 0 0.15 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG