Barton
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1066 (#115) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1053 (#188) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1051 (#137) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -1.5 (#243) | HCA +2.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +2.5 (#321) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.305 (#441) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.564 (#258) | NetEff +1.8 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.214 (#516) | AdjNet -11.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.214 (#517) | AdjNet -11.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.334 (#523) | AdjO 62.2 | AdjD 69.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.554 (#244) | AdjO 63.5 | AdjD 61.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.509 (#346) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.528 (#325) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1042 (#208) | RD 94 | GP 23 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-09 | @ | William & Mary | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Newberry | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Augusta | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-19 | @ | Coker | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | USC Beaufort | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | UNC Pembroke | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | Winston-Salem | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Chowan | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Shaw | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Shorter | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-17 | vs | Mount Olive | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Livingstone | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-31 | vs | USC Aiken | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Young Harris | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Lees-McRae | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-13 | vs | Francis Marion | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Converse | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-19 | vs | North Greenville | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-23 | @ | Erskine | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | UNC Pembroke | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-30 | vs | Ferrum | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Southern Wesleyan | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | King (TN) | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Layne Sleight | - | 21 | 30.2 | 12.9 | 5.1 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 2.1 | 12.3 | 7.3 | 39 | 1.9 | 8.0 | 35.1 | 34.3 | 72.2 | -0.75 | 47.7 | 44.6 |
| Lauren Mingo | - | 21 | 30.4 | 11.4 | 7.9 | 3.9 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 9.9 | 13.9 | 110 | 5.2 | 22.4 | 43.0 | 16.2 | 70.9 | 4.67 | 49.6 | 44.4 |
| MaKayla Noble | - | 19 | 17.8 | 9.7 | 5.3 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 1.6 | 8.2 | 6.8 | -3 | -0.2 | -1.0 | 49.4 | 27.8 | 68.4 | 0.87 | 53.6 | 51.0 |
| Celeste Bailey | - | 21 | 32.3 | 8.5 | 3.0 | 2.2 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 1.6 | 8.4 | 5.2 | 54 | 2.6 | 9.8 | 34.5 | 28.3 | 68.9 | -0.7 | 43.9 | 38.7 |
| Leah Hampton | - | 16 | 27.6 | 7.6 | 3.2 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.5 | 7.7 | 4.0 | 27 | 1.7 | 9.9 | 34.1 | 25.6 | 80.0 | -2.15 | 46.3 | 43.1 |
| Lauren Farrell | - | 21 | 16.4 | 5.3 | 3.9 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.4 | 5.0 | 122 | 5.8 | 41.1 | 45.7 | 38.5 | 59.5 | 4.38 | 51.3 | 48.4 |
| Cyntiah Braden | - | 19 | 17.6 | 4.9 | 3.8 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 84 | 4.4 | 26.0 | 30.7 | 13.2 | 65.5 | -0.57 | 37.1 | 32.9 |
| Dasani Williamson | - | 18 | 12.5 | 3.2 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 1.5 | 4.3 | -0.2 | -32 | -1.9 | -57.7 | 32.5 | 0.0 | 46.7 | -2.06 | 34.1 | 32.5 |
| Jahriell Murchison | - | 19 | 15.1 | 3.0 | 2.8 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 3.2 | 2.3 | 24 | 1.3 | 13.2 | 34.4 | 32.0 | 53.8 | -1.76 | 42.7 | 41.0 |
| Candice Williams | - | 10 | 8.8 | 2.9 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 3.3 | -1 | -0.1 | -10.9 | 50.0 | 66.7 | 73.3 | -0.48 | 64.2 | 56.2 |
| Erica McClary | - | 1 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Jaliyah Mitchell | - | 6 | 5.5 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 0.7 | - | - | - | 30.0 | 0.0 | 30.0 | 0.45 | 31.2 | 30.0 |
| Tamiya Turner | - | 17 | 8.5 | 0.8 | 2.6 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 2.2 | 37 | 2.3 | 28.0 | 27.8 | 0 | 50.0 | 1.37 | 31.5 | 27.8 |
| Kaylin McKoy | - | 3 | 4.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 8 | 2.7 | 243.0 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 25.0 | 25.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG