Barton
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1048 (#135) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1018 (#261) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1051 (#137) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -1.7 (#192) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +2.5 (#321) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.305 (#441) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.564 (#258) | NetEff +1.8 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.214 (#516) | AdjNet -11.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.214 (#517) | AdjNet -11.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.334 (#523) | AdjO 62.2 | AdjD 69.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.554 (#244) | AdjO 63.5 | AdjD 61.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.509 (#345) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.529 (#325) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1039 (#211) | RD 95 | GP 23 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-09 | @ | William & Mary | L | 62 - 81 |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Newberry | L | 51 - 59 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Augusta | L | 63 - 67 |
| 2025-11-19 | @ | Coker | L | 52 - 74 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | USC Beaufort | W | 56 - 48 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | UNC Pembroke | W | 82 - 59 |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | Winston-Salem | L | 54 - 56 |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Chowan | W | 61 - 59 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Shaw | W | 56 - 44 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Shorter | L | 0 - 0 |
| 2025-12-17 | vs | Mount Olive | W | 79 - 61 |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Livingstone | W | 74 - 70 |
| 2025-12-31 | vs | USC Aiken | W | 60 - 52 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Young Harris | L | 52 - 59 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Lees-McRae | L | 56 - 68 |
| 2026-01-13 | vs | Francis Marion | L | 42 - 67 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Converse | W | 90 - 62 |
| 2026-01-19 | vs | North Greenville | W | 79 - 62 |
| 2026-01-23 | @ | Erskine | W | 76 - 52 |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | UNC Pembroke | L | 75 - 78 |
| 2026-01-30 | vs | Ferrum | W | 65 - 48 |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Southern Wesleyan | W | 76 - 71 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | King (TN) | W | 71 - 61 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caitlin Ronk | - | 1 | 32.3 | 15.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 14.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 28.6 | 25.0 | 100.0 | - | 47.6 | 39.3 |
| Layne Sleight | - | 21 | 30.2 | 12.9 | 5.1 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 2.1 | 12.3 | 7.3 | 39 | 1.9 | 8.0 | 35.1 | 34.3 | 72.2 | -1.87 | 47.7 | 44.6 |
| Lauren Mingo | - | 22 | 30.4 | 11.4 | 7.9 | 3.8 | 2.9 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 10.0 | 13.5 | 110 | 5.2 | 22.4 | 41.6 | 15.0 | 71.3 | 0.24 | 48.6 | 42.9 |
| MaKayla Noble | - | 20 | 18.0 | 9.6 | 5.2 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 8.1 | 6.7 | -3 | -0.2 | -1.0 | 48.4 | 27.8 | 67.4 | -0.79 | 53.0 | 50.0 |
| Celeste Bailey | - | 22 | 31.6 | 8.2 | 2.9 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 8.1 | 4.9 | 54 | 2.6 | 9.8 | 34.1 | 27.3 | 69.8 | 1.58 | 43.8 | 38.3 |
| Leah Hampton | - | 17 | 26.5 | 7.4 | 3.0 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.5 | 7.5 | 3.8 | 27 | 1.7 | 9.9 | 33.9 | 25.8 | 80.0 | 0.03 | 46.0 | 42.9 |
| Lauren Farrell | - | 22 | 16.4 | 5.4 | 3.8 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 4.3 | 5.2 | 122 | 5.8 | 41.1 | 47.4 | 42.9 | 59.5 | 1.45 | 53.0 | 50.5 |
| Cyntiah Braden | - | 20 | 17.6 | 5.2 | 3.9 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 6.2 | 3.2 | 84 | 4.4 | 26.0 | 30.9 | 12.5 | 66.7 | -1.6 | 37.4 | 32.9 |
| Dasani Williamson | - | 18 | 12.5 | 3.2 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 1.5 | 4.3 | -0.2 | -32 | -1.9 | -57.7 | 32.5 | 0.0 | 46.7 | -1.92 | 34.1 | 32.5 |
| Jahriell Murchison | - | 20 | 14.8 | 3.1 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 3.2 | 2.4 | 24 | 1.3 | 13.2 | 35.9 | 33.3 | 53.3 | -0.69 | 44.6 | 43.0 |
| Candice Williams | - | 11 | 8.8 | 2.6 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 2.7 | -1 | -0.1 | -10.9 | 44.4 | 50.0 | 73.3 | -0.28 | 58.9 | 50.0 |
| Erica McClary | - | 1 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Ariyana Carlton | - | 1 | 12.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Jaliyah Mitchell | - | 7 | 5.6 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 0.7 | - | - | - | 30.0 | 0.0 | 30.0 | - | 31.2 | 30.0 |
| Tamiya Turner | - | 18 | 8.8 | 0.8 | 2.7 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 37 | 2.3 | 28.0 | 27.8 | 0 | 50.0 | 1.32 | 32.5 | 27.8 |
| Kaylin McKoy | - | 3 | 4.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 8 | 2.7 | 243.0 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.06 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG