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Barton

Also known as: Barton
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1048 (#135) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1018 (#261) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 1051 (#137) HCA +75 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → -1.7 (#192) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → +2.5 (#321) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.305 (#441) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +1.8 More → 0.564 (#258) NetEff +1.8
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -11.3 More → 0.214 (#516) AdjNet -11.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -11.0 More → 0.214 (#517) AdjNet -11.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 62.2 | AdjD 69.7 More → 0.334 (#523) AdjO 62.2 | AdjD 69.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 63.5 | AdjD 61.1 More → 0.554 (#244) AdjO 63.5 | AdjD 61.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.509 (#345) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.529 (#325) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 95 | GP 23 More → 1039 (#211) RD 95 | GP 23

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-09 @ William & Mary L 62 - 81
2025-11-14 @ Newberry L 51 - 59
2025-11-15 @ Augusta L 63 - 67
2025-11-19 @ Coker L 52 - 74
2025-11-22 vs USC Beaufort W 56 - 48
2025-11-25 @ UNC Pembroke W 82 - 59
2025-11-29 vs Winston-Salem L 54 - 56
2025-12-03 @ Chowan W 61 - 59
2025-12-06 @ Shaw W 56 - 44
2025-12-13 vs Shorter L 0 - 0
2025-12-17 vs Mount Olive W 79 - 61
2025-12-20 @ Livingstone W 74 - 70
2025-12-31 vs USC Aiken W 60 - 52
2026-01-03 @ Young Harris L 52 - 59
2026-01-10 vs Lees-McRae L 56 - 68
2026-01-13 vs Francis Marion L 42 - 67
2026-01-17 @ Converse W 90 - 62
2026-01-19 vs North Greenville W 79 - 62
2026-01-23 @ Erskine W 76 - 52
2026-01-28 vs UNC Pembroke L 75 - 78
2026-01-30 vs Ferrum W 65 - 48
2026-02-04 @ Southern Wesleyan W 76 - 71
2026-02-07 vs King (TN) W 71 - 61

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Caitlin Ronk - 1 32.3 15.0 8.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 14.0 5.0 - - - 28.6 25.0 100.0 - 47.6 39.3
Layne Sleight - 21 30.2 12.9 5.1 2.0 1.7 0.2 2.1 12.3 7.3 39 1.9 8.0 35.1 34.3 72.2 -1.87 47.7 44.6
Lauren Mingo - 22 30.4 11.4 7.9 3.8 2.9 0.5 3.0 10.0 13.5 110 5.2 22.4 41.6 15.0 71.3 0.24 48.6 42.9
MaKayla Noble - 20 18.0 9.6 5.2 0.7 0.6 0.2 1.7 8.1 6.7 -3 -0.2 -1.0 48.4 27.8 67.4 -0.79 53.0 50.0
Celeste Bailey - 22 31.6 8.2 2.9 2.1 1.1 0.3 1.7 8.1 4.9 54 2.6 9.8 34.1 27.3 69.8 1.58 43.8 38.3
Leah Hampton - 17 26.5 7.4 3.0 1.4 0.9 0.1 1.5 7.5 3.8 27 1.7 9.9 33.9 25.8 80.0 0.03 46.0 42.9
Lauren Farrell - 22 16.4 5.4 3.8 0.4 0.9 0.0 0.9 4.3 5.2 122 5.8 41.1 47.4 42.9 59.5 1.45 53.0 50.5
Cyntiah Braden - 20 17.6 5.2 3.9 0.6 0.8 0.1 1.1 6.2 3.2 84 4.4 26.0 30.9 12.5 66.7 -1.6 37.4 32.9
Dasani Williamson - 18 12.5 3.2 1.8 0.3 0.3 0.1 1.5 4.3 -0.2 -32 -1.9 -57.7 32.5 0.0 46.7 -1.92 34.1 32.5
Jahriell Murchison - 20 14.8 3.1 2.8 0.8 0.3 0.2 1.8 3.2 2.4 24 1.3 13.2 35.9 33.3 53.3 -0.69 44.6 43.0
Candice Williams - 11 8.8 2.6 1.3 0.8 0.5 0.0 0.8 1.6 2.7 -1 -0.1 -10.9 44.4 50.0 73.3 -0.28 58.9 50.0
Erica McClary - 1 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 - - - 50.0 0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Ariyana Carlton - 1 12.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Jaliyah Mitchell - 7 5.6 1.3 1.1 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.7 1.4 0.7 - - - 30.0 0.0 30.0 - 31.2 30.0
Tamiya Turner - 18 8.8 0.8 2.7 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.7 1.0 2.3 37 2.3 28.0 27.8 0 50.0 1.32 32.5 27.8
Kaylin McKoy - 3 4.0 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.3 0.0 8 2.7 243.0 25.0 0.0 0 0.06 25.0 25.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG