Barton
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 984 (#214) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 952 (#265) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +2.0 (#212) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.520 (#324) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.574 (#178) | NetEff +2.8 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.550 (#395) | AdjNet +1.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.556 (#393) | AdjNet +1.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.529 (#393) | AdjO 82.6 | AdjD 81.3 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-08 | vs | Columbus St. | L | 60 - 78 |
| 2024-11-09 | vs | Augusta | W | 87 - 86 |
| 2024-11-15 | @ | Morris | W | 111 - 55 |
| 2024-11-16 | @ | Ga. Southwestern | W | 82 - 72 |
| 2024-11-20 | vs | Virginia St. | W | 100 - 86 |
| 2024-11-23 | vs | Southern Wesleyan | W | 98 - 88 |
| 2024-11-26 | @ | Shaw | L | 76 - 79 |
| 2024-11-30 | vs | Erskine | L | 93 - 101 |
| 2024-12-04 | @ | Elizabeth City St. | L | 80 - 87 |
| 2024-12-07 | @ | Chowan | L | 89 - 99 |
| 2024-12-14 | vs | Francis Marion | W | 98 - 67 |
| 2024-12-17 | @ | King (TN) | L | 87 - 90 |
| 2025-01-04 | vs | Belmont Abbey | W | 74 - 46 |
| 2025-01-08 | @ | UNC Pembroke | L | 77 - 83 |
| 2025-01-14 | vs | Elizabeth City St. | L | 85 - 88 |
| 2025-01-18 | vs | Young Harris | W | 77 - 73 |
| 2025-01-20 | @ | North Greenville | W | 72 - 65 |
| 2025-01-23 | vs | Mount Olive | W | 103 - 94 |
| 2025-01-25 | @ | Southern Wesleyan | L | 98 - 102 |
| 2025-01-29 | vs | UNC Pembroke | L | 65 - 97 |
| 2025-02-01 | vs | North Greenville | W | 82 - 72 |
| 2025-02-05 | @ | Francis Marion | W | 96 - 90 |
| 2025-02-08 | @ | Emmanuel (GA) | L | 71 - 87 |
| 2025-02-12 | @ | Lees-McRae | L | 75 - 87 |
| 2025-02-15 | vs | Converse | W | 92 - 65 |
| 2025-02-22 | @ | Shorter | W | 88 - 83 |
| 2025-02-24 | @ | Mount Olive | L | 105 - 110 |
| 2025-02-26 | vs | Chowan | W | 94 - 72 |
| 2025-03-03 | vs | Converse | W | 83 - 67 |
| 2025-03-07 | @ | Chowan | L | 76 - 86 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Nelson | - | 30 | 26.1 | 18.9 | 5.3 | 4.5 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 2.4 | 12.1 | 16.5 | 49 | 1.6 | 4.9 | 50.1 | 41.0 | 73.4 | 0.42 | 60.4 | 53.6 |
| Jett Fortuny | - | 30 | 27.1 | 11.1 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 8.8 | 5.0 | 87 | 2.9 | 9.4 | 43.3 | 42.6 | 75.0 | 1.29 | 60.5 | 59.3 |
| Sean Quick-Streeter | - | 30 | 15.0 | 8.2 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 7.1 | 4.7 | -94 | -2.4 | -18.1 | 42.9 | 26.1 | 74.1 | -0.0 | 52.0 | 48.3 |
| Jordan Johnson | - | 27 | 19.4 | 7.6 | 1.3 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 47 | 2.0 | 7.8 | 39.4 | 37.9 | 82.6 | 1.2 | 52.0 | 49.7 |
| Jaylen Faber | - | 28 | 12.9 | 6.5 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 4.9 | 4.4 | -88 | -2.4 | -22.3 | 45.7 | 39.5 | 72.2 | -0.01 | 59.2 | 56.5 |
| Trey Crews | - | 29 | 13.1 | 5.8 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 5.3 | 3.3 | -49 | -2.0 | -12.7 | 32.7 | 15.5 | 70.7 | 0.02 | 44.2 | 35.6 |
| Trey Fields | - | 30 | 11.5 | 5.8 | 3.2 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 4.1 | 5.7 | -33 | -0.8 | -9.4 | 52.4 | 16.7 | 76.8 | -0.25 | 58.9 | 53.2 |
| Marko Krtinic | - | 27 | 19.9 | 5.4 | 6.9 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 3.9 | 9.9 | 8 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 60.0 | 0.0 | 71.4 | 1.09 | 62.2 | 60.0 |
| Jarrian Hancock | - | 30 | 20.2 | 5.2 | 5.1 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 3.9 | 8.2 | 139 | 4.6 | 19.1 | 53.4 | 25.0 | 62.2 | 1.61 | 57.1 | 54.7 |
| Nygie Stroman | - | 30 | 14.3 | 4.1 | 2.9 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 4.0 | 4.2 | -27 | -0.9 | -5.9 | 40.8 | 28.9 | 68.4 | 0.25 | 48.3 | 46.2 |
| Nasiar Blackston | - | 30 | 5.0 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 2.3 | 1.3 | -54 | -2.1 | -34.0 | 41.2 | 18.2 | 46.9 | -0.12 | 45.7 | 44.1 |
| Justin Stephens | - | 30 | 4.7 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 1.3 | -96 | -3.8 | -97.5 | 34.4 | 29.6 | 50.0 | -0.33 | 42.4 | 41.0 |
| Chris Nobles | - | 28 | 4.1 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 1.9 | -57 | -2.2 | -133.9 | 54.3 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.66 | 54.8 | 54.3 |
| Nijel Howard | - | 30 | 3.4 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 1.4 | -61 | -3.2 | -98.1 | 50.0 | 33.3 | 100.0 | -0.52 | 57.1 | 52.4 |
| Will Asken | - | 21 | 3.0 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.8 | -34 | -3.4 | -61.0 | 27.3 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.49 | 44.0 | 27.3 |
| Tre Morgan | - | 30 | 2.4 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | -28 | -2.0 | -80.3 | 55.6 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.73 | 55.8 | 55.6 |
| Christian Taylor | - | 23 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | -10 | -10.0 | -64.2 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | 0.16 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| A.J. Thompson | - | 20 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG