Barry
Model Outputs
2016-2017
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1181 (#47) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1218 (#35) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1094 (#51) | HCA +68 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +15.2 (#34) | HCA +2.5 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +11.1 (#64) | HCA +2.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.735 (#55) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.875 (#37) | AdjNet +16.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.877 (#38) | AdjNet +17.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.757 (#36) | AdjO 90.7 | AdjD 78.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.632 (#64) | AdjO 87.0 | AdjD 81.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.778 (#44) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.757 (#46) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1198 (#41) | RD 107 | GP 28 |
2017 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016-11-12 | vs | JWU (North Miami) | W | 93 - 77 |
| 2016-11-16 | vs | Lynn | W | 94 - 68 |
| 2016-11-19 | @ | Florida Tech | W | 96 - 84 |
| 2016-11-25 | vs | Shaw | W | 95 - 70 |
| 2016-11-26 | vs | Fla. National | W | 100 - 90 |
| 2016-11-30 | vs | Nova Southeastern | W | 79 - 73 |
| 2016-12-03 | @ | Saint Leo | L | 93 - 99 |
| 2016-12-10 | @ | Fla. Southern | W | 106 - 99 |
| 2016-12-19 | vs | UIndy | W | 110 - 83 |
| 2016-12-30 | vs | Rollins | W | 90 - 70 |
| 2016-12-31 | vs | Xavier (LA) | - | Preview |
| 2017-01-04 | vs | Virgin Islands | W | 108 - 92 |
| 2017-01-07 | @ | Eckerd | W | 97 - 95 |
| 2017-01-11 | vs | Palm Beach Atl. | W | 91 - 73 |
| 2017-01-14 | vs | Embry-Riddle (FL) | W | 86 - 80 |
| 2017-01-18 | @ | Tampa | L | 80 - 88 |
| 2017-01-21 | @ | Nova Southeastern | W | 77 - 63 |
| 2017-01-25 | vs | Florida Tech | W | 103 - 78 |
| 2017-01-28 | vs | Eckerd | W | 84 - 72 |
| 2017-02-01 | @ | Lynn | W | 80 - 75 |
| 2017-02-04 | vs | Saint Leo | W | 96 - 91 |
| 2017-02-08 | @ | Palm Beach Atl. | L | 75 - 76 |
| 2017-02-11 | vs | Tampa | L | 76 - 86 |
| 2017-02-15 | @ | Rollins | L | 85 - 90 |
| 2017-02-22 | vs | Fla. Southern | W | 98 - 88 |
| 2017-02-25 | @ | Embry-Riddle (FL) | W | 113 - 102 |
| 2017-03-01 | vs | Florida Tech | W | 87 - 84 |
| 2017-03-04 | @ | Palm Beach Atl. | L | 95 - 97 |
| 2017-03-11 | vs | Eckerd | W | 91 - 87 |
| 2017-03-12 | @ | UAH | L | 82 - 96 |
2017 Roster
No roster data available for this season.