🐻⬇️🏀

Bard

Also known as: Bard
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 904 (#402) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 869 (#396) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → -30.1 (#393) HCA +2.4
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.011 (#707) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -32.6 More → 0.007 (#424) NetEff -32.6
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -50.2 More → 0.003 (#701) AdjNet -50.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -50.4 More → 0.002 (#697) AdjNet -50.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 42.1 | AdjD 71.6 More → 0.064 (#687) AdjO 42.1 | AdjD 71.6

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-09 vs Marywood L 52 - 57
2024-11-10 @ Sarah Lawrence W 55 - 44
2024-11-13 vs Russell Sage L 52 - 56
2024-11-16 @ Paul Smiths W 58 - 47
2024-11-23 @ Lesley L 44 - 47
2024-11-24 @ JWU (Providence) L 52 - 97
2024-12-06 @ RIT L 50 - 82
2024-12-07 @ Ithaca L 44 - 71
2024-12-12 vs Union (NY) L 29 - 63
2025-01-04 @ Mount Holyoke L 58 - 67
2025-01-07 @ Union (NY) L 31 - 54
2025-01-10 @ Clarkson L 36 - 67
2025-01-11 @ St. Lawrence L 34 - 64
2025-01-17 vs William Smith L 62 - 63
2025-01-18 vs Rensselaer L 42 - 71
2025-01-24 @ Skidmore L 41 - 73
2025-01-25 @ Vassar L 47 - 74
2025-01-31 vs St. Lawrence L 35 - 68
2025-02-01 vs Clarkson L 37 - 60
2025-02-07 vs Vassar L 30 - 68
2025-02-08 vs Skidmore L 40 - 59
2025-02-14 @ Rensselaer L 40 - 87
2025-02-15 @ William Smith L 38 - 71
2025-02-21 vs Ithaca L 34 - 85
2025-02-22 vs RIT L 49 - 75

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Lexi Miller - 25 23.6 8.2 8.0 0.9 0.9 0.8 1.5 9.3 8.0 -53 -2.2 -2.0 36.2 0.0 44.2 -0.69 38.2 36.2
Erin Tobes - 24 25.5 7.8 4.5 2.1 1.1 0.2 4.7 9.6 1.4 -147 -5.1 -5.9 30.7 8.7 60.3 -0.61 35.7 31.2
Aislynn Dixon - 25 26.9 7.5 3.2 0.9 0.7 0.3 2.2 7.9 2.5 -196 -6.3 -7.1 30.8 29.1 75.0 -1.16 44.1 41.2
Shirley Dong - 25 30.2 5.8 5.0 2.1 1.4 0.2 4.8 8.6 1.1 -119 -3.8 -4.2 25.6 20.0 80.0 -0.38 32.4 30.0
Maggy Peyton - 22 20.0 4.8 4.0 0.4 0.3 0.5 1.5 4.9 3.6 -86 -4.1 -6.4 31.8 10.0 63.2 -0.54 39.7 32.2
Jessica Martin - 25 25.1 4.2 2.0 0.7 0.6 0.1 2.0 6.8 -1.1 -171 -5.5 -7.5 24.1 17.0 60.0 -1.32 30.1 29.1
Tianna Gonzalez - 25 17.7 3.5 3.4 0.6 0.7 0.2 2.3 4.6 1.3 -83 -2.9 -5.8 29.3 22.2 48.1 -0.8 34.0 31.9
Alleisha Romain - 22 10.8 1.0 1.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.7 1.9 -1.1 -93 -5.8 -12.1 19.5 0.0 75.0 -0.95 24.7 19.5
Melina Koulouri - 24 4.4 0.5 0.7 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.7 -17 -0.9 -6.6 33.3 0.0 80.0 0.04 42.3 33.3
Alexandria Thomas - 21 3.9 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.0 -43 -2.9 -15.5 17.6 0.0 50.0 -0.32 24.4 17.6
Maeve O'sullivan - 1 14.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 -51 -2.4 -5.8 0.0 0 0 -0.43 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG