Azusa Pacific
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1105 (#51) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1126 (#64) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +15.5 (#51) | HCA +2.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.867 (#202) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.893 (#68) | NetEff +16.8 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.900 (#206) | AdjNet +19.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.919 (#195) | AdjNet +20.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.777 (#192) | AdjO 74.7 | AdjD 61.0 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-08 | vs | Cal Poly Pomona | W | 75 - 50 |
| 2024-11-09 | vs | Cal St. San Marcos | W | 69 - 59 |
| 2024-11-15 | @ | Western Wash. | W | 88 - 77 |
| 2024-11-16 | @ | Seattle Pacific | W | 90 - 70 |
| 2024-11-19 | vs | Cal Poly Humboldt | W | 80 - 52 |
| 2024-11-22 | @ | Cal State LA | L | 73 - 74 |
| 2024-12-05 | @ | Menlo | W | 82 - 67 |
| 2024-12-07 | @ | Dominican (CA) | W | 84 - 77 |
| 2024-12-11 | @ | CUI | W | 73 - 57 |
| 2024-12-14 | @ | Westmont | W | 72 - 65 |
| 2024-12-20 | vs | Nobel | W | 96 - 39 |
| 2025-01-02 | vs | Jessup | W | 90 - 72 |
| 2025-01-04 | vs | Fresno Pacific | W | 85 - 53 |
| 2025-01-09 | @ | Hawaii Pacific | W | 66 - 63 |
| 2025-01-11 | @ | Chaminade | W | 59 - 57 |
| 2025-01-15 | vs | Vanguard | L | 79 - 86 |
| 2025-01-18 | vs | Hawaii Hilo | W | 66 - 47 |
| 2025-01-20 | vs | Hawaii Pacific | W | 81 - 77 |
| 2025-01-25 | @ | Jessup | W | 77 - 56 |
| 2025-01-29 | @ | Point Loma | L | 64 - 66 |
| 2025-02-01 | @ | Biola | W | 65 - 44 |
| 2025-02-05 | vs | CUI | W | 91 - 63 |
| 2025-02-08 | @ | Vanguard | L | 52 - 67 |
| 2025-02-12 | vs | Westmont | W | 85 - 68 |
| 2025-02-19 | vs | Point Loma | L | 68 - 72 |
| 2025-02-27 | vs | Biola | W | 62 - 61 |
| 2025-03-01 | vs | Academy of Art | W | 82 - 58 |
| 2025-03-07 | @ | Dominican (CA) | L | 0 - 56 |
| 2025-03-14 | @ | Cal St. Dom. Hills | L | 58 - 77 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly Heimburger | - | 29 | 30.3 | 18.1 | 6.1 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 2.8 | 16.6 | 10.3 | 61 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 39.6 | 29.9 | 87.0 | 0.46 | 49.9 | 45.0 |
| Amayah Kirkman | - | 29 | 30.4 | 15.9 | 6.2 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 0.2 | 2.4 | 14.8 | 9.5 | 28 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 40.5 | 32.3 | 85.3 | 0.04 | 50.0 | 46.7 |
| Lauren Jones | - | 29 | 24.0 | 9.1 | 2.4 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 44 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 41.1 | 36.5 | 62.5 | 0.89 | 55.7 | 55.2 |
| Audrey Sayoc | - | 29 | 34.4 | 8.4 | 4.0 | 5.3 | 2.2 | 0.3 | 2.5 | 8.0 | 9.7 | 49 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 40.3 | 35.1 | 70.8 | 0.54 | 50.3 | 48.9 |
| Sydney Hani | - | 29 | 16.2 | 6.8 | 4.0 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 5.2 | 6.4 | 9 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 54.7 | 33.3 | 76.2 | -0.09 | 58.5 | 55.0 |
| Sabrina Belquist | - | 25 | 12.7 | 4.2 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 4.0 | 3.7 | 26 | 1.4 | 2.3 | 33.0 | 23.9 | 84.8 | 0.1 | 45.8 | 38.5 |
| Elyse Mitchell | - | 29 | 13.3 | 4.1 | 2.5 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 4.2 | 3.1 | 4 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 35.2 | 39.1 | 72.7 | 0.4 | 46.9 | 45.5 |
| Rachel Roderick | - | 29 | 9.2 | 3.6 | 3.1 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 3.3 | 3.9 | -16 | -0.4 | -0.9 | 46.3 | 0.0 | 81.0 | -0.06 | 50.4 | 46.3 |
| Rome Falcocchia | - | 29 | 16.0 | 3.2 | 3.6 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 2.8 | 5.2 | 60 | 1.5 | 2.4 | 50.6 | 0.0 | 52.6 | 0.42 | 51.5 | 50.6 |
| Mia Pierce | - | 28 | 6.9 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.4 | 1.0 | -2 | -0.1 | -0.3 | 30.8 | 28.0 | 50.0 | -0.13 | 40.5 | 39.7 |
| Maryah Anderson | - | 29 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 125 | 2.6 | 4.0 | 45.5 | 40.0 | 100.0 | 0.59 | 58.9 | 54.5 |
| Aaliyah Garcia | - | 29 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | -0.0 | 5 | 0.3 | 3.3 | 23.1 | 14.3 | 0 | -0.41 | 26.9 | 26.9 |
| Ariela Boboc | - | 22 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG