Austin
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 933 (#360) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 946 (#405) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1039 (#219) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -2.4 (#220) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +4.7 (#283) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.279 (#545) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.554 (#341) | NetEff +1.5 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.143 (#519) | AdjNet -15.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.132 (#518) | AdjNet -16.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.293 (#509) | AdjO 54.3 | AdjD 63.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.651 (#179) | AdjO 59.2 | AdjD 52.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.623 (#280) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.625 (#276) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1024 (#282) | RD 99 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-03 | vs | Sewanee | W | 115 - 46 |
| 2025-11-08 | @ | Southwestern (TX) | L | 41 - 65 |
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Lyon | W | 82 - 62 |
| 2025-11-21 | @ | Howard Payne | W | 62 - 52 |
| 2025-11-29 | @ | Millsaps | L | 44 - 56 |
| 2025-11-30 | @ | MUW | W | 57 - 54 |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Dallas | W | 64 - 44 |
| 2025-12-17 | vs | Millsaps | L | 55 - 63 |
| 2025-12-28 | vs | Berry | W | 73 - 38 |
| 2026-01-11 | @ | St. Thomas (TX) | L | 58 - 65 |
| 2026-01-16 | vs | Centenary (LA) | W | 78 - 54 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | LeTourneau | W | 64 - 53 |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Hendrix | W | 75 - 43 |
| 2026-01-22 | vs | Ozarks (AR) | W | 63 - 50 |
| 2026-01-30 | @ | Centenary (LA) | W | 66 - 41 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | LeTourneau | W | 72 - 57 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Texas Lutheran | L | 60 - 73 |
| 2026-02-08 | @ | Concordia (TX) | L | 0 - 0 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anovia Sheals | - | 2 | 24.3 | 16.5 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 10.5 | 12.5 | - | - | - | 57.1 | 30.0 | 85.7 | - | 68.5 | 64.3 |
| Jim'Miyah Branton | - | 2 | 25.1 | 15.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 9.0 | 14.5 | - | - | - | 72.2 | 50.0 | 100.0 | - | 81.3 | 80.6 |
| JaNiah Newell | - | 2 | 19.9 | 13.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 9.5 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 52.6 | 55.6 | 33.3 | - | 62.4 | 65.8 |
| Jade Rucker | - | 1 | 26.0 | 13.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 20.0 | - | - | - | 71.4 | 60.0 | 0 | - | 92.9 | 92.9 |
| Mckenzie Neal | - | 1 | 12.3 | 12.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | - | - | - | 71.4 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 76.1 | 71.4 |
| Lexi Martin | - | 15 | 33.5 | 11.4 | 2.6 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 11.5 | 4.5 | -26 | -1.5 | -8.4 | 32.4 | 36.5 | 77.8 | 0.75 | 46.2 | 43.4 |
| Avory Miller | - | 15 | 25.7 | 10.1 | 6.3 | 3.6 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 3.4 | 9.5 | 10.1 | -57 | -3.4 | -16.4 | 35.7 | 16.7 | 63.5 | 1.09 | 43.3 | 36.7 |
| Mya Williams | - | 2 | 18.2 | 8.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 4.5 | 180 | 10.0 | 98.6 | 42.9 | 27.3 | 100.0 | 4.72 | 57.1 | 53.6 |
| Kyra Perkins | - | 2 | 18.6 | 8.5 | 8.5 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 9.0 | 9.0 | -27 | -1.4 | -21.2 | 38.9 | 0.0 | 42.9 | -0.85 | 40.3 | 38.9 |
| Trinity Williams | - | 15 | 26.9 | 8.2 | 5.1 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 7.1 | 7.7 | -5 | -0.3 | -1.3 | 43.0 | 36.4 | 71.4 | 0.81 | 52.9 | 50.5 |
| Lameria Thomas | - | 1 | 29.2 | 8.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | -1 | -0.1 | -0.4 | 80.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.62 | 80.0 | 80.0 |
| Veronaye Charlton | - | 2 | 21.3 | 7.5 | 2.5 | 4.5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 6.0 | 9.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 33.3 | 66.7 | - | 56.3 | 54.2 |
| Brooklyn Matthews | - | 9 | 18.2 | 7.0 | 5.9 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 4.8 | 8.8 | 22 | 1.8 | 10.9 | 62.8 | 0 | 81.8 | 1.53 | 65.8 | 62.8 |
| Maya Dodson | - | 15 | 15.4 | 5.9 | 2.4 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 1.5 | 4.6 | 4.5 | -81 | -4.8 | -36.6 | 42.0 | 43.4 | 58.3 | -2.1 | 59.2 | 58.7 |
| Amarys Cuellar | - | 6 | 15.4 | 5.8 | 2.7 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 6.8 | 3.5 | -17 | -1.9 | -13.5 | 34.1 | 33.3 | 44.4 | -0.13 | 38.9 | 37.8 |
| Kaylee Smith | - | 9 | 17.6 | 5.6 | 2.6 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 7.2 | 2.3 | -17 | -2.1 | -6.9 | 30.8 | 8.3 | 57.1 | 0.89 | 35.1 | 32.3 |
| Taiyla Williams | - | 15 | 20.6 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 5.4 | 1.9 | -33 | -1.9 | -12.4 | 29.6 | 26.7 | 78.6 | -0.49 | 38.4 | 34.6 |
| Emma Potts | - | 15 | 19.9 | 4.2 | 4.8 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 1.5 | 3.1 | 6.9 | -67 | -3.9 | -29.8 | 58.7 | 0 | 52.9 | -1.7 | 58.9 | 58.7 |
| Saleigh Berry | - | 14 | 12.7 | 4.1 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 3.9 | 1.9 | -74 | -5.3 | -50.9 | 38.9 | 45.5 | 61.1 | -1.14 | 46.8 | 43.5 |
| Jeanine Brandsma | - | 1 | 9.7 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 0 | 0 | - | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Christen Campbell | - | 10 | 8.8 | 3.8 | 2.2 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 3.9 | 1.9 | -11 | -1.1 | -27.4 | 38.5 | 0 | 40.0 | 0.44 | 39.7 | 38.5 |
| Maeva Fotsa | - | 2 | 13.3 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 4.5 | - | - | - | 60.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 59.5 | 60.0 |
| Ines Gnahore | - | 2 | 20.8 | 2.5 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 5.5 | - | - | - | 20.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 23.9 | 20.0 |
| Makayla Beckett | - | 5 | 2.6 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.8 | 0.8 | -8 | -1.3 | -62.3 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.88 | 38.7 | 33.3 |
| Grace Moothart | - | 11 | 10.1 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 0.4 | -50 | -4.5 | -76.9 | 33.3 | 28.6 | 50.0 | -2.44 | 45.0 | 44.4 |
| Julianna Giles | - | 5 | 3.5 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 4 | 0.7 | 44.9 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 0 | 0.45 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Kaylee Lewis | - | 5 | 2.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.6 | -0.6 | -4 | -0.8 | -35.6 | 33.3 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.14 | 25.8 | 33.3 |
| Kate Fletcher | - | 5 | 2.8 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | -7 | -1.4 | -62.2 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.14 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Avery Rague | - | 5 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.8 | -34 | -5.7 | -302.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.14 | 0 | 0 |
| Maya Arzamendi | - | 1 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -3 | -3.0 | -128.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.6 | 0 | 0 |
| Shaylee Lane | - | 2 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Ester Sabet | - | 2 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | -0.5 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG