🐻⬇️🏀

Austin Peay

Also known as: Austin Peay
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 933 (#360) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 910 (#362) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → -7.0 (#259) HCA +2.4
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 1.000 (#79) -
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.279 (#545) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -3.3 More → 0.388 (#274) NetEff -3.3
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +55.2 More → 0.998 (#57) AdjNet +55.2
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -15.6 More → 0.143 (#519) AdjNet -15.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +54.5 More → 0.999 (#62) AdjNet +54.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -16.0 More → 0.132 (#518) AdjNet -16.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 82.9 | AdjD 47.3 More → 0.962 (#68) AdjO 82.9 | AdjD 47.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 54.3 | AdjD 63.9 More → 0.293 (#509) AdjO 54.3 | AdjD 63.9

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-15 @ Hendrix W 67 - 54
2024-11-16 @ Lyon L 85 - 106
2024-11-19 vs LeTourneau W 65 - 48
2024-11-26 vs Howard Payne W 73 - 68
2024-12-06 @ Howard Payne W 67 - 53
2024-12-07 @ Hardin-Simmons L 42 - 72
2024-12-16 @ LeTourneau L 55 - 69
2024-12-20 vs Texas-Dallas L 45 - 79
2024-12-30 @ Dallas W 72 - 63
2025-01-04 vs Dallas W 67 - 43
2025-01-12 @ Ozarks (AR) L 54 - 71
2025-01-14 @ Centenary (LA) W 75 - 48
2025-01-17 vs Schreiner L 66 - 73
2025-01-18 vs Trinity (TX) L 83 - 87
2025-01-24 vs Southwestern (TX) L 54 - 61
2025-01-25 vs Texas Lutheran L 57 - 63
2025-01-31 vs Colorado Col. L 45 - 59
2025-02-01 vs St. Thomas (TX) L 59 - 60
2025-02-07 @ Colorado Col. L 36 - 67
2025-02-09 @ St. Thomas (TX) L 44 - 65
2025-02-15 @ Concordia (TX) L 54 - 67
2025-02-16 @ McMurry L 51 - 87
2025-02-21 vs Centenary (LA) W 63 - 61
2025-02-23 vs Ozarks (AR) W 56 - 51

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Amyia Bowie - 1 43.0 22.0 10.0 6.0 5.0 0.0 8.0 21.0 14.0 59 1.8 1.8 38.1 0.0 60.0 -0.04 43.3 38.1
Lexi Martin - 22 32.6 11.3 2.9 2.2 1.5 0.0 2.4 11.5 4.1 -117 -3.9 -4.3 31.0 30.6 74.1 -0.57 44.7 40.7
Kenna Gibson - 1 35.0 10.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 9.0 4.0 35 1.2 1.5 44.4 20.0 100.0 -0.01 53.0 50.0
Ravyn Ellis - 1 37.0 9.0 3.0 1.0 4.0 1.0 5.0 9.0 4.0 21 1.0 1.2 33.3 33.3 100.0 -0.41 45.5 38.9
Brooklyn Matthews - 21 20.0 8.6 7.2 1.5 0.9 1.0 1.7 7.6 9.9 -37 -1.4 -2.2 53.1 0.0 40.0 0.41 52.6 53.1
Avory Miller - 23 27.5 7.7 6.4 3.2 2.0 0.7 3.2 8.4 8.4 -104 -3.2 -4.0 33.5 22.7 53.1 -0.7 38.8 34.8
Macie Whitfield - 1 16.0 7.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 6.0 2.0 104 3.2 3.3 50.0 0 50.0 -0.01 50.9 50.0
Raylee McDonald - 11 19.1 6.9 2.8 1.5 0.2 0.5 1.6 7.2 3.1 -75 -3.8 -5.3 43.0 0.0 88.9 -0.45 45.8 43.0
Trinity Williams - 23 16.4 6.2 2.7 1.5 0.7 0.4 0.7 5.6 5.3 -131 -4.1 -6.7 39.8 35.0 85.7 -0.43 52.9 50.8
Nora Aigberadion - 1 31.0 6.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 6.0 4.0 -39 -1.2 -2.9 50.0 0 0.0 -0.99 46.6 50.0
Kaylee Smith - 19 18.1 5.6 2.4 1.2 0.9 0.2 2.3 5.5 2.4 -93 -4.7 -8.1 42.9 0.0 77.3 -0.75 46.7 42.9
Maya Dodson - 22 19.4 5.0 4.4 1.5 0.7 0.2 1.9 5.4 4.4 -73 -2.4 -3.7 31.4 30.9 62.5 -0.68 43.6 41.9
Grace Moothart - 23 24.7 4.9 2.2 2.1 0.9 0.0 0.9 5.5 3.7 -55 -2.0 -3.4 31.7 30.7 60.0 -0.27 43.3 42.5
Taiyla Williams - 22 13.0 3.8 1.8 0.5 0.3 0.0 1.2 2.9 2.5 -31 -1.0 -1.4 46.0 20.0 59.0 0.3 52.4 48.4
Laura Jones - 1 8.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 49 1.7 3.3 0.0 0.0 66.7 0.61 23.1 0.0
Audrey Hernandez - 1 39.0 2.0 7.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 5.0 47 2.1 2.9 25.0 0.0 0 -0.01 25.0 25.0
Amber Bourgeois - 1 29.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 -2.0 63 2.9 3.4 14.3 0.0 0 0.23 14.3 14.3
Emma Potts - 21 8.3 1.7 1.7 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.5 1.8 1.8 -40 -1.3 -3.1 34.2 0.0 43.5 -0.81 37.4 34.2
Anna Duvall - 16 4.1 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 1.2 -0.1 -18 -1.6 -7.7 30.0 20.0 100.0 -0.41 38.3 35.0
Julianna Giles - 14 1.9 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.8 0.1 4 0.4 3.8 27.3 30.0 0 -0.06 40.9 40.9
Makayla Beckett - 15 1.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 -0.1 4 0.4 5.2 22.2 0.0 33.3 0.06 25.8 22.2
Avery Rague - 16 5.0 0.2 0.8 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.5 -24 -2.0 -7.0 7.1 0.0 25.0 -0.69 11.4 7.1
Kareena Aragon - 1 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 9 0.4 0.7 0.0 0 0 -0.73 0.0 0.0
Nevaeh Kearney - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -7 -0.4 -1.8 0 0 0 -0.37 0 0
Zoiey Jumawan - 1 5.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 16 0.5 1.3 0.0 0.0 0 0.05 0.0 0.0
Ester Sabet - 8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Amarys Cuellar - 4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -60 -7.5 -14.0 0 0 0 -0.23 0 0
Lyah Niera - 5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Kate Fletcher - 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG