Austin Peay
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 933 (#360) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 910 (#362) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -7.0 (#259) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 1.000 (#79) | - |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.279 (#545) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.388 (#274) | NetEff -3.3 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.998 (#57) | AdjNet +55.2 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.143 (#519) | AdjNet -15.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.999 (#62) | AdjNet +54.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.132 (#518) | AdjNet -16.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.962 (#68) | AdjO 82.9 | AdjD 47.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.293 (#509) | AdjO 54.3 | AdjD 63.9 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-15 | @ | Hendrix | W | 67 - 54 |
| 2024-11-16 | @ | Lyon | L | 85 - 106 |
| 2024-11-19 | vs | LeTourneau | W | 65 - 48 |
| 2024-11-26 | vs | Howard Payne | W | 73 - 68 |
| 2024-12-06 | @ | Howard Payne | W | 67 - 53 |
| 2024-12-07 | @ | Hardin-Simmons | L | 42 - 72 |
| 2024-12-16 | @ | LeTourneau | L | 55 - 69 |
| 2024-12-20 | vs | Texas-Dallas | L | 45 - 79 |
| 2024-12-30 | @ | Dallas | W | 72 - 63 |
| 2025-01-04 | vs | Dallas | W | 67 - 43 |
| 2025-01-12 | @ | Ozarks (AR) | L | 54 - 71 |
| 2025-01-14 | @ | Centenary (LA) | W | 75 - 48 |
| 2025-01-17 | vs | Schreiner | L | 66 - 73 |
| 2025-01-18 | vs | Trinity (TX) | L | 83 - 87 |
| 2025-01-24 | vs | Southwestern (TX) | L | 54 - 61 |
| 2025-01-25 | vs | Texas Lutheran | L | 57 - 63 |
| 2025-01-31 | vs | Colorado Col. | L | 45 - 59 |
| 2025-02-01 | vs | St. Thomas (TX) | L | 59 - 60 |
| 2025-02-07 | @ | Colorado Col. | L | 36 - 67 |
| 2025-02-09 | @ | St. Thomas (TX) | L | 44 - 65 |
| 2025-02-15 | @ | Concordia (TX) | L | 54 - 67 |
| 2025-02-16 | @ | McMurry | L | 51 - 87 |
| 2025-02-21 | vs | Centenary (LA) | W | 63 - 61 |
| 2025-02-23 | vs | Ozarks (AR) | W | 56 - 51 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amyia Bowie | - | 1 | 43.0 | 22.0 | 10.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 21.0 | 14.0 | 59 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 38.1 | 0.0 | 60.0 | -0.04 | 43.3 | 38.1 |
| Lexi Martin | - | 22 | 32.6 | 11.3 | 2.9 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 2.4 | 11.5 | 4.1 | -117 | -3.9 | -4.3 | 31.0 | 30.6 | 74.1 | -0.57 | 44.7 | 40.7 |
| Kenna Gibson | - | 1 | 35.0 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 35 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 44.4 | 20.0 | 100.0 | -0.01 | 53.0 | 50.0 |
| Ravyn Ellis | - | 1 | 37.0 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 21 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 100.0 | -0.41 | 45.5 | 38.9 |
| Brooklyn Matthews | - | 21 | 20.0 | 8.6 | 7.2 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 7.6 | 9.9 | -37 | -1.4 | -2.2 | 53.1 | 0.0 | 40.0 | 0.41 | 52.6 | 53.1 |
| Avory Miller | - | 23 | 27.5 | 7.7 | 6.4 | 3.2 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 3.2 | 8.4 | 8.4 | -104 | -3.2 | -4.0 | 33.5 | 22.7 | 53.1 | -0.7 | 38.8 | 34.8 |
| Macie Whitfield | - | 1 | 16.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 104 | 3.2 | 3.3 | 50.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.01 | 50.9 | 50.0 |
| Raylee McDonald | - | 11 | 19.1 | 6.9 | 2.8 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 1.6 | 7.2 | 3.1 | -75 | -3.8 | -5.3 | 43.0 | 0.0 | 88.9 | -0.45 | 45.8 | 43.0 |
| Trinity Williams | - | 23 | 16.4 | 6.2 | 2.7 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 5.6 | 5.3 | -131 | -4.1 | -6.7 | 39.8 | 35.0 | 85.7 | -0.43 | 52.9 | 50.8 |
| Nora Aigberadion | - | 1 | 31.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | -39 | -1.2 | -2.9 | 50.0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.99 | 46.6 | 50.0 |
| Kaylee Smith | - | 19 | 18.1 | 5.6 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 2.3 | 5.5 | 2.4 | -93 | -4.7 | -8.1 | 42.9 | 0.0 | 77.3 | -0.75 | 46.7 | 42.9 |
| Maya Dodson | - | 22 | 19.4 | 5.0 | 4.4 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.9 | 5.4 | 4.4 | -73 | -2.4 | -3.7 | 31.4 | 30.9 | 62.5 | -0.68 | 43.6 | 41.9 |
| Grace Moothart | - | 23 | 24.7 | 4.9 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 5.5 | 3.7 | -55 | -2.0 | -3.4 | 31.7 | 30.7 | 60.0 | -0.27 | 43.3 | 42.5 |
| Taiyla Williams | - | 22 | 13.0 | 3.8 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 2.9 | 2.5 | -31 | -1.0 | -1.4 | 46.0 | 20.0 | 59.0 | 0.3 | 52.4 | 48.4 |
| Laura Jones | - | 1 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 49 | 1.7 | 3.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 66.7 | 0.61 | 23.1 | 0.0 |
| Audrey Hernandez | - | 1 | 39.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 47 | 2.1 | 2.9 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.01 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Amber Bourgeois | - | 1 | 29.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | -2.0 | 63 | 2.9 | 3.4 | 14.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.23 | 14.3 | 14.3 |
| Emma Potts | - | 21 | 8.3 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 1.8 | -40 | -1.3 | -3.1 | 34.2 | 0.0 | 43.5 | -0.81 | 37.4 | 34.2 |
| Anna Duvall | - | 16 | 4.1 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.2 | -0.1 | -18 | -1.6 | -7.7 | 30.0 | 20.0 | 100.0 | -0.41 | 38.3 | 35.0 |
| Julianna Giles | - | 14 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 4 | 0.4 | 3.8 | 27.3 | 30.0 | 0 | -0.06 | 40.9 | 40.9 |
| Makayla Beckett | - | 15 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.6 | -0.1 | 4 | 0.4 | 5.2 | 22.2 | 0.0 | 33.3 | 0.06 | 25.8 | 22.2 |
| Avery Rague | - | 16 | 5.0 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.5 | -24 | -2.0 | -7.0 | 7.1 | 0.0 | 25.0 | -0.69 | 11.4 | 7.1 |
| Kareena Aragon | - | 1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.73 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Nevaeh Kearney | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -7 | -0.4 | -1.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.37 | 0 | 0 |
| Zoiey Jumawan | - | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 16 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.05 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Ester Sabet | - | 8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Amarys Cuellar | - | 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -60 | -7.5 | -14.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.23 | 0 | 0 |
| Lyah Niera | - | 5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Kate Fletcher | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG