Aurora
Model Outputs
2023-2024
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1160 (#18) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1152 (#57) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +8.3 (#88) | HCA +2.4 |
2024 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-11-10 | @ | Augustana (IL) | W | 70 - 52 |
| 2023-11-11 | vs | Hanover | W | 60 - 59 |
| 2023-11-14 | vs | Judson (IL) | W | 82 - 61 |
| 2023-11-18 | vs | Beloit | W | 66 - 57 |
| 2023-11-21 | vs | Carthage | W | 83 - 75 |
| 2023-12-02 | @ | Lakeland | W | 86 - 60 |
| 2023-12-06 | @ | MSOE | L | 44 - 52 |
| 2023-12-09 | vs | St. Norbert | W | 88 - 81 |
| 2023-12-12 | vs | Knox | L | 80 - 96 |
| 2023-12-19 | @ | Illinois Col. | W | 82 - 76 |
| 2023-12-21 | vs | Trinity Christian | W | 77 - 65 |
| 2023-12-30 | @ | North Central (IL) | L | 67 - 75 |
| 2024-01-03 | vs | Dominican (IL) | W | 114 - 56 |
| 2024-01-06 | vs | Alverno | W | 105 - 48 |
| 2024-01-10 | vs | Edgewood | L | 57 - 63 |
| 2024-01-13 | @ | Marian (WI) | W | 75 - 69 |
| 2024-01-17 | @ | Wis. Lutheran | L | 56 - 65 |
| 2024-01-20 | vs | Rockford | W | 81 - 73 |
| 2024-01-24 | @ | Illinois Tech | W | 84 - 55 |
| 2024-01-27 | @ | St. Norbert | L | 59 - 78 |
| 2024-01-31 | vs | Concordia Wisconsin | W | 72 - 64 |
| 2024-02-03 | vs | MSOE | W | 64 - 54 |
| 2024-02-07 | @ | Concordia Chicago | W | 78 - 46 |
| 2024-02-10 | @ | Benedictine (IL) | W | 63 - 59 |
| 2024-02-14 | vs | Lakeland | W | 83 - 75 |
| 2024-02-21 | @ | MSOE | W | 61 - 59 |
| 2024-02-23 | @ | Wis. Lutheran | L | 51 - 63 |
2024 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GABRIELLE WOLFF | - | 2 | 26.5 | 15.0 | 8.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 13.5 | 9.5 | - | - | - | 44.4 | 37.5 | 100.0 | -0.07 | 53.0 | 50.0 |
| ELIOT DOJUTREK | - | 2 | 24.5 | 14.0 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 10.0 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 55.0 | 66.7 | 100.0 | -0.15 | 64.3 | 60.0 |
| MACY KOCEN | - | 2 | 27.0 | 12.5 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 12.5 | 6.5 | - | - | - | 36.0 | 35.0 | 0 | -0.14 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| AVA BARSZCZ | - | 2 | 11.5 | 7.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 7.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 42.9 | 42.9 | 0 | - | 53.6 | 53.6 |
| KYLIE FISCHBACH | - | 2 | 17.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 3.5 | 10.0 | 77 | 7.0 | 9.9 | 42.9 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 0.44 | 72.6 | 57.1 |
| SELENA VARGAS | - | 2 | 22.5 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 13.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 0 | 66.7 | -0.1 | 68.3 | 66.7 |
| KAMRYN BULLOCK | - | 2 | 14.5 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| RILEY DOGGETT | - | 2 | 12.5 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 78 | 7.8 | 10.5 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| SAM BARRETT | - | 2 | 20.5 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 2.5 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 33.3 | 0 | 0.17 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| DELANI KOSNER | - | 2 | 18.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 4.5 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 22.2 | 0 | 0 | -0.14 | 22.2 | 22.2 |
| Ava Barszca | - | 3 | 6.3 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 0.3 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 33.3 | 50.0 | - | 51.0 | 50.0 |
| Nikki Sullivan | - | 24 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 0 | 0 | - | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Yasmine Edmonson | - | 17 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 52.1 | 50.0 |
| Aurora Eklund | - | 21 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 60 | 7.5 | 14.6 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.55 | 45.0 | 50.0 |
| Dallas Poll | - | 18 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | -0.1 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Desi Collins | - | 16 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| ABBY MATHEWS | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -2.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Paulina Geyrhalter | - | 6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Jessica Oman | - | 5 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 39 | 5.6 | 18.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.4 | 0 | 0 |
| ALYSSA TEMPLE | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| PAYTON REID | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Abbie Becker | - | 17 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Courtney Schuk | - | 24 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 38 | 4.2 | 12.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.31 | 0 | 0 |
| DANIELLE ANTIONE | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | 117 | 13.0 | 19.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.09 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Katheryn Rutherford | - | 23 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | -0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Anna Long | - | 16 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.26 | 0 | 0 |
| ELIZABETH GRISWOLD | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.58 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Melissa Ketter | - | 16 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | -0.1 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Sydney Willihan | - | 15 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | -0.1 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Bella Peterson | - | 6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -17 | -2.4 | -13.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.16 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG