🐻⬇️🏀

Aurora

Also known as: Aurora
Program History

Model Outputs

2023-2024
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1160 (#18) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1152 (#57) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → +8.3 (#88) HCA +2.4

2024 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2023-11-10 @ Augustana (IL) W 70 - 52
2023-11-11 vs Hanover W 60 - 59
2023-11-14 vs Judson (IL) W 82 - 61
2023-11-18 vs Beloit W 66 - 57
2023-11-21 vs Carthage W 83 - 75
2023-12-02 @ Lakeland W 86 - 60
2023-12-06 @ MSOE L 44 - 52
2023-12-09 vs St. Norbert W 88 - 81
2023-12-12 vs Knox L 80 - 96
2023-12-19 @ Illinois Col. W 82 - 76
2023-12-21 vs Trinity Christian W 77 - 65
2023-12-30 @ North Central (IL) L 67 - 75
2024-01-03 vs Dominican (IL) W 114 - 56
2024-01-06 vs Alverno W 105 - 48
2024-01-10 vs Edgewood L 57 - 63
2024-01-13 @ Marian (WI) W 75 - 69
2024-01-17 @ Wis. Lutheran L 56 - 65
2024-01-20 vs Rockford W 81 - 73
2024-01-24 @ Illinois Tech W 84 - 55
2024-01-27 @ St. Norbert L 59 - 78
2024-01-31 vs Concordia Wisconsin W 72 - 64
2024-02-03 vs MSOE W 64 - 54
2024-02-07 @ Concordia Chicago W 78 - 46
2024-02-10 @ Benedictine (IL) W 63 - 59
2024-02-14 vs Lakeland W 83 - 75
2024-02-21 @ MSOE W 61 - 59
2024-02-23 @ Wis. Lutheran L 51 - 63

2024 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
GABRIELLE WOLFF - 2 26.5 15.0 8.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 13.5 9.5 - - - 44.4 37.5 100.0 -0.07 53.0 50.0
ELIOT DOJUTREK - 2 24.5 14.0 2.5 2.0 1.0 0.0 2.5 10.0 7.0 - - - 55.0 66.7 100.0 -0.15 64.3 60.0
MACY KOCEN - 2 27.0 12.5 4.0 2.0 1.0 1.5 2.0 12.5 6.5 - - - 36.0 35.0 0 -0.14 50.0 50.0
AVA BARSZCZ - 2 11.5 7.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 7.0 1.0 - - - 42.9 42.9 0 - 53.6 53.6
KYLIE FISCHBACH - 2 17.0 7.0 4.0 2.0 1.0 0.5 1.0 3.5 10.0 77 7.0 9.9 42.9 50.0 100.0 0.44 72.6 57.1
SELENA VARGAS - 2 22.5 5.0 8.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 3.0 13.0 - - - 66.7 0 66.7 -0.1 68.3 66.7
KAMRYN BULLOCK - 2 14.5 4.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 3.0 5.0 - - - 50.0 50.0 0 - 66.7 66.7
RILEY DOGGETT - 2 12.5 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.5 0.5 2.0 3.0 2.0 78 7.8 10.5 50.0 0 0 0.5 50.0 50.0
SAM BARRETT - 2 20.5 2.5 1.0 3.5 1.5 0.0 3.5 2.5 2.5 - - - 40.0 33.3 0 0.17 50.0 50.0
DELANI KOSNER - 2 18.5 2.0 2.0 2.5 0.5 0.5 2.0 4.5 1.0 - - - 22.2 0 0 -0.14 22.2 22.2
Ava Barszca - 3 6.3 2.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.7 1.7 0.3 - - - 40.0 33.3 50.0 - 51.0 50.0
Nikki Sullivan - 24 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 - - - 66.7 0 0 - 66.7 66.7
Yasmine Edmonson - 17 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 - - - 50.0 0 50.0 - 52.1 50.0
Aurora Eklund - 21 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 60 7.5 14.6 50.0 0.0 0.0 0.55 45.0 50.0
Dallas Poll - 18 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 -0.1 - - - 50.0 0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Desi Collins - 16 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
ABBY MATHEWS - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -2.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Paulina Geyrhalter - 6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jessica Oman - 5 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 39 5.6 18.9 0 0 0 0.4 0 0
ALYSSA TEMPLE - 1 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
PAYTON REID - 1 2.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Abbie Becker - 17 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Courtney Schuk - 24 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 38 4.2 12.0 0 0 0 0.31 0 0
DANIELLE ANTIONE - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 117 13.0 19.0 0.0 0.0 0 1.09 0.0 0.0
Katheryn Rutherford - 23 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 -0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Anna Long - 16 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6 0.7 0.7 0 0 0 0.26 0 0
ELIZABETH GRISWOLD - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 0.58 0.0 0.0
Melissa Ketter - 16 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 -0.1 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Sydney Willihan - 15 0.5 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 -0.1 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Bella Peterson - 6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -17 -2.4 -13.3 0 0 0 -0.16 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG