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Aurora

Also known as: Aurora
Program History

Model Outputs

2014-2015
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 975 (#452) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 914 (#507) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +1.2 More → -5.8 (#375) HCA +1.2

2015 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2014-11-15 @ Beloit L 71 - 78
2014-11-21 @ Wheaton (IL) L 25 - 83
2014-11-22 @ Wittenberg L 35 - 89
2014-11-26 vs North Park L 46 - 73
2014-11-29 vs Concordia Wisconsin L 35 - 68
2014-12-03 vs Benedictine (IL) L 48 - 56
2014-12-06 @ Wis. Lutheran L 58 - 63
2014-12-09 vs Rockford W 66 - 58
2014-12-13 vs Edgewood W 64 - 51
2014-12-16 @ Dominican (IL) W 70 - 50
2014-12-20 @ Concordia Wisconsin L 47 - 66
2014-12-30 vs Elmhurst L 52 - 87
2015-01-03 vs Lakeland W 69 - 62
2015-01-06 @ MSOE L 51 - 55
2015-01-10 vs Wis. Lutheran - Preview
2015-01-14 @ Marian (WI) W 69 - 60
2015-01-17 @ Lakeland - Preview
2015-01-20 @ Benedictine (IL) - Preview
2015-01-24 vs MSOE - Preview
2015-01-28 vs Dominican (IL) - Preview
2015-02-03 @ Rockford - Preview
2015-02-07 vs Marian (WI) W 64 - 55
2015-02-11 @ Concordia Chicago L 66 - 78
2015-02-14 @ Edgewood - Preview
2015-02-17 vs Alverno - Preview
2015-02-21 @ Wis. Lutheran - Preview

2015 Roster

No roster data available for this season.