Aurora
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1166 (#14) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1234 (#13) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +2.3 (#92) | HCA +2.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.660 (#359) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.734 (#154) | NetEff +9.4 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.479 (#362) | AdjNet -0.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.474 (#360) | AdjNet -0.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.494 (#355) | AdjO 76.4 | AdjD 76.7 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-08 | vs | Dubuque | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-12 | vs | North Central (IL) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-16 | @ | MSOE | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-20 | vs | Wis.-Whitewater | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-26 | @ | Millikin | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-30 | @ | UIC | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-04 | vs | Concordia Wisconsin | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-07 | @ | St. Norbert | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-14 | @ | Marian (WI) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-17 | @ | Albion | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-30 | vs | Monmouth (IL) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-04 | @ | Concordia Chicago | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-08 | vs | Dominican (IL) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-11 | vs | Marian (WI) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-15 | vs | Edgewood | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-18 | vs | St. Norbert | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-22 | vs | Rockford | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-25 | @ | Wis. Lutheran | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-29 | @ | Benedictine (IL) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-05 | @ | Illinois Tech | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-08 | vs | MSOE | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-13 | vs | Concordia Chicago | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-15 | @ | Concordia Wisconsin | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-19 | vs | Lakeland | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-22 | @ | Dominican (IL) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-26 | @ | St. Norbert | - | Incomplete score |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joevonn McCottry | - | 25 | 30.9 | 15.6 | 4.6 | 3.1 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 2.1 | 11.9 | 11.2 | 42 | 3.0 | 5.3 | 43.4 | 32.1 | 75.5 | 0.62 | 54.3 | 47.6 |
| Isaiah Davis | - | 25 | 33.0 | 12.3 | 4.7 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 9.1 | 9.2 | 55 | 5.0 | 6.7 | 42.7 | 41.1 | 78.0 | 1.78 | 60.7 | 57.5 |
| Mekhi Doby | - | 25 | 26.8 | 11.3 | 2.9 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 2.9 | 9.2 | 6.8 | 90 | 4.5 | 12.6 | 44.1 | 26.3 | 64.0 | -0.16 | 50.9 | 46.3 |
| Dwayne Jervier Jr. | - | 25 | 27.1 | 10.3 | 7.4 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 6.8 | 12.6 | 24 | 1.6 | 3.0 | 54.7 | 35.7 | 78.9 | 0.5 | 63.9 | 59.1 |
| Maxwell Marius | - | 25 | 19.5 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 5.6 | 7.6 | -4 | -0.3 | -0.9 | 51.1 | 21.4 | 69.0 | 1.33 | 57.8 | 53.2 |
| Noah Butler | - | 25 | 16.3 | 7.1 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 5.1 | 4.8 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 43.8 | 44.7 | 71.6 | 0.16 | 56.2 | 50.4 |
| Jeffery Hillmer | - | 24 | 22.3 | 5.9 | 4.3 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 4.7 | 7.3 | 56 | 5.6 | 11.8 | 54.9 | 28.6 | 42.1 | 1.07 | 54.7 | 55.8 |
| Savion Brown | - | 14 | 5.4 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 2.1 | 1.4 | -8 | -0.7 | -9.2 | 36.7 | 26.3 | 66.7 | -0.1 | 46.3 | 45.0 |
| Treval Howard | - | 6 | 4.5 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.7 | - | - | - | 60.0 | 33.3 | 0 | - | 70.0 | 70.0 |
| Foster Ogbonna | - | 24 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 1.5 | -3 | -0.6 | -20.3 | 38.9 | 25.0 | 80.0 | -0.77 | 53.6 | 44.4 |
| BJ Harris | - | 20 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 7 | 3.5 | 65.1 | 46.7 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.89 | 47.7 | 46.7 |
| Isaac Ross | - | 25 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 8 | 4.0 | 117.1 | 35.3 | 36.4 | 0 | -1.08 | 47.1 | 47.1 |
| Isaiah Thompson | - | 24 | 3.0 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 16 | 4.0 | 24.3 | 31.2 | 23.1 | 100.0 | -0.16 | 44.4 | 40.6 |
| Alex Ross | - | 24 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 15 | 3.0 | 260.9 | 66.7 | 60.0 | 0 | -1.16 | 91.7 | 91.7 |
| Angelo Consorte | - | 23 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 3 | 0.8 | 9.2 | 100.0 | 0 | 71.4 | -0.46 | 88.6 | 100.0 |
| James Glazebrooks | - | 24 | 4.3 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 8 | 1.6 | 8.8 | 21.4 | 28.6 | 66.7 | -0.04 | 32.6 | 28.6 |
| Jordan Schroeder | - | 24 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | - | - | - | 75.0 | 75.0 | 0 | - | 112.5 | 112.5 |
| Luis Mur Martin | - | 24 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | -1.47 | 125.0 | 125.0 |
| Gevon Grant | - | 5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Mike Jones | - | 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -8 | -8.0 | -118.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.12 | 0 | 0 |
| Robert Hutson | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Dillon Harrison | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG