Aurora
Model Outputs
2021-2022
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1164 (#14) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1236 (#13) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -0.1 (#118) | HCA +2.5 |
2022 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-11-05 | vs | Lake Forest | W | 80 - 74 |
| 2021-11-12 | @ | Coe | L | 67 - 69 |
| 2021-11-13 | @ | Carroll (WI) | L | 58 - 67 |
| 2021-11-20 | vs | Franklin | L | 79 - 89 |
| 2021-11-27 | @ | North Central (IL) | L | 44 - 76 |
| 2021-12-01 | vs | Illinois Tech | W | 67 - 44 |
| 2021-12-04 | vs | St. Norbert | L | 63 - 83 |
| 2021-12-08 | @ | Dominican (IL) | W | 80 - 52 |
| 2021-12-11 | @ | Lakeland | L | 92 - 94 |
| 2021-12-30 | vs | Augustana (IL) | L | 0 - 0 |
| 2022-01-04 | @ | Rockford | L | 54 - 81 |
| 2022-01-15 | vs | Lakeland | - | Preview |
| 2022-01-17 | vs | Wis. Lutheran | L | 81 - 90 |
| 2022-01-19 | vs | Edgewood | W | 95 - 75 |
| 2022-01-22 | @ | Concordia Wisconsin | L | 67 - 100 |
| 2022-01-26 | vs | MSOE | L | 65 - 78 |
| 2022-01-31 | @ | Illinois Tech | L | 51 - 79 |
| 2022-02-03 | @ | Concordia Chicago | L | 63 - 76 |
| 2022-02-05 | @ | Wis. Lutheran | - | Preview |
| 2022-02-07 | @ | Benedictine (IL) | - | Preview |
| 2022-02-09 | vs | Rockford | - | Preview |
| 2022-02-12 | vs | Marian (WI) | L | 58 - 75 |
| 2022-02-16 | @ | Edgewood | W | 75 - 74 |
| 2022-02-19 | @ | Marian (WI) | L | 75 - 76 |
2022 Roster
No roster data available for this season.