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Aurora

Also known as: Aurora
Program History

Model Outputs

2020-2021
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1164 (#14) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1236 (#13) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.5 More → -0.1 (#118) HCA +2.5

2021 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-01-29 @ Dominican (IL) - Preview
2021-01-30 @ Dominican (IL) W 95 - 80
2021-02-05 @ Rockford L 79 - 96
2021-02-06 @ Rockford W 99 - 95
2021-02-12 vs Benedictine (IL) L 68 - 77
2021-02-13 vs Benedictine (IL) W 81 - 75
2021-02-19 @ Concordia Chicago W 86 - 79
2021-02-20 @ Concordia Chicago L 81 - 83
2021-02-24 vs Dominican (IL) W 98 - 76
2021-02-27 vs Illinois Col. W 100 - 81
2021-03-03 @ Benedictine (IL) W 74 - 67
2021-03-06 @ Rockford L 91 - 97
2021-03-16 @ Lake Forest W 61 - 58

2021 Roster

No roster data available for this season.