Aurora
Model Outputs
2018-2019
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1173 (#71) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1043 (#261) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -0.7 (#248) | HCA +2.4 |
2019 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-11-21 | vs | Millikin | W | 90 - 65 |
| 2018-11-27 | @ | Wis. Lutheran | L | 82 - 96 |
| 2018-12-01 | @ | Illinois Tech | W | 73 - 57 |
| 2018-12-05 | vs | Concordia Wisconsin | L | 92 - 101 |
| 2018-12-08 | vs | Rockford | L | 103 - 112 |
| 2018-12-12 | @ | North Central (IL) | L | 73 - 83 |
| 2018-12-15 | vs | MSOE | L | 85 - 116 |
| 2018-12-17 | @ | Dominican (IL) | W | 75 - 59 |
| 2018-12-19 | vs | Albion | L | 77 - 83 |
| 2018-12-29 | @ | Trinity (TX) | W | 72 - 68 |
| 2018-12-30 | @ | Sul Ross St. | L | 86 - 97 |
| 2019-01-03 | vs | Concordia Chicago | W | 97 - 84 |
| 2019-01-05 | @ | Rockford | - | Preview |
| 2019-01-09 | vs | Dominican (IL) | W | 104 - 71 |
| 2019-01-12 | @ | Concordia Wisconsin | - | Preview |
| 2019-01-15 | vs | Marian (WI) | W | 92 - 73 |
| 2019-01-19 | vs | Lakeland | L | 85 - 90 |
| 2019-01-26 | vs | Wis. Lutheran | W | 77 - 72 |
| 2019-02-02 | @ | MSOE | L | 68 - 80 |
| 2019-02-04 | vs | Benedictine (IL) | W | 78 - 73 |
| 2019-02-06 | @ | Lakeland | L | 78 - 80 |
| 2019-02-09 | vs | Illinois Tech | W | 70 - 67 |
| 2019-02-12 | @ | Edgewood | - | Preview |
| 2019-02-14 | @ | Marian (WI) | - | Preview |
| 2019-02-16 | @ | Concordia Chicago | - | Preview |
| 2019-02-20 | vs | Edgewood | W | 73 - 70 |
| 2019-02-23 | @ | Concordia Wisconsin | W | 96 - 84 |
| 2019-02-24 | vs | Illinois Tech | W | 71 - 57 |
| 2019-03-01 | @ | Augustana (IL) | L | 67 - 93 |
2019 Roster
No roster data available for this season.