Aurora
Model Outputs
2015-2016
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1196 (#24) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1268 (#6) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +4.8 (#97) | HCA +1.7 |
2016 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015-11-18 | @ | Millikin | W | 105 - 93 |
| 2015-11-24 | @ | Lakeland | W | 103 - 99 |
| 2015-11-28 | vs | North Central (IL) | - | Preview |
| 2015-12-01 | vs | Concordia Chicago | W | 126 - 95 |
| 2015-12-05 | vs | Lakeland | W | 105 - 81 |
| 2015-12-09 | vs | Marian (WI) | L | 96 - 98 |
| 2015-12-12 | @ | Concordia Wisconsin | W | 92 - 91 |
| 2015-12-16 | @ | Benedictine (IL) | L | 62 - 90 |
| 2015-12-19 | @ | Maryville (TN) | - | Preview |
| 2015-12-20 | @ | Rhodes | W | 107 - 95 |
| 2016-01-02 | @ | Wis. Lutheran | W | 86 - 81 |
| 2016-01-06 | @ | Illinois Tech | W | 79 - 68 |
| 2016-01-09 | vs | MSOE | W | 105 - 99 |
| 2016-01-12 | @ | Rockford | W | 102 - 98 |
| 2016-01-14 | vs | Dominican (IL) | W | 96 - 79 |
| 2016-01-16 | vs | Wis. Lutheran | W | 102 - 75 |
| 2016-01-23 | @ | Marian (WI) | W | 77 - 69 |
| 2016-01-26 | @ | Concordia Chicago | W | 100 - 82 |
| 2016-01-30 | vs | Edgewood | W | 103 - 90 |
| 2016-02-03 | vs | Benedictine (IL) | L | 70 - 93 |
| 2016-02-06 | @ | MSOE | W | 87 - 79 |
| 2016-02-09 | @ | Dominican (IL) | W | 99 - 79 |
| 2016-02-13 | vs | Concordia Wisconsin | - | Preview |
| 2016-02-17 | vs | Rockford | - | Preview |
| 2016-02-20 | @ | Edgewood | W | 96 - 82 |
| 2016-02-26 | vs | MSOE | - | Preview |
2016 Roster
No roster data available for this season.