Augustana (SD)
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 899 (#450) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 937 (#374) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 955 (#550) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +1.6 (#151) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +3.7 (#300) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.250 (#465) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.771 (#201) | NetEff +9.7 |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.237 (#351) | NetEff -9.4 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.686 (#327) | AdjNet +6.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.710 (#324) | AdjNet +7.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.600 (#324) | AdjO 69.2 | AdjD 64.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.452 (#463) | AdjO 63.2 | AdjD 65.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.580 (#280) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.546 (#309) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 937 (#311) | RD 94 | GP 24 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Mo. Southern St. | L | 84 - 86 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Central Mo. | L | 58 - 65 |
| 2025-11-20 | vs | Neb.-Kearney | W | 66 - 58 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Upper Iowa | W | 76 - 67 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Wayne St. (NE) | L | 76 - 78 |
| 2025-12-04 | vs | Southwest Minn. St. | L | 47 - 75 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Sioux Falls | L | 66 - 76 |
| 2025-12-11 | @ | St. Cloud St. | W | 72 - 68 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Minnesota St. | L | 60 - 108 |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | Concordia-St. Paul | L | 67 - 80 |
| 2025-12-31 | vs | Hastings | L | 72 - 80 |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Wayne St. (NE) | W | 74 - 68 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Northern St. | L | 47 - 88 |
| 2026-01-16 | @ | MSU Moorhead | L | 61 - 74 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Minn.-Crookston | L | 70 - 93 |
| 2026-01-23 | @ | Minot St. | W | 59 - 54 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Mary | L | 55 - 67 |
| 2026-01-30 | vs | Bemidji St. | W | 65 - 59 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Minn. Duluth | W | 57 - 56 |
| 2026-02-05 | @ | Concordia-St. Paul | L | 56 - 80 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Winona St. | L | 49 - 82 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabella Sanneh | - | 20 | 30.2 | 14.9 | 9.5 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 3.0 | 11.9 | 13.8 | -151 | -6.6 | -29.1 | 48.5 | 44.4 | 65.9 | -0.04 | 53.7 | 50.2 |
| Maliyah Elliott | - | 20 | 24.4 | 7.8 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 3.4 | 7.8 | 2.6 | -75 | -3.3 | -17.2 | 36.3 | 36.6 | 56.5 | 5.39 | 43.7 | 41.1 |
| Kristin Edmonds | - | 20 | 26.1 | 7.7 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.6 | 7.2 | 3.1 | -169 | -7.3 | -49.9 | 35.4 | 31.8 | 73.9 | 0.55 | 50.0 | 47.6 |
| Payton Hardy | - | 20 | 27.8 | 7.2 | 5.5 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 2.2 | 7.2 | 6.0 | -176 | -7.7 | -32.4 | 35.7 | 22.4 | 68.4 | -1.56 | 44.8 | 40.9 |
| Miranda Lomax | - | 21 | 17.9 | 6.8 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 7.7 | 1.4 | -127 | -5.3 | -31.6 | 33.5 | 20.4 | 80.0 | -2.66 | 42.1 | 39.4 |
| Ava Pautz | - | 21 | 23.3 | 6.4 | 3.9 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 5.8 | 4.7 | -90 | -3.9 | -19.5 | 45.1 | 30.0 | 64.3 | -1.7 | 49.9 | 47.5 |
| Clarissa Sauer | - | 17 | 28.1 | 5.5 | 3.8 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 2.2 | 4.5 | 5.6 | -188 | -9.4 | -69.4 | 46.8 | 27.8 | 63.2 | -0.4 | 55.1 | 53.2 |
| Addie Hanna | - | 16 | 20.4 | 4.8 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 2.2 | 4.4 | 2.3 | -136 | -7.2 | -85.8 | 34.3 | 31.8 | 84.6 | -1.1 | 47.3 | 39.3 |
| Ella Bockenstedt | - | 6 | 15.3 | 3.8 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 4.8 | 1.8 | -15 | -2.5 | -15.4 | 24.1 | 22.2 | 87.5 | 0.91 | 35.4 | 27.6 |
| Greta Dillinger | - | 14 | 11.4 | 3.4 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 2.5 | 1.2 | -100 | -6.7 | -109.1 | 42.9 | 44.1 | 50.0 | -1.04 | 63.8 | 64.3 |
| Mia Donald | - | 20 | 8.2 | 3.2 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 3.1 | 1.6 | -71 | -3.4 | -39.0 | 46.0 | 0 | 60.0 | 1.38 | 47.5 | 46.0 |
| Marianna Freeman | - | 5 | 4.9 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | -27 | -3.9 | -201.2 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.7 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG