Augustana (IL)
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1074 (#98) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1071 (#139) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +7.2 (#106) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.441 (#477) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.592 (#204) | NetEff +2.8 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.749 (#297) | AdjNet +9.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.752 (#293) | AdjNet +9.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.611 (#294) | AdjO 64.1 | AdjD 59.1 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-13 | @ | Wis.-Platteville | L | 40 - 71 |
| 2024-11-15 | vs | St. Mary's (IN) | L | 41 - 54 |
| 2024-11-16 | vs | Edgewood | W | 73 - 47 |
| 2024-11-23 | vs | Coe | L | 56 - 68 |
| 2024-11-26 | vs | Monmouth (IL) | W | 89 - 68 |
| 2024-11-30 | vs | Webster | L | 68 - 80 |
| 2024-12-04 | vs | Elmhurst | W | 80 - 72 |
| 2024-12-07 | @ | North Central (IL) | L | 60 - 72 |
| 2024-12-14 | vs | Carthage | L | 57 - 71 |
| 2024-12-17 | vs | Dubuque | W | 71 - 55 |
| 2024-12-20 | @ | Wis.-Oshkosh | L | 52 - 77 |
| 2024-12-21 | vs | Concordia Chicago | W | 78 - 44 |
| 2025-01-08 | @ | Ill. Wesleyan | L | 38 - 75 |
| 2025-01-11 | @ | North Park | W | 66 - 41 |
| 2025-01-15 | vs | Millikin | W | 58 - 48 |
| 2025-01-18 | vs | Carroll (WI) | L | 52 - 81 |
| 2025-01-22 | vs | Wheaton (IL) | L | 62 - 64 |
| 2025-01-25 | @ | Carthage | L | 52 - 61 |
| 2025-01-29 | @ | Elmhurst | L | 71 - 80 |
| 2025-02-01 | vs | North Central (IL) | W | 80 - 70 |
| 2025-02-05 | vs | North Park | W | 72 - 49 |
| 2025-02-08 | @ | Millikin | L | 51 - 59 |
| 2025-02-13 | @ | Wheaton (IL) | W | 58 - 55 |
| 2025-02-15 | @ | Carroll (WI) | L | 63 - 103 |
| 2025-02-22 | vs | Ill. Wesleyan | L | 54 - 65 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paige Melton | - | 25 | 27.1 | 10.3 | 4.2 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 2.3 | 7.2 | 7.3 | -11 | -0.3 | -0.3 | 46.1 | 33.3 | 81.9 | 0.09 | 56.8 | 47.5 |
| Cali Papez | - | 21 | 19.2 | 9.1 | 6.3 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.9 | 6.6 | 9.6 | -5 | -0.2 | -0.2 | 60.1 | 0 | 74.3 | -0.03 | 62.6 | 60.1 |
| Audrey Erickson | - | 24 | 22.8 | 9.0 | 4.1 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 4.1 | 8.3 | 4.8 | 24 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 41.2 | 25.5 | 74.1 | 0.21 | 48.5 | 44.2 |
| Emma Berg | - | 24 | 24.8 | 8.4 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 9.5 | 1.9 | 18 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 32.3 | 30.8 | 71.4 | 0.14 | 43.5 | 43.0 |
| Kadence Tatum | - | 25 | 29.0 | 7.3 | 5.7 | 3.5 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 2.8 | 7.0 | 8.5 | -6 | -0.2 | -0.2 | 36.8 | 25.8 | 73.4 | -0.17 | 45.3 | 39.1 |
| Carly Stone | - | 23 | 22.3 | 6.3 | 2.2 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 2.2 | 7.0 | 1.1 | -27 | -0.9 | -1.3 | 33.8 | 21.0 | 83.3 | -0.6 | 42.5 | 39.1 |
| Tia Lewis | - | 24 | 14.9 | 5.6 | 4.0 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 4.9 | 5.2 | 23 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 44.4 | 15.0 | 81.8 | 0.16 | 50.9 | 45.7 |
| Jazmeriah Jones | - | 23 | 10.8 | 2.5 | 2.6 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 2.5 | 2.4 | -3 | -0.1 | -0.2 | 43.1 | 27.3 | 45.5 | 0.09 | 46.1 | 45.7 |
| Dolly Smith | - | 24 | 13.4 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 65 | 2.1 | 3.7 | 25.0 | 25.0 | 77.8 | 0.62 | 42.4 | 33.3 |
| Lexi Hayes | - | 24 | 8.2 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 2.2 | 0.6 | -8 | -0.3 | -0.7 | 38.5 | 23.8 | 25.0 | 0.17 | 42.8 | 43.3 |
| Ciara Hull | - | 25 | 6.4 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 13 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 25.8 | 7.1 | 33.3 | 0.25 | 28.6 | 27.4 |
| Ella Chapman | - | 24 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.3 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 44.4 | 100.0 | - | 64.3 | 60.0 |
| Ashley Lang | - | 25 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.6 | - | - | - | 35.7 | 50.0 | 75.0 | - | 44.4 | 39.3 |
| Jaida Collins | - | 20 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Danae Addison-Taylor | - | 23 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Kamelia Aziz | - | 21 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Sophia Klacik | - | 24 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.5 | -0.4 | -20 | -1.2 | -11.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.34 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG