Augusta
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1081 (#95) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1093 (#100) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1080 (#87) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +0.1 (#173) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +5.9 (#273) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.792 (#249) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.680 (#223) | NetEff +5.6 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.812 (#268) | AdjNet +12.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.815 (#271) | AdjNet +12.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.666 (#278) | AdjO 66.3 | AdjD 58.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.627 (#141) | AdjO 64.8 | AdjD 59.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.636 (#243) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.648 (#232) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1104 (#106) | RD 94 | GP 23 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-06 | @ | Emmanuel (GA) | L | 35 - 58 |
| 2025-11-14 | vs | North Greenville | W | 76 - 58 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Barton | W | 67 - 63 |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Catawba | L | 78 - 80 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Coker | W | 72 - 69 |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Flagler | W | 63 - 56 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Ga. Southwestern | L | 54 - 59 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Georgia College | W | 62 - 50 |
| 2025-12-17 | @ | Columbus St. | L | 56 - 70 |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Belmont Abbey | L | 59 - 68 |
| 2025-12-31 | vs | Converse | W | 91 - 69 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Middle Georgia | W | 53 - 47 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Lander | L | 65 - 66 |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | USC Aiken | W | 59 - 46 |
| 2026-01-16 | vs | Livingstone | W | 71 - 58 |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | North Georgia | W | 76 - 68 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Flagler | W | 68 - 52 |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | USC Beaufort | L | 70 - 82 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Ga. Southwestern | W | 71 - 54 |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Columbus St. | L | 64 - 73 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Georgia College | W | 62 - 54 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinasia Abercrombie | - | 20 | 32.0 | 15.2 | 7.6 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 0.1 | 3.1 | 11.9 | 11.6 | 45 | 2.1 | 8.5 | 48.5 | 33.9 | 78.8 | 1.79 | 56.7 | 52.7 |
| Amari Jackson | - | 14 | 28.6 | 12.5 | 5.8 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 9.2 | 11.6 | 43 | 2.9 | 13.9 | 58.9 | 0 | 79.3 | -0.19 | 61.7 | 58.9 |
| Elyse Autrey | - | 20 | 30.1 | 10.8 | 3.6 | 3.3 | 2.3 | 0.1 | 3.1 | 9.1 | 7.8 | 46 | 2.3 | 10.4 | 36.3 | 31.6 | 78.0 | 1.01 | 48.4 | 39.6 |
| Sa'Niah Dorsey | - | 21 | 24.1 | 8.1 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 6.8 | 4.6 | -4 | -0.2 | -1.3 | 39.9 | 33.8 | 67.3 | -0.8 | 51.7 | 47.9 |
| Sierra Burns | - | 21 | 23.8 | 6.9 | 2.8 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 6.2 | 3.4 | 41 | 2.0 | 11.0 | 33.6 | 31.9 | 67.7 | 0.23 | 45.8 | 39.3 |
| Chloe Ross | - | 21 | 14.3 | 4.8 | 3.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 1.5 | 4.2 | 3.0 | 19 | 0.9 | 9.8 | 51.1 | 0 | 35.7 | -0.16 | 49.8 | 51.1 |
| Nadiyah Byard | - | 21 | 22.7 | 4.3 | 4.7 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 3.7 | 7.0 | -9 | -0.4 | -2.9 | 53.2 | 100.0 | 57.1 | -0.31 | 54.7 | 53.9 |
| Cierra McGinlay | - | 21 | 12.9 | 3.6 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 4.2 | 0.3 | -34 | -1.6 | -13.9 | 28.4 | 31.8 | 62.5 | -2.1 | 41.5 | 40.3 |
| Olivia Martin | - | 11 | 11.2 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 2.6 | 2.0 | -49 | -4.5 | -51.2 | 44.8 | 0 | 71.4 | -0.45 | 51.2 | 44.8 |
| Camerah Langston | - | 17 | 10.8 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 2.9 | 1.9 | -40 | -2.5 | -22.2 | 32.0 | 19.0 | 50.0 | -2.8 | 36.7 | 36.0 |
| Amorie Strachan | - | 4 | 8.2 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 4 | 1.3 | 38.4 | 22.2 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.66 | 30.4 | 22.2 |
| Tamir Whittle | - | 20 | 10.7 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 36 | 1.8 | 15.8 | 25.0 | 25.0 | 50.0 | 0.09 | 30.0 | 27.1 |
| Santianna Davy | - | 1 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.04 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG