Auburn
Model Outputs
2002-2003
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1261 (#42) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1183 (#47) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1057 (#86) | HCA +112 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +12.3 (#36) | HCA +3.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +11.4 (#39) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.676 (#71) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.886 (#35) | AdjNet +17.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.889 (#35) | AdjNet +18.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.716 (#41) | AdjO 71.9 | AdjD 61.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.610 (#66) | AdjO 69.0 | AdjD 64.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.768 (#40) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.751 (#43) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1208 (#40) | RD 94 | GP 33 |
2003 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002-11-22 | vs | Wofford | W | 81 - 63 |
| 2002-11-26 | vs | Georgia State | W | 100 - 71 |
| 2002-12-01 | N | Western Kentucky | L | 70 - 89 |
| 2002-12-02 | vs | Southeastern Louisiana | W | 77 - 47 |
| 2002-12-04 | vs | South Carolina State | W | 85 - 65 |
| 2002-12-08 | vs | Rutgers | W | 82 - 70 |
| 2002-12-14 | vs | Murray State | W | 72 - 53 |
| 2002-12-17 | vs | Western Michigan | L | 54 - 72 |
| 2002-12-21 | N | Denver | W | 63 - 58 |
| 2002-12-22 | N | Troy | W | 94 - 66 |
| 2002-12-30 | vs | Southern Mississippi | W | 92 - 46 |
| 2003-01-02 | vs | North Texas | W | 90 - 65 |
| 2003-01-08 | vs | Vanderbilt | W | 62 - 59 |
| 2003-01-11 | @ | Arkansas | W | 52 - 37 |
| 2003-01-15 | @ | South Carolina | W | 67 - 60 |
| 2003-01-18 | vs | Alabama | W | 77 - 68 |
| 2003-01-22 | @ | Kentucky | L | 51 - 67 |
| 2003-01-25 | @ | Georgia | L | 79 - 85 |
| 2003-02-01 | vs | Tennessee | L | 57 - 60 |
| 2003-02-05 | vs | Mississippi | W | 77 - 71 |
| 2003-02-08 | vs | Louisiana State | W | 56 - 54 |
| 2003-02-15 | @ | Alabama | L | 68 - 84 |
| 2003-02-19 | vs | Mississippi State | L | 46 - 63 |
| 2003-02-22 | @ | Mississippi | W | 80 - 75 |
| 2003-02-26 | @ | Louisiana State | L | 63 - 94 |
| 2003-03-01 | vs | Florida | L | 70 - 73 |
| 2003-03-05 | vs | Arkansas | W | 69 - 54 |
| 2003-03-08 | @ | Mississippi State | L | 45 - 67 |
| 2003-03-14 | N | Tennessee | W | 66 - 53 |
| 2003-03-15 | N | Kentucky | L | 58 - 78 |
| 2003-03-21 | N | Saint Joseph's | W | 65 - 63 |
| 2003-03-23 | N | Wake Forest | W | 68 - 62 |
| 2003-03-28 | N | Syracuse | L | 78 - 79 |
2003 Roster
No roster data available for this season.