๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

Atlanta Hawks

2026-2027 Team Stats (12 games)

118.3
PPG
-
Opp
-
Margin
45.3%
FG%
35.1%
3P%
76.3%
FT%
43.8
RPG
31.7
APG
14.8
TO
106.2
Est. poss./game
116.1
Adj PPG
116.4
Adj Opp PPG
#17
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1001 (#15) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +9 elo More โ†’ 1023 (#14) HCA +9 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +10 elo More โ†’ 1021 (#14) HCA +10 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +1.2 More โ†’ -0.3 (#17) HCA +1.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +1.1 More โ†’ -0.8 (#17) HCA +1.1
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.542 (#15) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -0.2 More โ†’ 0.498 (#17) AdjNet -0.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -0.2 More โ†’ 0.498 (#17) AdjNet -0.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 116.1 | AdjD 116.4 More โ†’ 0.500 (#17) AdjO 116.1 | AdjD 116.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 115.9 | AdjD 116.8 More โ†’ 0.490 (#17) AdjO 115.9 | AdjD 116.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.504 (#17) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.501 (#17) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 113 | GP 12 More โ†’ 1055 (#12) RD 113 | GP 12
Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. Chronological component blend with rest and venue. More โ†’ 0.497 (#17) Chronological component blend with rest and venue.

2026-2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-10-21 @ Orlando Magic W 132 - 125
2026-10-23 @ Charlotte Hornets W 128 - 81
2026-10-24 vs Houston Rockets L 114 - 121
2026-10-26 @ Houston Rockets L 110 - 120
2026-10-28 vs Miami Heat L 117 - 129
2026-10-29 vs Cleveland Cavaliers W 114 - 111
2026-10-31 @ New Orleans Pelicans L 99 - 121
2026-11-02 @ Indiana Pacers W 108 - 104
2026-11-04 @ Washington Wizards W 120 - 105
2026-11-06 vs Washington Wizards W 139 - 132
2026-11-07 vs Brooklyn Nets W 124 - 121
2026-11-09 vs Los Angeles Lakers L 114 - 124
2026-11-13 @ Chicago Bulls - Preview
2026-11-15 @ Milwaukee Bucks - Preview
2026-11-18 @ Oklahoma City Thunder - Preview

2026-2027 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker Nickeil Alexander-Walker G 12 30.9 21.9 3.2 2.6 1.4 0.3 2.0 17.0 10.5 21 12 1.8 2.3 41.7 37.3 86.8 0.56 57.8 53.2
Jalen Johnson Jalen Johnson F 9 33.7 19.2 8.6 7.3 1.1 0.7 3.2 15.3 18.3 -14 9 -1.6 -1.9 44.9 20.5 82.0 -0.41 54.1 47.8
Aaron Wiggins Aaron Wiggins G 12 26.0 14.9 3.7 2.4 0.9 0.3 1.3 12.2 8.7 23 12 1.9 3.0 46.3 41.9 63.6 -0.3 58.9 58.5
Onyeka Okongwu Onyeka Okongwu F 12 29.6 13.7 8.1 2.8 0.9 0.8 1.0 10.5 14.8 36 12 3.0 4.1 49.2 32.7 73.3 -0.11 58.9 56.3
CJ McCollum CJ McCollum G 12 25.6 13.6 2.8 4.0 0.9 0.5 2.2 12.1 7.6 16 12 1.3 2.1 41.4 35.5 84.0 0.04 52.2 49.0
Dyson Daniels Dyson Daniels G 12 30.3 9.8 7.1 5.7 3.0 0.3 1.2 9.0 15.7 59 12 4.9 6.5 48.1 12.5 57.1 1.74 50.3 49.1
Luguentz Dort Luguentz Dort G 12 24.8 9.3 3.2 1.8 0.9 0.2 0.7 8.4 6.4 -39 12 -3.2 -5.2 36.6 35.0 77.3 -1.33 50.6 47.0
Kingston Flemings Kingston Flemings - 11 21.9 8.5 2.6 4.3 0.7 0.4 2.3 6.6 7.5 -12 11 -1.1 -2.0 52.1 40.9 72.7 -0.69 59.7 58.2
Corey Kispert Corey Kispert F 6 9.7 7.7 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.5 4.5 4.2 18 6 3.0 12.6 63.0 55.6 100.0 -1.18 82.5 81.5
Jock Landale Jock Landale C 8 15.1 6.1 4.9 1.9 0.1 0.5 1.2 5.1 7.1 -31 8 -3.9 -10.2 46.3 22.2 58.3 -1.26 52.9 51.2
Zuby Ejiofor Zuby Ejiofor - 7 11.1 4.9 3.0 1.3 0.4 0.3 0.7 3.4 5.7 - - - - 58.3 44.4 50.0 - 66.0 66.7
RayJ Dennis RayJ Dennis G 1 8.0 4.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 5.0 1 1 1.0 5.3 50.0 0.0 0 -0.54 50.0 50.0
Asa Newell Asa Newell F 5 11.0 3.6 2.6 1.0 0.2 0.2 0.8 3.0 3.8 18 5 3.6 13.1 46.7 25.0 50.0 -0.3 53.7 53.3
Dorian Finney-Smith Dorian Finney-Smith F 3 4.0 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.7 19 3 6.3 60.5 33.3 33.3 0 0.26 50.0 50.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2026-2027 Shot Zones

1156 located field-goal attempts in 12 games (NBA Stats). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Johnson17% Daniels22% Wiggins27% McCollum100% McCollum33% Alexander-Walker42% Wiggins32% Wiggins25% Okongwu28% Dort25%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Alexander-Walker19% Johnson19% McCollum32% Flemings50% Wiggins32% Alexander-Walker33% Alexander-Walker30% Alexander-Walker21% Okongwu25% Alexander-Walker26%
Misses: who misses most here

Nickeil Alexander-WalkerAaron WigginsCJ McCollumOnyeka OkongwuJalen JohnsonDyson DanielsLuguentz DortKingston Flemings

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 215-332 64.8 430 Jalen Johnson 17% (74 pts) Dyson Daniels 13% (56 pts) Nickeil Alexander-Walker 19% (22 misses) Dyson Daniels 16% (19 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 101-225 44.9 202 Dyson Daniels 22% (44 pts) Onyeka Okongwu 17% (34 pts) Jalen Johnson 19% (23 misses) Dyson Daniels 17% (21 misses)
Mid-range left 11-39 28.2 22 Aaron Wiggins 27% (6 pts) Kingston Flemings 27% (6 pts) CJ McCollum 32% (9 misses) Aaron Wiggins 21% (6 misses)
Mid-range center 1-5 20.0 2 CJ McCollum 100% (2 pts) - Kingston Flemings 50% (2 misses) CJ McCollum 25% (1 misses)
Mid-range right 12-31 38.7 24 CJ McCollum 33% (8 pts) Kingston Flemings 25% (6 pts) Aaron Wiggins 32% (6 misses) CJ McCollum 32% (6 misses)
Left corner 3 31-79 39.2 93 Nickeil Alexander-Walker 42% (39 pts) Aaron Wiggins 16% (15 pts) Nickeil Alexander-Walker 33% (16 misses) Aaron Wiggins 21% (10 misses)
Right corner 3 22-55 40.0 66 Aaron Wiggins 32% (21 pts) Nickeil Alexander-Walker 23% (15 pts) Nickeil Alexander-Walker 30% (10 misses) Luguentz Dort 12% (4 misses)
Above-break 3 left 55-155 35.5 165 Aaron Wiggins 25% (42 pts) Nickeil Alexander-Walker 24% (39 pts) Nickeil Alexander-Walker 21% (21 misses) Aaron Wiggins 20% (20 misses)
Above-break 3 center 36-108 33.3 108 Onyeka Okongwu 28% (30 pts) Nickeil Alexander-Walker 22% (24 pts) Onyeka Okongwu 25% (18 misses) Luguentz Dort 14% (10 misses)
Above-break 3 right 40-127 31.5 120 Luguentz Dort 25% (30 pts) Nickeil Alexander-Walker 20% (24 pts) Nickeil Alexander-Walker 26% (23 misses) Luguentz Dort 16% (14 misses)