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Atlanta Dream

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Atlanta Dream
Program History

2026 Team Stats (56 games)

89.0
PPG
82.2
Opp
+6.8
Margin
43.2%
FG%
32.2%
3P%
79.4%
FT%
35.4
RPG
20.6
APG
12.3
TO
83.4
Est. poss./game
89.3
Adj PPG
82.1
Adj Opp PPG
#1
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1187 (#2) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +45 elo More → 1159 (#3) HCA +45 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +76 elo More → 1155 (#2) HCA +76 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.0 More → +7.3 (#1) HCA +2.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More → +11.6 (#1) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.712 (#1) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +8.6 More → 0.723 (#2) AdjNet +8.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +8.5 More → 0.723 (#2) AdjNet +8.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 89.3 | AdjD 82.1 More → 0.658 (#1) AdjO 89.3 | AdjD 82.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 88.5 | AdjD 78.2 More → 0.719 (#1) AdjO 88.5 | AdjD 78.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.752 (#2) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.763 (#1) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 79 | GP 56 More → 1218 (#2) RD 79 | GP 56
Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. Chronological component blend with rest and venue. More → 0.772 (#2) Chronological component blend with rest and venue.

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-05-09 @ Minnesota Lynx W 91 - 90
2026-05-12 @ Dallas Wings W 77 - 72
2026-05-17 vs Las Vegas Aces L 84 - 85
2026-05-22 vs Dallas Wings W 86 - 69
2026-05-24 vs Phoenix Mercury W 82 - 80
2026-05-27 @ Minnesota Lynx L 81 - 96
2026-05-29 @ Portland Fire W 86 - 66
2026-06-02 vs Connecticut Sun W 91 - 75
2026-06-04 @ Indiana Fever L 71 - 83
2026-06-06 vs Washington Mystics W 109 - 77
2026-06-09 @ Chicago Sky W 82 - 75
2026-06-11 vs New York Liberty L 90 - 104
2026-06-14 @ Toronto Tempo W 102 - 77
2026-06-18 @ Indiana Fever W 108 - 101
2026-06-20 vs Indiana Fever W 113 - 96
2026-06-22 vs Toronto Tempo W 94 - 87
2026-06-24 @ Golden State Valkyries L 66 - 77
2026-06-26 @ Golden State Valkyries L 75 - 78
2026-06-27 @ Seattle Storm L 90 - 105
2026-07-02 @ Washington Mystics L 76 - 81
2026-07-04 vs Golden State Valkyries L 83 - 88
2026-07-09 vs Seattle Storm W 89 - 78
2026-07-11 vs Portland Fire L 92 - 102
2026-07-13 vs Los Angeles Sparks W 101 - 92
2026-07-17 @ Toronto Tempo W 111 - 92
2026-07-19 vs Chicago Sky W 93 - 91
2026-07-29 @ Dallas Wings W 82 - 81
2026-07-31 vs Seattle Storm W 98 - 89
2026-08-03 vs Las Vegas Aces L 87 - 109
2026-08-05 vs Phoenix Mercury W 96 - 82
2026-08-07 @ Washington Mystics L 74 - 79
2026-08-10 vs Toronto Tempo W 107 - 95
2026-08-13 @ Connecticut Sun W 104 - 69
2026-08-16 vs Indiana Fever L 91 - 95
2026-08-18 @ Las Vegas Aces W 97 - 82
2026-08-20 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 124 - 88
2026-08-22 @ Phoenix Mercury W 99 - 89
2026-08-24 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 78 - 71
2026-08-28 vs Portland Fire L 83 - 101
2026-08-30 vs Minnesota Lynx W 89 - 81
2026-09-17 vs Connecticut Sun W 103 - 59
2026-09-19 vs Chicago Sky W 106 - 81
2026-09-21 @ New York Liberty W 95 - 84
2026-09-23 @ New York Liberty W 83 - 65
2026-09-27 vs Washington Mystics W 92 - 77
2026-09-30 @ Washington Mystics W 93 - 75
2026-10-04 vs New York Liberty W 92 - 82
2026-10-07 vs New York Liberty W 101 - 98
2026-10-09 @ New York Liberty W 85 - 83
2026-10-17 @ Golden State Valkyries L 64 - 68
2026-10-19 @ Golden State Valkyries W 79 - 65
2026-10-21 vs Golden State Valkyries W 97 - 71
2026-10-24 vs Golden State Valkyries L 62 - 67
2026-10-26 @ Golden State Valkyries L 55 - 64
2026-10-29 vs Golden State Valkyries W 80 - 69
2026-10-31 @ Golden State Valkyries L 63 - 68

2026 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Allisha Gray Allisha Gray G 54 32.1 18.3 3.5 2.5 1.3 0.4 1.4 13.5 11.0 386 54 7.1 8.9 44.7 33.6 82.0 2.39 57.6 51.4
Rhyne Howard Rhyne Howard G 55 34.7 17.4 4.0 3.6 2.3 0.9 1.4 14.3 12.5 296 55 5.4 6.2 39.1 34.6 86.0 0.05 54.3 49.1
Angel Reese Angel Reese F 55 31.7 16.3 11.9 2.7 1.7 0.9 3.1 12.8 17.7 392 55 7.1 9.0 44.4 25.6 73.3 2.07 52.5 46.0
Jordin Canada Jordin Canada G 55 32.1 12.3 3.7 7.2 1.9 0.3 2.5 9.6 13.3 378 55 6.9 8.6 42.5 30.4 79.3 1.58 54.5 48.1
Naz Hillmon Naz Hillmon F 55 29.5 8.3 4.6 1.6 0.6 0.3 1.3 7.0 7.2 341 55 6.2 8.4 45.1 30.0 82.3 1.98 55.6 52.9
Brionna Jones Brionna Jones F 9 16.9 8.2 5.6 2.0 0.3 0.7 1.0 5.8 10.0 16 9 1.8 4.2 51.9 16.7 90.5 -0.44 60.4 52.9
DeWanna Bonner DeWanna Bonner F 17 20.3 7.9 4.4 1.1 0.8 0.1 0.8 6.2 7.4 -15 54 -0.3 -0.4 42.9 31.4 78.4 0.1 55.7 50.5
Isobel Borlase Isobel Borlase G 56 13.5 5.1 1.6 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.7 4.3 3.1 37 56 0.7 1.9 42.9 31.1 89.3 -0.57 53.7 48.8
Madina Okot Madina Okot - 51 7.9 4.6 2.9 0.2 0.3 0.3 1.0 3.2 4.1 -15 50 -0.3 -1.5 58.4 11.1 77.2 -1.6 62.6 58.7
Te-Hina Paopao Te-Hina Paopao G 42 10.3 3.2 0.7 1.2 0.2 0.1 0.4 3.2 1.7 -21 42 -0.5 -1.9 35.3 35.6 83.3 -1.67 48.8 47.0
Jaylyn Sherrod Jaylyn Sherrod G 10 7.1 2.3 0.9 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.3 2.4 2.3 -47 13 -3.6 -19.0 29.2 40.0 100.0 -1.18 42.5 33.3
Sika Koné Sika Koné F 37 4.8 1.8 1.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 1.7 1.2 -7 37 -0.2 -1.6 35.9 22.6 71.4 -1.22 46.4 41.4
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough Shatori Walker-Kimbrough G 17 2.6 1.0 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.2 -12 18 -0.7 -9.9 66.7 100.0 100.0 -0.76 79.0 72.2
Amy Okonkwo Amy Okonkwo F 1 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 -27 5 -5.4 -21.4 0.0 0.0 50.0 -0.86 26.6 0.0
Indya Nivar Indya Nivar - 23 2.9 1.0 0.8 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.9 1.3 18 23 0.8 10.6 42.9 75.0 7.7 -0.24 41.2 50.0
Aaliyah Nye Aaliyah Nye G 19 2.2 0.7 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.6 0.4 17 20 0.8 12.0 33.3 33.3 100.0 -0.23 52.6 45.8

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2026 Shot Zones

3944 located field-goal attempts in 56 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Reese29% Gray22% Gray27% Howard44% Howard36% Hillmon26% Reese28% Howard36% Howard41% Howard29%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Reese37% Reese23% Howard47% Howard51% Howard44% Hillmon28% Gray32% Howard32% Howard28% Howard28%
Misses: who misses most here

Rhyne HowardAllisha GrayAngel ReeseNaz Hillmon

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 843-1377 61.2 1686 Angel Reese 29% (490 pts) Allisha Gray 17% (286 pts) Angel Reese 37% (196 misses) Allisha Gray 13% (70 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 310-839 36.9 620 Allisha Gray 22% (134 pts) Rhyne Howard 21% (128 pts) Angel Reese 23% (122 misses) Allisha Gray 21% (111 misses)
Mid-range left 26-77 33.8 52 Allisha Gray 27% (14 pts) DeWanna Bonner 23% (12 pts) Rhyne Howard 47% (24 misses) Allisha Gray 29% (15 misses)
Mid-range center 18-63 28.6 36 Rhyne Howard 44% (16 pts) Allisha Gray 33% (12 pts) Rhyne Howard 51% (23 misses) Allisha Gray 18% (8 misses)
Mid-range right 22-76 28.9 44 Rhyne Howard 36% (16 pts) Allisha Gray 23% (10 pts) Rhyne Howard 44% (24 misses) Jordin Canada 15% (8 misses)
Left corner 3 31-81 38.3 93 Naz Hillmon 26% (24 pts) DeWanna Bonner 16% (15 pts) Naz Hillmon 28% (14 misses) Angel Reese 18% (9 misses)
Right corner 3 18-55 32.7 54 Angel Reese 28% (15 pts) Allisha Gray 22% (12 pts) Allisha Gray 32% (12 misses) Naz Hillmon 19% (7 misses)
Above-break 3 left 167-569 29.3 501 Rhyne Howard 36% (180 pts) Allisha Gray 20% (102 pts) Rhyne Howard 32% (130 misses) Allisha Gray 17% (68 misses)
Above-break 3 center 97-293 33.1 291 Rhyne Howard 41% (120 pts) Naz Hillmon 18% (51 pts) Rhyne Howard 28% (54 misses) Naz Hillmon 16% (31 misses)
Above-break 3 right 177-514 34.4 531 Rhyne Howard 29% (153 pts) Allisha Gray 25% (132 pts) Rhyne Howard 28% (95 misses) Allisha Gray 24% (80 misses)