Assumption
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1199 (#6) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1236 (#10) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +4.5 (#154) | HCA +2.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.773 (#261) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.842 (#97) | NetEff +11.9 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.729 (#309) | AdjNet +8.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.743 (#308) | AdjNet +9.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.622 (#313) | AdjO 63.5 | AdjD 58.0 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-08 | @ | Roberts Wesleyan | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-09 | vs | Daemen | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-13 | vs | Post | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-16 | vs | Felician | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-20 | vs | Franklin Pierce | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-23 | vs | Holy Family | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-26 | vs | New Haven | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-01 | @ | Mercy | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-04 | @ | Saint Michael's | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-15 | @ | Dominican (NY) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-18 | @ | Adelphi | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-22 | vs | Georgian Court | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-02 | @ | Saint Anselm | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-05 | @ | Southern Conn. St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-08 | vs | Southern N.H. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-11 | vs | Bentley | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-14 | @ | American Int'l | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-18 | @ | Pace | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-22 | @ | New Haven | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-25 | vs | Adelphi | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-28 | @ | Franklin Pierce | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-01 | vs | Saint Anselm | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-05 | vs | Saint Michael's | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-08 | @ | Bentley | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-11 | @ | Southern N.H. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-15 | vs | Southern Conn. St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-19 | vs | American Int'l | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-25 | vs | Pace | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-28 | vs | Franklin Pierce | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-03-02 | @ | New Haven | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-03-06 | vs | Adelphi | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-03-09 | @ | Bentley | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-03-14 | @ | Holy Family | - | Incomplete score |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marina Callahan | - | 29 | 29.1 | 13.7 | 8.7 | 2.6 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 2.5 | 12.0 | 14.3 | -2 | -0.1 | -0.1 | 41.5 | 26.2 | 71.3 | 0.35 | 48.7 | 43.1 |
| Molly Stokes | - | 30 | 31.0 | 13.4 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 1.5 | 12.3 | 5.1 | 11 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 39.1 | 27.3 | 86.5 | 0.44 | 50.2 | 45.9 |
| Kaijhe Hall | - | 29 | 23.3 | 8.2 | 7.2 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 2.6 | 6.4 | 9.4 | -37 | -1.3 | -1.3 | 53.5 | 0.0 | 55.2 | 0.06 | 54.7 | 53.5 |
| Teagan Curran | - | 30 | 20.9 | 4.1 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 4.2 | 2.0 | -17 | -0.4 | -0.5 | 32.5 | 21.9 | 75.0 | -0.09 | 43.5 | 38.9 |
| Maeve Moriarty | - | 30 | 15.6 | 3.4 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 3.3 | 3.4 | 9 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 35.4 | 35.3 | 71.4 | 0.25 | 44.1 | 38.4 |
| Grace Leary | - | 30 | 8.1 | 3.3 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 2.6 | 1.8 | -12 | -0.6 | -1.5 | 42.9 | 28.9 | 87.5 | 0.04 | 56.0 | 50.0 |
| Teagan Kamm | - | 30 | 10.1 | 3.0 | 2.2 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 2.6 | 3.1 | 17 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 50.6 | 0 | 37.9 | 0.09 | 49.6 | 50.6 |
| Antonia Panayides | - | 30 | 23.5 | 3.0 | 2.1 | 3.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 2.0 | 3.6 | 3.0 | 2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 28.0 | 21.8 | 62.1 | 0.1 | 37.6 | 33.6 |
| Laura Johnson-Shedd | - | 28 | 9.8 | 2.4 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 2.3 | 2.0 | -30 | -1.0 | -1.7 | 35.4 | 0.0 | 71.0 | -0.23 | 43.2 | 35.4 |
| Emma Dahl | - | 30 | 7.4 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 33 | 1.2 | 2.5 | 33.9 | 15.8 | 81.8 | 0.2 | 41.1 | 36.6 |
| Olivia Found | - | 29 | 9.6 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 0.1 | -11 | -0.4 | -1.1 | 12.1 | 10.3 | 85.7 | 0.08 | 22.6 | 14.7 |
| Avah Ingalls | - | 30 | 5.1 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 1.5 | -8 | -0.5 | -1.4 | 38.5 | 14.3 | 60.0 | -0.08 | 52.8 | 42.3 |
| Ashlyn Pacheco | - | 18 | 6.6 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.4 | -29 | -3.6 | -5.9 | 38.5 | 100.0 | 40.0 | -0.19 | 42.8 | 42.3 |
| Ashley Pacheco | - | 14 | 7.1 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 2 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 14.3 | 0 | 33.3 | -0.04 | 20.7 | 14.3 |
| Emily Collins | - | 28 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.17 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Lauryn Wright | - | 29 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG