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Assumption

Also known as: Assumption
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1199 (#6) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1236 (#10) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +4.5 (#154) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.773 (#261) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +11.9 More → 0.842 (#97) NetEff +11.9
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +8.6 More → 0.729 (#309) AdjNet +8.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +9.0 More → 0.743 (#308) AdjNet +9.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 63.5 | AdjD 58.0 More → 0.622 (#313) AdjO 63.5 | AdjD 58.0

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-08 @ Roberts Wesleyan - Incomplete score
2024-11-09 vs Daemen - Incomplete score
2024-11-13 vs Post - Incomplete score
2024-11-16 vs Felician - Incomplete score
2024-11-20 vs Franklin Pierce - Incomplete score
2024-11-23 vs Holy Family - Incomplete score
2024-11-26 vs New Haven - Incomplete score
2024-12-01 @ Mercy - Incomplete score
2024-12-04 @ Saint Michael's - Incomplete score
2024-12-15 @ Dominican (NY) - Incomplete score
2024-12-18 @ Adelphi - Incomplete score
2024-12-22 vs Georgian Court - Incomplete score
2025-01-02 @ Saint Anselm - Incomplete score
2025-01-05 @ Southern Conn. St. - Incomplete score
2025-01-08 vs Southern N.H. - Incomplete score
2025-01-11 vs Bentley - Incomplete score
2025-01-14 @ American Int'l - Incomplete score
2025-01-18 @ Pace - Incomplete score
2025-01-22 @ New Haven - Incomplete score
2025-01-25 vs Adelphi - Incomplete score
2025-01-28 @ Franklin Pierce - Incomplete score
2025-02-01 vs Saint Anselm - Incomplete score
2025-02-05 vs Saint Michael's - Incomplete score
2025-02-08 @ Bentley - Incomplete score
2025-02-11 @ Southern N.H. - Incomplete score
2025-02-15 vs Southern Conn. St. - Incomplete score
2025-02-19 vs American Int'l - Incomplete score
2025-02-25 vs Pace - Incomplete score
2025-02-28 vs Franklin Pierce - Incomplete score
2025-03-02 @ New Haven - Incomplete score
2025-03-06 vs Adelphi - Incomplete score
2025-03-09 @ Bentley - Incomplete score
2025-03-14 @ Holy Family - Incomplete score

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Marina Callahan - 29 29.1 13.7 8.7 2.6 1.7 2.1 2.5 12.0 14.3 -2 -0.1 -0.1 41.5 26.2 71.3 0.35 48.7 43.1
Molly Stokes - 30 31.0 13.4 2.5 1.8 0.8 0.4 1.5 12.3 5.1 11 0.4 0.4 39.1 27.3 86.5 0.44 50.2 45.9
Kaijhe Hall - 29 23.3 8.2 7.2 1.3 0.8 0.9 2.6 6.4 9.4 -37 -1.3 -1.3 53.5 0.0 55.2 0.06 54.7 53.5
Teagan Curran - 30 20.9 4.1 1.8 1.2 0.7 0.2 1.7 4.2 2.0 -17 -0.4 -0.5 32.5 21.9 75.0 -0.09 43.5 38.9
Maeve Moriarty - 30 15.6 3.4 3.0 1.1 0.1 0.4 1.3 3.3 3.4 9 0.2 0.4 35.4 35.3 71.4 0.25 44.1 38.4
Grace Leary - 30 8.1 3.3 1.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.6 2.6 1.8 -12 -0.6 -1.5 42.9 28.9 87.5 0.04 56.0 50.0
Teagan Kamm - 30 10.1 3.0 2.2 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.4 2.6 3.1 17 0.5 0.8 50.6 0 37.9 0.09 49.6 50.6
Antonia Panayides - 30 23.5 3.0 2.1 3.0 0.4 0.1 2.0 3.6 3.0 2 0.1 0.1 28.0 21.8 62.1 0.1 37.6 33.6
Laura Johnson-Shedd - 28 9.8 2.4 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.2 0.7 2.3 2.0 -30 -1.0 -1.7 35.4 0.0 71.0 -0.23 43.2 35.4
Emma Dahl - 30 7.4 1.7 1.0 0.1 0.4 0.0 0.5 1.9 0.8 33 1.2 2.5 33.9 15.8 81.8 0.2 41.1 36.6
Olivia Found - 29 9.6 1.0 0.5 1.4 0.4 0.1 1.3 2.0 0.1 -11 -0.4 -1.1 12.1 10.3 85.7 0.08 22.6 14.7
Avah Ingalls - 30 5.1 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.4 1.5 -8 -0.5 -1.4 38.5 14.3 60.0 -0.08 52.8 42.3
Ashlyn Pacheco - 18 6.6 0.7 0.6 0.8 0.2 0.0 1.1 0.7 0.4 -29 -3.6 -5.9 38.5 100.0 40.0 -0.19 42.8 42.3
Ashley Pacheco - 14 7.1 0.3 1.0 1.2 0.4 0.1 1.4 0.5 1.1 2 0.2 1.0 14.3 0 33.3 -0.04 20.7 14.3
Emily Collins - 28 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 - - - 100.0 0 0 -0.17 100.0 100.0
Lauryn Wright - 29 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG