Assumption
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1199 (#6) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1236 (#10) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +4.5 (#154) | HCA +2.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.773 (#261) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.842 (#97) | NetEff +11.9 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.729 (#309) | AdjNet +8.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.743 (#308) | AdjNet +9.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.622 (#313) | AdjO 63.5 | AdjD 58.0 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-08 | @ | Roberts Wesleyan | W | 68 - 59 |
| 2024-11-09 | vs | Daemen | W | 77 - 72 |
| 2024-11-13 | vs | Post | W | 76 - 47 |
| 2024-11-16 | vs | Felician | W | 74 - 35 |
| 2024-11-20 | vs | Franklin Pierce | W | 49 - 48 |
| 2024-11-23 | vs | Holy Family | L | 50 - 56 |
| 2024-11-26 | vs | New Haven | W | 54 - 52 |
| 2024-12-01 | @ | Mercy | W | 63 - 60 |
| 2024-12-04 | @ | Saint Michael's | L | 61 - 63 |
| 2024-12-15 | @ | Dominican (NY) | W | 64 - 62 |
| 2024-12-18 | @ | Adelphi | W | 54 - 50 |
| 2024-12-22 | vs | Georgian Court | W | 69 - 51 |
| 2025-01-02 | @ | Saint Anselm | L | 61 - 70 |
| 2025-01-05 | @ | Southern Conn. St. | L | 55 - 70 |
| 2025-01-08 | vs | Southern N.H. | L | 54 - 59 |
| 2025-01-11 | vs | Bentley | L | 40 - 68 |
| 2025-01-14 | @ | American Int'l | W | 53 - 52 |
| 2025-01-18 | @ | Pace | L | 61 - 67 |
| 2025-01-22 | @ | New Haven | L | 30 - 39 |
| 2025-01-25 | vs | Adelphi | W | 53 - 45 |
| 2025-01-28 | @ | Franklin Pierce | L | 44 - 59 |
| 2025-02-01 | vs | Saint Anselm | L | 51 - 56 |
| 2025-02-05 | vs | Saint Michael's | W | 49 - 43 |
| 2025-02-08 | @ | Bentley | L | 39 - 58 |
| 2025-02-11 | @ | Southern N.H. | L | 62 - 68 |
| 2025-02-15 | vs | Southern Conn. St. | W | 63 - 52 |
| 2025-02-19 | vs | American Int'l | W | 59 - 36 |
| 2025-02-25 | vs | Pace | W | 53 - 41 |
| 2025-02-28 | vs | Franklin Pierce | W | 65 - 53 |
| 2025-03-02 | @ | New Haven | W | 57 - 54 |
| 2025-03-06 | vs | Adelphi | W | 54 - 48 |
| 2025-03-09 | @ | Bentley | L | 54 - 64 |
| 2025-03-14 | @ | Holy Family | L | 53 - 67 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marina Callahan | - | 32 | 29.1 | 13.3 | 8.3 | 2.6 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 11.9 | 13.6 | -2 | -0.1 | -0.1 | 41.1 | 29.5 | 71.0 | 0.35 | 48.0 | 42.8 |
| Molly Stokes | - | 33 | 31.3 | 12.8 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 1.7 | 11.8 | 5.0 | 11 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 38.7 | 27.4 | 86.1 | 0.44 | 49.9 | 45.6 |
| Kaijhe Hall | - | 32 | 24.1 | 8.4 | 7.1 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 2.4 | 6.7 | 9.4 | -37 | -1.3 | -1.3 | 53.3 | 0.0 | 56.2 | 0.06 | 54.6 | 53.3 |
| Teagan Curran | - | 33 | 21.2 | 3.8 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 4.2 | 1.7 | -17 | -0.4 | -0.5 | 31.4 | 20.5 | 75.0 | -0.09 | 41.7 | 37.2 |
| Maeve Moriarty | - | 33 | 15.4 | 3.2 | 2.9 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 3.2 | 3.2 | 9 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 35.6 | 35.3 | 71.4 | 0.25 | 44.0 | 38.5 |
| Grace Leary | - | 33 | 7.9 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 2.5 | 1.8 | -12 | -0.6 | -1.5 | 43.9 | 27.5 | 88.0 | 0.04 | 56.5 | 50.6 |
| Teagan Kamm | - | 33 | 9.7 | 3.0 | 2.1 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 2.6 | 2.9 | 17 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 50.6 | 0 | 40.0 | 0.09 | 49.9 | 50.6 |
| Antonia Panayides | - | 33 | 23.5 | 3.0 | 2.1 | 2.9 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 3.6 | 3.0 | 2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 26.9 | 21.9 | 62.9 | 0.1 | 37.2 | 32.8 |
| Laura Johnson-Shedd | - | 31 | 9.3 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 2.2 | 1.9 | -30 | -1.0 | -1.7 | 35.8 | 0.0 | 71.4 | -0.23 | 44.3 | 35.8 |
| Emma Dahl | - | 33 | 7.7 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 33 | 1.2 | 2.5 | 38.7 | 29.2 | 81.8 | 0.2 | 47.9 | 44.4 |
| Olivia Found | - | 32 | 9.9 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 2.1 | 0.1 | -11 | -0.4 | -1.1 | 12.1 | 11.8 | 81.2 | 0.08 | 22.6 | 15.2 |
| Avah Ingalls | - | 33 | 4.8 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 1.3 | -8 | -0.5 | -1.4 | 37.5 | 22.2 | 60.0 | -0.08 | 52.4 | 43.8 |
| Ashlyn Pacheco | - | 20 | 6.6 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.2 | -29 | -3.6 | -5.9 | 35.7 | 100.0 | 40.0 | -0.19 | 40.1 | 39.3 |
| Ashley Pacheco | - | 15 | 6.6 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 2 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 14.3 | 0 | 33.3 | -0.04 | 20.7 | 14.3 |
| Emily Collins | - | 31 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.17 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Lauryn Wright | - | 32 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG