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Assumption

Also known as: Assumption
Program History

Model Outputs

2023-2024
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1199 (#6) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1236 (#10) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +8.5 (#119) HCA +2.7

2024 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2023-11-12 @ Post W 80 - 59
2023-11-15 vs Southern Conn. St. W 77 - 59
2023-11-18 @ Felician W 60 - 52
2023-11-21 @ Saint Rose L 55 - 62
2023-11-29 vs New Haven W 70 - 41
2023-12-02 @ Saint Anselm L 60 - 69
2023-12-05 vs Bridgeport W 67 - 33
2023-12-16 vs Queens (NY) W 74 - 34
2023-12-19 @ Georgian Court W 73 - 47
2023-12-30 vs American Int'l W 74 - 58
2024-01-03 @ Bentley L 68 - 78
2024-01-06 @ Franklin Pierce W 77 - 51
2024-01-10 vs Pace W 53 - 40
2024-01-13 vs Saint Michael's W 62 - 45
2024-01-16 @ Adelphi W 64 - 50
2024-01-20 vs Southern N.H. W 81 - 51
2024-01-24 vs Saint Rose W 54 - 50
2024-01-27 @ Southern Conn. St. W 74 - 68
2024-01-30 @ New Haven W 70 - 60
2024-02-03 vs Saint Anselm W 64 - 47
2024-02-07 @ American Int'l W 70 - 62
2024-02-10 vs Bentley W 66 - 47
2024-02-14 @ Pace W 62 - 48
2024-02-17 vs Franklin Pierce L 71 - 80
2024-02-21 @ Saint Michael's W 69 - 43
2024-02-24 @ Southern N.H. W 78 - 65
2024-02-27 vs Adelphi W 57 - 43
2024-03-03 vs Pace W 55 - 54
2024-03-07 vs Southern Conn. St. L 47 - 60
2024-03-15 vs Franklin Pierce W 58 - 43
2024-03-16 vs Daemen L 58 - 68

2024 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
MOLLY STOKES - 5 31.2 13.6 2.4 1.6 0.4 0.8 1.6 9.2 8.0 63 5.2 6.1 54.3 36.4 90.9 0.59 66.9 63.0
KAIJHE HALL - 5 25.8 13.2 8.2 2.2 1.4 0.8 4.0 6.6 15.2 42 4.2 4.5 60.6 0 76.5 0.37 68.8 60.6
AMANDA MIECZKOWSKI - 5 35.8 11.8 5.2 5.2 2.4 0.0 2.8 9.0 12.8 - - - 51.1 41.2 54.5 0.74 59.2 58.9
MARINA CALLAHAN - 5 30.2 11.6 6.4 2.4 1.0 1.0 1.4 10.8 10.2 62 5.2 6.0 37.0 0.0 81.8 0.49 45.5 37.0
EMMA DAHL - 5 27.0 5.8 3.2 0.8 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.2 3.6 18 0.9 1.1 34.6 41.7 85.7 0.02 49.9 44.2
TEAGAN CURRAN - 5 18.0 4.8 2.0 1.0 0.6 0.4 1.4 4.6 2.8 11 0.5 0.6 43.5 28.6 0 0.03 52.2 52.2
TEAGAN KAMM - 5 14.8 3.4 2.8 1.6 0.4 0.4 0.8 2.6 5.2 17 0.8 1.1 46.2 0.0 83.3 -0.13 54.3 46.2
ANNA DAVIS - 3 6.3 1.3 3.0 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.3 2.7 16 2.0 16.0 28.6 0.0 0 0.36 28.6 28.6
KARA BREMSER - 3 1.7 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.3 - - - 50.0 100.0 0 - 75.0 75.0
AVAH INGALLS - 3 3.0 1.0 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 1.0 - - - 50.0 0 100.0 - 61.5 50.0
MAEVE MORIARTY - 5 5.0 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.4 1.0 35 1.9 3.4 50.0 100.0 0 0.47 75.0 75.0
Olivia Found - 22 0.8 0.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.1 0.1 14 1.6 4.7 66.7 66.7 75.0 0.2 94.5 100.0
Ashley Pacheco - 24 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 -0.1 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
GRACE LEARY - 5 4.6 0.0 0.8 0.2 0.4 0.0 1.4 1.8 -1.8 2 0.2 0.8 0.0 0.0 0 -0.24 0.0 0.0
ASHLYN PACHECO - 2 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG