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Assumption

Also known as: Assumption
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1015 (#169) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1032 (#159) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → +9.2 (#100) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.558 (#310) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +8.9 More → 0.730 (#105) NetEff +8.9
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +7.0 More → 0.691 (#305) AdjNet +7.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +6.8 More → 0.690 (#309) AdjNet +6.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 81.6 | AdjD 76.6 More → 0.611 (#320) AdjO 81.6 | AdjD 76.6

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-08 vs Bloomfield - Incomplete score
2024-11-09 vs Caldwell - Incomplete score
2024-11-13 @ Saint Michael's - Incomplete score
2024-11-16 @ Adelphi - Incomplete score
2024-11-20 vs Franklin Pierce - Incomplete score
2024-11-26 vs New Haven - Incomplete score
2024-11-30 @ Dominican (NY) - Incomplete score
2024-12-14 @ Post - Incomplete score
2024-12-17 @ Queens (NY) - Incomplete score
2024-12-20 vs Wilmington (DE) - Incomplete score
2024-12-22 vs Caldwell - Incomplete score
2025-01-02 @ Saint Anselm - Incomplete score
2025-01-05 @ Southern Conn. St. - Incomplete score
2025-01-08 vs Southern N.H. - Incomplete score
2025-01-11 vs Bentley - Incomplete score
2025-01-14 @ American Int'l - Incomplete score
2025-01-18 @ Pace - Incomplete score
2025-01-22 @ New Haven - Incomplete score
2025-01-25 vs Adelphi - Incomplete score
2025-01-28 @ Franklin Pierce - Incomplete score
2025-02-01 vs Saint Anselm - Incomplete score
2025-02-05 vs Saint Michael's - Incomplete score
2025-02-08 @ Bentley - Incomplete score
2025-02-11 @ Southern N.H. - Incomplete score
2025-02-15 vs Southern Conn. St. - Incomplete score
2025-02-19 vs American Int'l - Incomplete score
2025-02-25 vs Pace - Incomplete score
2025-03-02 vs Pace - Incomplete score
2025-03-15 @ Southern N.H. - Incomplete score
2025-03-16 vs Dominican (NY) - Incomplete score
2025-03-18 @ St. Thomas Aquinas - Incomplete score
2025-03-25 @ Nova Southeastern - Incomplete score

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Daouda Dembele - 30 23.4 11.5 6.3 1.1 0.9 1.2 1.7 9.8 9.5 38 0.9 3.1 48.1 23.3 63.1 1.66 51.8 49.3
Njavan Stewart - 26 22.1 10.6 4.2 1.0 0.7 0.7 1.1 7.9 8.2 33 1.8 4.4 43.2 40.0 68.7 0.61 58.6 55.8
Tayeshawn Cunningham-Pemberton - 29 20.7 10.3 5.4 1.6 1.6 0.2 1.4 7.5 10.3 117 3.0 9.7 46.8 22.2 69.2 2.7 55.5 50.0
Jamal Barnes - 30 22.9 9.5 2.7 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.9 8.3 4.9 116 4.3 9.6 39.9 34.7 80.8 1.57 55.1 53.4
Barilugbene Mawo - 29 16.4 8.1 4.9 1.2 0.9 0.3 1.0 5.7 8.8 -32 -1.0 -6.2 53.7 42.1 70.5 -0.11 61.6 58.5
Leonard Tangishaka - 30 26.0 7.6 3.7 2.2 1.2 0.9 0.9 5.2 9.5 40 1.1 2.9 51.6 39.6 74.6 2.13 62.4 58.4
Kyle Hicks - 26 15.2 7.5 1.7 0.9 0.7 0.1 1.0 5.6 4.3 41 2.9 11.8 46.6 36.4 78.3 0.39 56.6 50.7
Noah Payne - 30 17.6 7.3 2.4 2.5 0.8 0.4 1.6 5.8 5.9 19 0.6 4.0 41.4 36.8 84.5 0.57 53.1 45.4
Zamareon McCown - 30 23.2 7.1 3.1 3.7 1.2 0.2 1.6 6.9 6.7 0 0.0 0.0 41.3 32.6 61.9 1.39 47.0 45.0
Myles Alcindor - 30 9.5 2.9 1.1 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.6 2.8 2.0 -4 -0.2 -2.1 39.8 34.1 57.1 -0.06 49.3 48.2
Luke Michalski - 24 4.0 2.1 0.9 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 1.7 1.5 - - - 55.0 33.3 36.4 - 55.8 57.5
Kyle Gaskins - 26 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.2 -11 -3.7 -233.6 22.2 0.0 0 -1.57 22.2 22.2
John Kelly - 29 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 -38 -9.5 -807.1 16.7 25.0 25.0 -1.57 25.8 25.0
Luke Latina - 28 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 -0.1 -37 -7.4 -785.8 0.0 0.0 100.0 -1.57 17.0 0.0
Hudson Geremia - 5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jacob Gibbons - 21 0.6 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 -54 -3.9 -732.2 0.0 0 50.0 -1.4 26.6 0.0
Connor O'Leary - 6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Parnell Pierre - 8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Michael Pittman - 29 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 -15 -2.5 -318.6 0.0 0.0 0 -1.57 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG