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Assumption

Also known as: Assumption
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1015 (#169) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1032 (#159) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → +9.2 (#100) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.558 (#310) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +8.9 More → 0.730 (#105) NetEff +8.9
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +7.0 More → 0.691 (#305) AdjNet +7.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +6.8 More → 0.690 (#309) AdjNet +6.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 81.6 | AdjD 76.6 More → 0.611 (#320) AdjO 81.6 | AdjD 76.6

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-08 vs Bloomfield L 92 - 93
2024-11-09 vs Caldwell L 72 - 75
2024-11-13 @ Saint Michael's W 87 - 75
2024-11-16 @ Adelphi W 76 - 60
2024-11-20 vs Franklin Pierce W 96 - 85
2024-11-26 vs New Haven W 69 - 59
2024-11-30 @ Dominican (NY) W 98 - 81
2024-12-14 @ Post W 73 - 70
2024-12-17 @ Queens (NY) W 79 - 77
2024-12-20 vs Wilmington (DE) W 86 - 72
2024-12-22 vs Caldwell W 80 - 62
2025-01-02 @ Saint Anselm W 97 - 74
2025-01-05 @ Southern Conn. St. W 98 - 89
2025-01-08 vs Southern N.H. L 66 - 69
2025-01-11 vs Bentley L 64 - 85
2025-01-14 @ American Int'l W 82 - 75
2025-01-18 @ Pace W 82 - 75
2025-01-22 @ New Haven L 80 - 84
2025-01-25 vs Adelphi L 68 - 76
2025-01-28 @ Franklin Pierce W 94 - 88
2025-02-01 vs Saint Anselm W 81 - 65
2025-02-05 vs Saint Michael's W 91 - 72
2025-02-08 @ Bentley L 68 - 69
2025-02-11 @ Southern N.H. L 82 - 83
2025-02-15 vs Southern Conn. St. W 55 - 52
2025-02-19 vs American Int'l W 88 - 64
2025-02-25 vs Pace W 76 - 62
2025-03-02 vs Pace L 72 - 74
2025-03-15 @ Southern N.H. W 92 - 66
2025-03-16 vs Dominican (NY) W 81 - 75
2025-03-18 @ St. Thomas Aquinas W 97 - 90
2025-03-25 @ Nova Southeastern L 93 - 102

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Njavan Stewart - 27 22.3 11.1 4.2 1.0 0.7 0.7 1.1 8.3 8.3 33 1.8 4.4 44.8 40.1 68.7 0.61 59.6 57.2
Daouda Dembele - 32 23.6 11.0 6.3 1.1 0.9 1.2 1.8 9.8 9.0 38 0.9 3.1 46.8 21.2 63.1 1.66 50.4 47.9
Tayeshawn Cunningham-Pemberton - 31 20.7 10.4 5.6 1.6 1.6 0.2 1.3 7.5 10.5 117 3.0 9.7 48.1 22.4 70.0 2.7 56.6 51.3
Jamal Barnes - 32 23.1 9.6 2.8 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.8 8.3 5.1 116 4.3 9.6 39.7 34.8 80.0 1.57 55.0 53.2
Barilugbene Mawo - 31 16.9 8.1 5.0 1.2 0.9 0.3 1.0 5.9 8.6 -32 -1.0 -6.2 52.2 37.2 70.8 -0.11 59.8 56.6
Kyle Hicks - 28 14.9 7.3 1.7 0.8 0.7 0.1 0.9 5.4 4.2 41 2.9 11.8 47.4 35.3 77.4 0.39 56.9 51.3
Noah Payne - 32 17.5 7.3 2.3 2.5 0.7 0.4 1.6 5.7 5.9 19 0.6 4.0 42.5 35.9 82.3 0.57 54.0 46.4
Leonard Tangishaka - 32 26.1 7.3 3.6 2.2 1.1 0.8 0.9 5.0 9.1 40 1.1 2.9 50.3 38.9 72.2 2.13 61.0 56.8
Zamareon McCown - 32 23.4 7.0 3.1 3.6 1.1 0.2 1.5 6.9 6.5 0 0.0 0.0 40.5 29.4 62.5 1.39 46.3 43.9
Myles Alcindor - 32 9.5 3.0 1.1 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.6 2.8 2.0 -4 -0.2 -2.1 40.0 35.6 57.1 -0.06 49.9 48.9
Luke Michalski - 26 4.1 2.1 0.9 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.7 1.5 - - - 53.3 28.6 30.8 - 53.2 55.6
Kyle Gaskins - 28 0.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.1 -11 -3.7 -233.6 22.2 0.0 0 -1.57 22.2 22.2
Luke Latina - 30 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 -0.1 -37 -7.4 -785.8 0.0 0.0 100.0 -1.57 17.0 0.0
John Kelly - 30 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 -38 -9.5 -807.1 16.7 25.0 25.0 -1.57 25.8 25.0
Connor O'Leary - 8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Michael Pittman - 31 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 -15 -2.5 -318.6 0.0 0.0 0 -1.57 0.0 0.0
Hudson Geremia - 6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jacob Gibbons - 22 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 -54 -3.9 -732.2 0.0 0 50.0 -1.4 26.6 0.0
Parnell Pierre - 9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG