Ashland
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1055 (#97) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1111 (#69) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +8.4 (#109) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.659 (#246) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.517 (#212) | NetEff +0.6 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.830 (#211) | AdjNet +13.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.836 (#210) | AdjNet +14.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.726 (#208) | AdjO 82.3 | AdjD 71.6 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-10 | @ | Grand Valley St. | W | 68 - 66 |
| 2024-11-16 | vs | Miami-Middletown | W | 100 - 49 |
| 2024-11-17 | vs | Indiana (PA) | L | 72 - 75 |
| 2024-11-20 | vs | Ferris St. | L | 74 - 75 |
| 2024-11-26 | vs | Kent St.-Tuscarawas | W | 82 - 57 |
| 2024-12-05 | vs | Northwood | W | 61 - 56 |
| 2024-12-07 | @ | Tiffin | W | 79 - 61 |
| 2024-12-14 | vs | Ky. Wesleyan | L | 58 - 76 |
| 2024-12-16 | @ | Lake Erie | L | 82 - 86 |
| 2024-12-20 | @ | Saint Leo | L | 48 - 59 |
| 2024-12-21 | vs | Palm Beach Atl. | W | 80 - 64 |
| 2025-01-02 | vs | Hillsdale | L | 78 - 83 |
| 2025-01-04 | @ | Malone | W | 72 - 61 |
| 2025-01-09 | vs | Walsh | W | 80 - 61 |
| 2025-01-11 | @ | Thomas More | W | 83 - 71 |
| 2025-01-16 | @ | Findlay | L | 77 - 95 |
| 2025-01-21 | @ | Ohio Dominican | W | 69 - 56 |
| 2025-01-25 | vs | Lake Erie | W | 97 - 68 |
| 2025-02-01 | vs | Thomas More | L | 61 - 66 |
| 2025-02-06 | vs | Cedarville | W | 73 - 59 |
| 2025-02-08 | @ | Northwood | W | 73 - 55 |
| 2025-02-13 | vs | Malone | L | 58 - 71 |
| 2025-02-15 | vs | Tiffin | W | 75 - 69 |
| 2025-02-20 | @ | Ky. Wesleyan | L | 74 - 92 |
| 2025-02-22 | @ | Cedarville | L | 69 - 81 |
| 2025-02-27 | vs | Findlay | W | 76 - 69 |
| 2025-03-01 | @ | Walsh | L | 78 - 112 |
| 2025-03-04 | @ | Hillsdale | L | 59 - 76 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maceo Williams | - | 28 | 32.7 | 20.6 | 8.9 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 2.1 | 12.9 | 17.8 | -179 | -5.0 | -22.0 | 63.8 | 50.0 | 65.6 | 0.76 | 66.9 | 65.5 |
| Cooper Davis | - | 28 | 30.2 | 12.9 | 3.1 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 9.4 | 7.4 | -195 | -5.3 | -24.5 | 41.6 | 37.6 | 79.2 | 0.44 | 58.5 | 52.9 |
| Jaron Crews | - | 28 | 26.9 | 8.9 | 3.3 | 3.5 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 2.1 | 8.8 | 5.8 | -60 | -1.9 | -8.4 | 40.0 | 29.5 | 86.7 | 1.43 | 48.4 | 45.7 |
| Aden Gregory | - | 28 | 20.8 | 8.2 | 2.8 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 1.6 | 6.3 | 5.9 | -75 | -4.4 | -26.4 | 51.1 | 43.4 | 86.7 | 0.3 | 60.5 | 57.7 |
| Gbolahan Adio | - | 28 | 20.6 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 5.8 | 4.4 | -47 | -3.4 | -16.9 | 47.9 | 37.9 | 55.6 | 0.17 | 56.0 | 55.5 |
| Stefan Stanic | - | 28 | 27.1 | 5.3 | 4.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 5.2 | 7.5 | -75 | -3.1 | -10.4 | 38.6 | 22.6 | 51.2 | 0.32 | 45.1 | 43.4 |
| Javin Etzler | - | 28 | 17.1 | 4.8 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 3.5 | 5.0 | -66 | -3.3 | -11.1 | 47.5 | 44.1 | 76.9 | 0.82 | 64.0 | 62.6 |
| Jason Moore | - | 28 | 4.9 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.7 | 1.4 | -28 | -1.2 | -39.9 | 56.2 | 0 | 47.8 | -0.35 | 55.9 | 56.2 |
| Carter Valentine | - | 28 | 6.2 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 1.5 | -64 | -4.3 | -88.1 | 40.0 | 37.5 | 50.0 | -0.32 | 51.9 | 51.2 |
| Luke Metzger | - | 26 | 7.6 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 2.3 | -11 | -0.8 | -10.1 | 50.0 | 47.6 | 60.0 | -0.23 | 70.6 | 70.8 |
| Brett Alberts | - | 28 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 17 | 3.4 | 345.8 | 40.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -1.52 | 44.4 | 40.0 |
| Isaac Strunk | - | 26 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | -32 | -10.7 | -914.3 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | -1.66 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Josh Hotz | - | 24 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | -4 | -1.0 | -114.3 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -1.66 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Max Dawson | - | 8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Jordan Edwards | - | 12 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -11 | -0.4 | -2.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.09 | 0 | 0 |
| Anthony Januzzi | - | 12 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Casey Lantz | - | 25 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Trent Minor | - | 18 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Chris Mitchell | - | 11 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG