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Ashland

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: Ashland
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1055 (#97) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1197 (#41) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 1143 (#40) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +13.3 (#61) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +16.1 (#88) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.659 (#246) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -10.2 More → 0.262 (#267) NetEff -10.2
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +13.8 More → 0.830 (#211) AdjNet +13.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +14.0 More → 0.836 (#210) AdjNet +14.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 82.3 | AdjD 71.6 More → 0.726 (#208) AdjO 82.3 | AdjD 71.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 79.5 | AdjD 67.1 More → 0.755 (#33) AdjO 79.5 | AdjD 67.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.832 (#44) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.825 (#37) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 94 | GP 23 More → 1252 (#24) RD 94 | GP 23

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 @ Grand Valley St. L 55 - 74
2025-11-16 @ Wayne St. (MI) W 76 - 64
2025-11-19 vs Salem (WV) W 89 - 69
2025-11-22 @ Indiana (PA) W 82 - 80
2025-11-23 vs Pitt.-Johnstown W 87 - 79
2025-11-26 vs Kent St.-Tuscarawas W 101 - 63
2025-11-30 vs Saginaw Valley L 71 - 80
2025-12-06 vs Northwood W 85 - 81
2025-12-11 @ Ky. Wesleyan L 65 - 72
2025-12-13 @ Thomas More W 91 - 88
2025-12-18 @ Ohio Dominican L 64 - 74
2025-12-31 vs Bry. & Strat. (OH) USCAA W 103 - 51
2026-01-03 vs Ohio Dominican W 70 - 69
2026-01-05 vs Findlay W 105 - 104
2026-01-08 @ Lake Erie L 86 - 100
2026-01-15 @ Tiffin W 69 - 55
2026-01-17 vs Cedarville W 80 - 65
2026-01-22 vs Lake Erie L 85 - 90
2026-01-24 @ Hillsdale W 82 - 72
2026-01-29 vs Malone W 75 - 63
2026-01-31 @ Northwood W 81 - 63
2026-02-05 vs Thomas More W 63 - 57
2026-02-07 vs Ky. Wesleyan W 73 - 67

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Maceo Williams - 23 31.2 18.9 8.0 2.0 1.0 0.7 1.8 11.6 17.2 36 1.6 6.3 59.9 35.9 62.5 2.89 64.3 62.5
Cooper Davis - 23 31.8 14.0 3.8 1.3 0.7 0.2 1.1 10.0 8.7 -22 -1.0 -4.5 38.9 32.3 82.4 -0.36 56.5 47.6
Jason Moore - 22 18.3 11.5 4.4 0.7 1.0 0.4 1.5 6.2 10.3 63 2.9 15.6 66.4 33.3 77.8 1.61 71.6 66.8
Jordan Edwards - 23 28.8 10.1 4.5 5.2 1.1 0.0 4.0 8.4 8.4 -31 -1.3 -7.1 47.9 28.6 48.8 -0.15 50.4 49.5
Max Dawson - 23 21.5 9.4 2.0 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.5 7.2 5.0 62 2.7 20.6 46.4 37.3 72.7 3.77 58.5 55.7
Destin Logan - 23 19.3 4.9 2.5 0.7 1.3 0.2 0.9 3.7 5.0 38 1.7 14.4 50.0 40.0 75.0 4.46 61.9 60.5
Jason Henlon - 23 25.0 4.5 3.2 1.9 1.3 0.3 0.8 4.0 6.3 92 4.0 25.2 51.6 16.0 36.4 0.67 53.1 53.8
Christian Wilkins - 6 10.3 4.0 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.7 3.7 1.0 - - - 31.8 38.5 62.5 - 47.0 43.2
Aden Gregory - 1 7.3 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 0.0 - - - 50.0 0.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Scotty Hickey - 2 2.0 2.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.5 - - - 100.0 100.0 0 - 125.0 125.0
Beau Siegfried - 21 13.4 2.4 1.3 1.8 0.6 0.1 0.6 2.0 3.6 46 2.2 14.9 43.9 30.0 80.0 0.9 55.1 51.2
Trent Minor - 22 8.9 2.3 1.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.5 1.3 2.2 -18 -0.8 -19.3 72.4 20.0 72.7 -0.02 75.4 74.1
Bradey Krichbaum - 2 2.0 2.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.5 - - - 50.0 0 100.0 - 69.4 50.0
Casey Lantz - 12 7.1 1.4 1.4 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.3 1.2 2.3 15 1.4 58.0 57.1 0.0 25.0 0.12 53.9 57.1
Josh Hotz - 3 1.7 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.0 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Nohah Nichols - 7 2.2 0.6 0.9 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.9 0.7 -59 -4.5 -31.5 33.3 0.0 0.0 -3.2 31.1 33.3
Matthew Chou - 2 2.0 0.5 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.0 - - - 0.0 0 50.0 - 26.6 0.0
Anthony Januzzi - 5 1.9 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 - - - 0 0 50.0 - 56.8 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG