Army
2026-2027 Team Stats (4 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1218 (#70) | Preseason prior 1178 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1069, returning +167, transfers -58, freshmen +0 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1142 (#70) | HCA +169 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1140 (#71) | HCA +169 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +14.2 (#62) | HCA +1.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +14.2 (#63) | HCA +1.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.830 (#87) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.731 (#87) | AdjNet +12.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.736 (#88) | AdjNet +12.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.701 (#74) | AdjO 70.0 | AdjD 61.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.698 (#75) | AdjO 70.0 | AdjD 62.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.750 (#72) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.750 (#72) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1152 (#75) | RD 193 | GP 2 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More โ | 0.764 (#75) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | vs | St. Thomas Aquinas Spartans | W | 81 - 28 |
| 2026-11-05 | @ | Brown Bears | W | 81 - 56 |
| 2026-11-11 | vs | George Mason Patriots | W | 80 - 75 |
| 2026-11-14 | vs | St. Thomas Tommies | W | 57 - 39 |
| 2026-11-17 | @ | Massachusetts Minutewomen | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-19 | @ | Siena Saints | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions and box-score rates; an unlisted position is inferred from those rates, and missing rates are treated as zero. Legend numbers are each player's share of recorded roster minutes, scaled to five players' regulation minutes; they can differ from minutes per game in the roster below, especially when players miss games or coverage is incomplete. Each position column totals one regulation game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kya Smith
|
F | 4 | 28.2 | 17.2 | 9.0 | 2.8 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 11.2 | 17.0 | 48 | 3 | 16.0 | 23.6 | 51.1 | 0.0 | 88.5 | 2.23 | 61.1 | 51.1 |
Camryn Tade
|
G | 4 | 31.2 | 15.2 | 4.8 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 10.8 | 12.8 | 57 | 3 | 19.0 | 24.3 | 58.1 | 66.7 | 42.9 | 2.58 | 66.2 | 67.4 |
Fiona Hastick
|
G | 4 | 26.5 | 9.5 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.8 | 8.2 | 75 | 3 | 25.0 | 37.3 | 48.4 | 46.7 | 50.0 | 2.6 | 59.6 | 59.7 |
Reganne Reardon
|
F | 4 | 21.0 | 9.5 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 8.5 | 4.5 | 33 | 3 | 11.0 | 21.1 | 44.1 | 33.3 | 75.0 | 0.16 | 50.6 | 47.1 |
Audrey Annee
|
G | 4 | 16.2 | 9.2 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 6.2 | 5.2 | 48 | 3 | 16.0 | 38.5 | 48.0 | 43.5 | 75.0 | 0.96 | 69.1 | 68.0 |
Brooke Wilson
|
G | 4 | 25.0 | 6.5 | 4.2 | 3.2 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 4.2 | 9.2 | - | - | - | - | 41.2 | 33.3 | 90.0 | - | 60.7 | 50.0 |
Kelly Cramer
|
G | 1 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 5 | 1 | 5.0 | 20.0 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.53 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
Taylor Wilson
|
G | 4 | 26.2 | 2.8 | 4.8 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 5.2 | 3.5 | 49 | 3 | 16.3 | 26.1 | 14.3 | 25.0 | 75.0 | 1.06 | 24.2 | 19.0 |
Jane Preston
|
F | 3 | 3.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 6 | 2 | 3.0 | 29.2 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | -1.58 | 150.0 | 150.0 |
Landry Sherrer
|
G | 2 | 5.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 5 | 1 | 5.0 | 20.0 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -1.32 | 25.8 | 33.3 |
Daniela Maletsky
|
G | 2 | 6.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 9 | 2 | 4.5 | 32.6 | 0 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.05 | 113.6 | 0 |
Julia Sedora
|
G | 3 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 1.3 | -1.7 | 1 | 2 | 0.5 | 3.4 | 25.0 | 25.0 | 0 | -1.24 | 37.5 | 37.5 |
Sam Tillson
|
F | 4 | 9.2 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 16 | 3 | 5.3 | 23.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 75.0 | 0.04 | 31.5 | 0.0 |
Stella Chartrand
|
G | 3 | 4.7 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 2.7 | -5 | 2 | -2.5 | -17.8 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | -4.58 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
Addison Ainsworth
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Nakia Ollivierre
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Jane Rape
|
G | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.78 | 0 | 0 |
Allie Swindell
|
F | 1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | 6 | 1 | 6.0 | 42.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.13 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Lilly Thoman
|
G | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -2.0 | -1 | 1 | -1.0 | -9.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.07 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2026-2027 Shot Zones
236 located field-goal attempts in 4 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Camryn TadeKya SmithFiona HastickAudrey AnneeReganne ReardonBrooke WilsonJulia Sedora
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 34-59 | 57.6 | 68 | Kya Smith 41% (28 pts) | Camryn Tade 24% (16 pts) | Kya Smith 40% (10 misses) | Camryn Tade 20% (5 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 29-60 | 48.3 | 58 | Kya Smith 28% (16 pts) | Reganne Reardon 28% (16 pts) | Reganne Reardon 29% (9 misses) | Taylor Wilson 26% (8 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 3-8 | 37.5 | 6 | Camryn Tade 33% (2 pts) | Fiona Hastick 33% (2 pts) | Fiona Hastick 40% (2 misses) | Kya Smith 40% (2 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 3-9 | 33.3 | 6 | Camryn Tade 100% (6 pts) | - | Camryn Tade 33% (2 misses) | Reganne Reardon 33% (2 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 3-12 | 25.0 | 6 | Camryn Tade 33% (2 pts) | Fiona Hastick 33% (2 pts) | Camryn Tade 33% (3 misses) | Fiona Hastick 22% (2 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 4-8 | 50.0 | 12 | Audrey Annee 25% (3 pts) | Brooke Wilson 25% (3 pts) | Audrey Annee 25% (1 misses) | Camryn Tade 25% (1 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 1-3 | 33.3 | 3 | Audrey Annee 100% (3 pts) | - | Audrey Annee 50% (1 misses) | Landry Sherrer 50% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 9-21 | 42.9 | 27 | Camryn Tade 22% (6 pts) | Fiona Hastick 22% (6 pts) | Julia Sedora 25% (3 misses) | Audrey Annee 17% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 5-17 | 29.4 | 15 | Audrey Annee 40% (6 pts) | Fiona Hastick 40% (6 pts) | Brooke Wilson 25% (3 misses) | Reganne Reardon 25% (3 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 15-39 | 38.5 | 45 | Audrey Annee 33% (15 pts) | Camryn Tade 27% (12 pts) | Audrey Annee 33% (8 misses) | Fiona Hastick 25% (6 misses) |