Army Black
2026-2027 Team Stats (3 games)
74.3
PPG
62.7
Opp
+11.7
Margin
44.0%
FG%
36.7%
3P%
70.0%
FT%
39.0
RPG
13.7
APG
12.0
TO
67.9
Est. poss./game
64.7
Adj PPG
67.0
Adj Opp PPG
#289
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2026-2027
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 690 (#345) | Preseason prior 714 (returning production + recruiting): last season 787, returning +24, transfers -74, freshmen -23 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 837 (#343) | HCA +206 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 841 (#342) | HCA +205 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -5.7 (#223) | HCA +2.2 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -5.7 (#227) | HCA +2.2 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.106 (#331) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.288 (#303) | AdjNet -10.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.277 (#308) | AdjNet -11.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.348 (#289) | AdjO 64.7 | AdjD 67.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.350 (#289) | AdjO 64.8 | AdjD 67.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.280 (#308) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.280 (#308) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 800 (#346) | RD 195 | GP 2 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.240 (#332) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
Recency Ensemble
Log Adjusted
Elo
Points Off/Def Recency
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | @ | Duke Blue Devils | L | 50 - 84 |
| 2026-11-05 | vs | Mount St Mary Knights | W | 118 - 41 |
| 2026-11-10 | @ | New Haven Chargers | L | 55 - 63 |
| 2026-11-14 | vs | St. Thomas Tommies | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-11-17 | vs | Marist Red Foxes | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-21 | @ | Binghamton Bearcats | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kevin McCarthy
|
G | 3 | 26.7 | 11.7 | 4.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 9.3 | 7.7 | -26 | 3 | -8.7 | -16.0 | 46.4 | 42.1 | 33.3 | -0.82 | 59.7 | 60.7 |
Patrick McDonough
|
G | 2 | 13.0 | 10.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 23 | 2 | 11.5 | 36.0 | 70.0 | 70.0 | 0 | 0.94 | 105.0 | 105.0 |
Ryan Curry
|
G | 3 | 28.3 | 9.3 | 0.7 | 3.7 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 9.3 | 4.0 | -15 | 3 | -5.0 | -8.6 | 39.3 | 17.6 | 100.0 | -0.03 | 47.7 | 44.6 |
Dillon Watt
|
G | 3 | 20.0 | 7.7 | 2.7 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 5.3 | 6.7 | -8 | 3 | -2.7 | -5.9 | 43.8 | 33.3 | 66.7 | -0.45 | 57.6 | 53.1 |
Jacen Holloway
|
F | 3 | 28.3 | 7.3 | 5.0 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 9.3 | 3.0 | -29 | 3 | -9.7 | -16.5 | 32.1 | 11.1 | 37.5 | -1.02 | 34.9 | 33.9 |
Michael Masini
|
F | 1 | 6.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 11 | 1 | 11.0 | 73.3 | 100.0 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.15 | 105.4 | 100.0 |
Tate Laczkowski
|
F | 3 | 24.3 | 6.3 | 6.0 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 7.7 | 7.3 | -30 | 3 | -10.0 | -21.1 | 34.8 | 16.7 | 66.7 | -1.42 | 39.1 | 37.0 |
Brendon O'Keefe
|
G | 1 | 8.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 15 | 1 | 15.0 | 76.8 | 50.0 | 66.7 | 0 | 0.16 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
Nnaemeka Ikechi
|
F | 3 | 11.0 | 5.7 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 2.7 | 9.3 | 15 | 3 | 5.0 | 21.7 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 90.0 | 0.78 | 68.5 | 50.0 |
Henry Rasmussen
|
F | 1 | 10.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 20 | 1 | 20.0 | 79.9 | 66.7 | 50.0 | 0 | 0.51 | 83.3 | 83.3 |
Dylan Benner
|
F | 3 | 15.3 | 4.7 | 3.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 16 | 3 | 5.3 | 17.6 | 55.6 | 57.1 | 0 | 0.71 | 77.8 | 77.8 |
Jaden Ellis
|
G | 3 | 11.3 | 3.3 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3 | 2.3 | -24 | 3 | -8.0 | -33.3 | 40.0 | 100.0 | 0 | -0.85 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
Deke Cooper Jr.
|
G | 2 | 10.5 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 24 | 2 | 12.0 | 47.3 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.82 | 46.0 | 40.0 |
Dylan Murans
|
F | 3 | 4.7 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 1.3 | -3 | 3 | -1.0 | -20.1 | 40.0 | 33.3 | 0 | -0.54 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
Jahaan Green
|
G | 3 | 4.7 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 0 | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 66.7 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.3 | 66.7 | 66.7 |
Parker Henderson
|
C | 2 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 11 | 1 | 11.0 | 73.3 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.15 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2026-2027 Shot Zones
184 located field-goal attempts in 3 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Kevin McCarthyRyan CurryJacen HollowayDillon WattTate LaczkowskiDylan BennerJaden EllisBrendon O'Keefe
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 28-46 | 60.9 | 56 | Jacen Holloway 18% (10 pts) | Ryan Curry 18% (10 pts) | Jacen Holloway 22% (4 misses) | Jaden Ellis 17% (3 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 19-38 | 50.0 | 38 | Tate Laczkowski 21% (8 pts) | Jacen Holloway 16% (6 pts) | Jacen Holloway 32% (6 misses) | Tate Laczkowski 32% (6 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 1-4 | 25.0 | 2 | Kevin McCarthy 100% (2 pts) | - | Kevin McCarthy 67% (2 misses) | Jacen Holloway 33% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 0-4 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Brendon O'Keefe 25% (1 misses) | Deke Cooper Jr. 25% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 0-2 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Jaden Ellis 50% (1 misses) | Tate Laczkowski 50% (1 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 4-9 | 44.4 | 12 | Dylan Benner 25% (3 pts) | Henry Rasmussen 25% (3 pts) | Dylan Benner 40% (2 misses) | Kevin McCarthy 40% (2 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 3-8 | 37.5 | 9 | Dylan Benner 33% (3 pts) | Kevin McCarthy 33% (3 pts) | Dylan Benner 20% (1 misses) | Dylan Murans 20% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 10-25 | 40.0 | 30 | Ryan Curry 30% (9 pts) | Brendon O'Keefe 20% (6 pts) | Kevin McCarthy 33% (5 misses) | Ryan Curry 33% (5 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 3-16 | 18.8 | 9 | Kevin McCarthy 67% (6 pts) | Dylan Benner 33% (3 pts) | Ryan Curry 38% (5 misses) | Jacen Holloway 23% (3 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 13-32 | 40.6 | 39 | Kevin McCarthy 23% (9 pts) | Patrick McDonough 23% (9 pts) | Dillon Watt 21% (4 misses) | Kevin McCarthy 21% (4 misses) |