Arlington Baptist
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 904 (#419) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 833 (#448) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -12.2 (#306) | HCA +2.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.138 (#712) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.091 (#651) | AdjNet -19.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.086 (#652) | AdjNet -20.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.171 (#678) | AdjO 77.1 | AdjD 94.5 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-08 | @ | Centenary (LA) | W | 78 - 75 |
| 2024-11-25 | @ | Dallas | L | 83 - 89 |
| 2024-12-14 | @ | Howard Payne | L | 120 - 124 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Boyle | - | 1 | 35.0 | 34.0 | 16.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 19.0 | 36.0 | -79 | -6.1 | -11.7 | 78.9 | 0 | 66.7 | 0.57 | 78.6 | 78.9 |
| Armonie Ramey | - | 1 | 32.0 | 32.0 | 11.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 20.0 | 27.0 | -25 | -2.5 | -3.1 | 60.0 | 0.0 | 80.0 | 0.46 | 65.6 | 60.0 |
| Hudson Johnson | - | 1 | 33.0 | 23.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 15.0 | 8.0 | -39 | -1.9 | -5.3 | 46.7 | 40.0 | 83.3 | 0.84 | 65.2 | 60.0 |
| Trey Jackson | - | 1 | 28.0 | 22.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 13.0 | 17.0 | -26 | -2.6 | -3.3 | 53.8 | 50.0 | 75.0 | 0.23 | 66.6 | 61.5 |
| Riley Fornerette | - | 1 | 33.0 | 20.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 14.0 | 16.0 | -121 | -7.1 | -15.6 | 57.1 | 33.3 | 75.0 | 0.15 | 63.5 | 60.7 |
| Thomas Fleming | - | 1 | 29.0 | 18.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 9.0 | -187 | -7.8 | -25.8 | 50.0 | 44.4 | 100.0 | -0.24 | 76.5 | 70.0 |
| Terrence Bryant | - | 1 | 32.0 | 16.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 13.0 | 12.0 | -86 | -6.1 | -17.9 | 46.2 | 50.0 | 75.0 | 0.17 | 54.2 | 50.0 |
| Aaron Pizana | - | 1 | 34.0 | 13.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 11.0 | 14.0 | -115 | -8.2 | -23.1 | 36.4 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.07 | 49.2 | 36.4 |
| Nathan Scott | - | 1 | 9.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 11 | 1.8 | 9.5 | 75.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 0.1 | 87.5 | 87.5 |
| Noah Daniels | - | 1 | 16.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | -29 | -2.9 | -12.5 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.27 | 33.8 | 25.0 |
| Carter Eddy | - | 1 | 11.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | -5 | -0.7 | -9.3 | 66.7 | 50.0 | 0 | -0.29 | 83.3 | 83.3 |
| Mason McGowen | - | 1 | 14.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 6 | 1.0 | 3.4 | 50.0 | 33.3 | 0 | 0.36 | 62.5 | 62.5 |
| Ben Phillip | - | 1 | 17.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 | 4 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 25.0 | 25.0 | 100.0 | 0.29 | 51.2 | 37.5 |
| Carter May | - | 1 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | -16 | -2.3 | -11.1 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.13 | 38.7 | 33.3 |
| Johnny Olmsted | - | 1 | 40.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | -162 | -11.6 | -21.9 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.5 | 20.0 | 20.0 |
| Gregory Wessley | - | 1 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | -8 | -2.7 | -48.4 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.74 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Alex Bruno | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0.3 | 11.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.96 | 0 | 0 |
| Rory Coplin | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -3 | -3.0 | -30.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.95 | 0 | 0 |
| Chandler Holmes | - | 1 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | -1.0 | -67 | -6.1 | -21.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.14 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Daniel Marinov | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Marquise McPipe | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Sean Calloway | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Kensington Colston | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3 | 3.0 | 45.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.08 | 0 | 0 |
| Daniel Fragoza | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Jordan McClendon | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 11 | 1.8 | 4.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.45 | 0 | 0 |
| Bryson Monroe | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3 | 3.0 | 45.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.08 | 0 | 0 |
| Mario Perry | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| EliJah Pickens | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Alan Rhone | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Caden Sandlin | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG