Arlington Baptist
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 981 (#231) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 951 (#266) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -14.1 (#304) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.024 (#592) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.116 (#608) | AdjNet -17.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.116 (#605) | AdjNet -17.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.196 (#630) | AdjO 77.6 | AdjD 93.1 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-12 | vs | Texas-Dallas | L | 73 - 82 |
| 2024-11-14 | @ | Okla. Baptist | L | 77 - 96 |
| 2024-11-16 | @ | Southern Ark. | L | 82 - 105 |
| 2024-11-19 | @ | Angelo St. | L | 58 - 101 |
| 2024-11-22 | @ | Southeastern Okla. | L | 74 - 94 |
| 2024-11-30 | @ | Lubbock Christian | L | 57 - 95 |
| 2024-12-20 | @ | Midwestern St. | L | 48 - 93 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carvell Teasett | - | 1 | 22.0 | 22.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 22.0 | 59 | 2.8 | 15.4 | 75.0 | 83.3 | 100.0 | 0.07 | 107.8 | 106.2 |
| Ethan Scott | - | 1 | 26.0 | 21.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 16.0 | 10.0 | -52 | -2.9 | -12.7 | 43.8 | 46.7 | 0 | 0.2 | 65.6 | 65.6 |
| Terry Coner Jr. | - | 1 | 27.0 | 20.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 18.0 | 6.0 | -66 | -2.2 | -9.3 | 50.0 | 40.0 | 0 | 1.33 | 55.6 | 55.6 |
| Sterling Gaston-Chapman | - | 1 | 29.0 | 20.0 | 12.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 17.0 | 19.0 | -3 | -0.1 | -0.6 | 41.2 | 60.0 | 100.0 | 0.57 | 54.6 | 50.0 |
| Kaden Evans | - | 1 | 27.0 | 17.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 13.0 | 8.0 | -32 | -1.3 | -5.4 | 46.2 | 45.5 | 0 | 0.46 | 65.4 | 65.4 |
| Braedon Bigott | - | 1 | 21.0 | 16.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 12.0 | - | - | - | 75.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | - | 75.2 | 81.2 |
| Ty Caswell | - | 1 | 26.0 | 15.0 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 11.0 | 17.0 | 35 | 1.3 | 3.0 | 45.5 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 0.35 | 65.6 | 63.6 |
| Ethan Duncan | - | 1 | 22.0 | 15.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 11.0 | 12.0 | 29 | 0.9 | 1.9 | 45.5 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 1.45 | 65.6 | 63.6 |
| Amondo Miller Jr. | - | 1 | 26.0 | 14.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 12.0 | 67 | 2.3 | 4.6 | 57.1 | 100.0 | 83.3 | 1.12 | 72.6 | 64.3 |
| Nathan Wilson | - | 1 | 24.0 | 13.0 | 16.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 26.0 | -70 | -2.5 | -8.3 | 50.0 | 0 | 60.0 | 0.45 | 53.3 | 50.0 |
| Shemar Smith | - | 1 | 12.0 | 13.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 14 | 0.7 | 2.4 | 71.4 | 0.0 | 60.0 | 0.46 | 70.7 | 71.4 |
| Reggie Hill | - | 1 | 20.0 | 13.0 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 20.0 | 107 | 5.3 | 32.9 | 80.0 | 66.7 | 75.0 | 0.38 | 96.2 | 100.0 |
| Will Shepherd | - | 1 | 20.0 | 13.0 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 18.0 | -30 | -1.1 | -4.1 | 62.5 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 1.02 | 77.0 | 75.0 |
| Antwan Taylor | - | 1 | 18.0 | 13.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | 37 | 2.3 | 121.8 | 85.7 | 50.0 | 0 | -0.75 | 92.9 | 92.9 |
| TJ Strong | - | 1 | 18.0 | 12.0 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 16.0 | -42 | -2.2 | -9.2 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.39 | 61.5 | 50.0 |
| Phil Dotson | - | 1 | 18.0 | 11.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 5.0 | -8 | -1.6 | -8.0 | 71.4 | 50.0 | 0.0 | -0.28 | 73.9 | 78.6 |
| Jalen Gilmore | - | 1 | 18.0 | 11.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 5.0 | -76 | -3.8 | -30.9 | 71.4 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0.08 | 73.9 | 78.6 |
| Sean Murphy | - | 1 | 12.0 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | 45 | 1.6 | 3.5 | 83.3 | 0 | 0 | 0.55 | 83.3 | 83.3 |
| Matija Svetozarevic | - | 1 | 21.0 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 5.0 | -31 | -1.3 | -5.0 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 0.67 | 50.6 | 44.4 |
| JC Curry | - | 1 | 21.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 6.0 | -15 | -0.7 | -2.1 | 42.9 | 0.0 | 60.0 | 0.78 | 48.9 | 42.9 |
| Daniel Ransom | - | 1 | 14.0 | 9.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | -96 | -3.7 | -13.7 | 60.0 | 0.0 | 75.0 | 1.06 | 66.6 | 60.0 |
| Kendall Dow | - | 1 | 17.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 58 | 2.0 | 32.7 | 50.0 | 60.0 | 0.0 | -0.02 | 69.9 | 75.0 |
| Bakari LaStrap | - | 1 | 18.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 36 | 1.9 | 14.1 | 80.0 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.34 | 76.5 | 80.0 |
| Jaylen Thompson | - | 1 | 19.0 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 33 | 1.4 | 4.5 | 66.7 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.04 | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Noah McDavid | - | 1 | 19.0 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 8.0 | -51 | -2.0 | -8.4 | 44.4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.57 | 44.4 | 44.4 |
| Efe Sekeroglu | - | 1 | 12.0 | 7.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 | 48 | 2.8 | 19.1 | 100.0 | 0 | 25.0 | 0.27 | 73.5 | 100.0 |
| Blessing Adesipe | - | 1 | 16.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 12.0 | -61 | -2.2 | -16.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 66.7 | 0.36 | 82.4 | 100.0 |
| Kendrick Delahoussaye | - | 1 | 23.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 5.0 | -33 | -1.6 | -6.6 | 28.6 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.09 | 38.1 | 28.6 |
| Najeeb Muhammad | - | 1 | 22.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 49 | 1.5 | 3.2 | 66.7 | 100.0 | 50.0 | 1.34 | 77.3 | 83.3 |
| Trey Thompson | - | 1 | 19.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | -33 | -1.3 | -34.3 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.26 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Dylan Walker | - | 1 | 9.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 40 | 8.0 | 442.4 | 75.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.24 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Pierre Sanders | - | 1 | 19.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 67 | 2.4 | 8.6 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 1.71 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| D.J. Freeman | - | 1 | 13.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | -107 | -5.3 | -24.3 | 40.0 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.32 | 42.5 | 40.0 |
| Vojin Mastilovic | - | 1 | 20.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 42 | 3.0 | 206.1 | 28.6 | 0 | 0 | -0.91 | 28.6 | 28.6 |
| Riley McGuirk | - | 1 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 16 | 1.1 | 29.8 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | -0.49 | 150.0 | 150.0 |
| Alex Anamekwe | - | 1 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 19 | 3.2 | 6.3 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.48 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Reagan Fiedler | - | 1 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | -1.0 | 46 | 3.3 | 2509.1 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.8 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Aaron Gonzales | - | 1 | 13.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 15 | 0.8 | 3.7 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.45 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Ricky Brown | - | 1 | 26.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | -48 | -1.9 | -4.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.49 | 17.4 | 0.0 |
| Zion Mitchell | - | 1 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | -3.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 17.4 | 0.0 |
| Damonze Woods | - | 1 | 20.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 56.8 | 0 |
| Jordan Reed | - | 1 | 19.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | -1.0 | -88 | -3.8 | -105.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 25.0 | -0.31 | 6.4 | 0.0 |
| Erik Madrid | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -35 | -1.6 | -54.8 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.46 | 0.0 | 0 |
| Matthew Veen | - | 1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -3 | -0.8 | -20.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.07 | 0 | 0 |
| Kollin Allbright | - | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7 | 1.8 | 98.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.38 | 0 | 0 |
| Darius Brady | - | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Chace Fields | - | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -5 | -1.7 | -23.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.91 | 0 | 0 |
| Devin Baccas | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| AJ Kula | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Albert McBride Jr. | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 67 | 2.3 | 4.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.12 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG