🐻⬇️🏀

Arlington Baptist

Also known as: Arlington Baptist
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 981 (#231) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 951 (#266) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → -14.1 (#304) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.024 (#592) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -17.6 More → 0.116 (#608) AdjNet -17.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -17.2 More → 0.116 (#605) AdjNet -17.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 77.6 | AdjD 93.1 More → 0.196 (#630) AdjO 77.6 | AdjD 93.1

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-12 vs Texas-Dallas L 73 - 82
2024-11-14 @ Okla. Baptist L 77 - 96
2024-11-16 @ Southern Ark. L 82 - 105
2024-11-19 @ Angelo St. L 58 - 101
2024-11-22 @ Southeastern Okla. L 74 - 94
2024-11-30 @ Lubbock Christian L 57 - 95
2024-12-20 @ Midwestern St. L 48 - 93

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Carvell Teasett - 1 22.0 22.0 1.0 4.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 22.0 59 2.8 15.4 75.0 83.3 100.0 0.07 107.8 106.2
Ethan Scott - 1 26.0 21.0 2.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 16.0 10.0 -52 -2.9 -12.7 43.8 46.7 0 0.2 65.6 65.6
Terry Coner Jr. - 1 27.0 20.0 3.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 3.0 18.0 6.0 -66 -2.2 -9.3 50.0 40.0 0 1.33 55.6 55.6
Sterling Gaston-Chapman - 1 29.0 20.0 12.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 17.0 19.0 -3 -0.1 -0.6 41.2 60.0 100.0 0.57 54.6 50.0
Kaden Evans - 1 27.0 17.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 13.0 8.0 -32 -1.3 -5.4 46.2 45.5 0 0.46 65.4 65.4
Braedon Bigott - 1 21.0 16.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 8.0 12.0 - - - 75.0 50.0 50.0 - 75.2 81.2
Ty Caswell - 1 26.0 15.0 8.0 5.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 11.0 17.0 35 1.3 3.0 45.5 50.0 100.0 0.35 65.6 63.6
Ethan Duncan - 1 22.0 15.0 2.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 11.0 12.0 29 0.9 1.9 45.5 50.0 100.0 1.45 65.6 63.6
Amondo Miller Jr. - 1 26.0 14.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 7.0 12.0 67 2.3 4.6 57.1 100.0 83.3 1.12 72.6 64.3
Nathan Wilson - 1 24.0 13.0 16.0 3.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 10.0 26.0 -70 -2.5 -8.3 50.0 0 60.0 0.45 53.3 50.0
Shemar Smith - 1 12.0 13.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 10.0 14 0.7 2.4 71.4 0.0 60.0 0.46 70.7 71.4
Reggie Hill - 1 20.0 13.0 10.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 20.0 107 5.3 32.9 80.0 66.7 75.0 0.38 96.2 100.0
Will Shepherd - 1 20.0 13.0 10.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 8.0 18.0 -30 -1.1 -4.1 62.5 50.0 100.0 1.02 77.0 75.0
Antwan Taylor - 1 18.0 13.0 5.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 14.0 37 2.3 121.8 85.7 50.0 0 -0.75 92.9 92.9
TJ Strong - 1 18.0 12.0 10.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 8.0 16.0 -42 -2.2 -9.2 50.0 0.0 100.0 0.39 61.5 50.0
Phil Dotson - 1 18.0 11.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 5.0 -8 -1.6 -8.0 71.4 50.0 0.0 -0.28 73.9 78.6
Jalen Gilmore - 1 18.0 11.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 5.0 -76 -3.8 -30.9 71.4 50.0 0.0 0.08 73.9 78.6
Sean Murphy - 1 12.0 10.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 7.0 45 1.6 3.5 83.3 0 0 0.55 83.3 83.3
Matija Svetozarevic - 1 21.0 10.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 9.0 5.0 -31 -1.3 -5.0 33.3 50.0 100.0 0.67 50.6 44.4
JC Curry - 1 21.0 9.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 6.0 -15 -0.7 -2.1 42.9 0.0 60.0 0.78 48.9 42.9
Daniel Ransom - 1 14.0 9.0 5.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 5.0 10.0 -96 -3.7 -13.7 60.0 0.0 75.0 1.06 66.6 60.0
Kendall Dow - 1 17.0 9.0 1.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 8.0 58 2.0 32.7 50.0 60.0 0.0 -0.02 69.9 75.0
Bakari LaStrap - 1 18.0 9.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 4.0 5.0 4.0 36 1.9 14.1 80.0 0 50.0 0.34 76.5 80.0
Jaylen Thompson - 1 19.0 8.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 6.0 8.0 33 1.4 4.5 66.7 0.0 0 0.04 66.7 66.7
Noah McDavid - 1 19.0 8.0 5.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 8.0 -51 -2.0 -8.4 44.4 0.0 0 0.57 44.4 44.4
Efe Sekeroglu - 1 12.0 7.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 3.0 10.0 48 2.8 19.1 100.0 0 25.0 0.27 73.5 100.0
Blessing Adesipe - 1 16.0 6.0 3.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 12.0 -61 -2.2 -16.0 100.0 0 66.7 0.36 82.4 100.0
Kendrick Delahoussaye - 1 23.0 6.0 3.0 4.0 2.0 1.0 4.0 7.0 5.0 -33 -1.6 -6.6 28.6 0.0 100.0 -0.09 38.1 28.6
Najeeb Muhammad - 1 22.0 6.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 5.0 49 1.5 3.2 66.7 100.0 50.0 1.34 77.3 83.3
Trey Thompson - 1 19.0 6.0 6.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 8.0 -33 -1.3 -34.3 50.0 0.0 0 -0.26 50.0 50.0
Dylan Walker - 1 9.0 6.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 6.0 40 8.0 442.4 75.0 0.0 0 -1.24 75.0 75.0
Pierre Sanders - 1 19.0 6.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 4.0 7.0 67 2.4 8.6 50.0 100.0 0 1.71 75.0 75.0
D.J. Freeman - 1 13.0 5.0 9.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 10.0 -107 -5.3 -24.3 40.0 0 50.0 0.32 42.5 40.0
Vojin Mastilovic - 1 20.0 4.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 7.0 2.0 42 3.0 206.1 28.6 0 0 -0.91 28.6 28.6
Riley McGuirk - 1 10.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 4.0 16 1.1 29.8 100.0 100.0 0 -0.49 150.0 150.0
Alex Anamekwe - 1 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 19 3.2 6.3 100.0 0 0 0.48 100.0 100.0
Reagan Fiedler - 1 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 -1.0 46 3.3 2509.1 33.3 0.0 0 -1.8 33.3 33.3
Aaron Gonzales - 1 13.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 15 0.8 3.7 33.3 0.0 0 0.45 33.3 33.3
Ricky Brown - 1 26.0 1.0 4.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 3.0 -48 -1.9 -4.7 0.0 0.0 50.0 0.49 17.4 0.0
Zion Mitchell - 1 8.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 -3.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 50.0 - 17.4 0.0
Damonze Woods - 1 20.0 1.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 4.0 - - - 0 0 50.0 - 56.8 0
Jordan Reed - 1 19.0 1.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 -1.0 -88 -3.8 -105.5 0.0 0.0 25.0 -0.31 6.4 0.0
Erik Madrid - 1 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 -35 -1.6 -54.8 0 0 0.0 -0.46 0.0 0
Matthew Veen - 1 6.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -3 -0.8 -20.9 0 0 0 -1.07 0 0
Kollin Allbright - 1 5.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 7 1.8 98.2 0 0 0 -1.38 0 0
Darius Brady - 1 4.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Chace Fields - 1 5.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -5 -1.7 -23.2 0 0 0 -0.91 0 0
Devin Baccas - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
AJ Kula - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Albert McBride Jr. - 1 3.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 67 2.3 4.6 0.0 0.0 0 1.12 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG