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Arkansas Tech

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Arkansas Tech
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 991 (#167) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1143 (#82) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 984 (#169) HCA +62 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.6 More → +20.0 (#34) HCA +2.6
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.6 More → +13.4 (#63) HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.648 (#114) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +17.9 More → 0.895 (#141) NetEff +17.9
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -75.6 More → 0.000 (#497) NetEff -75.6
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +20.9 More → 0.918 (#57) AdjNet +20.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +21.7 More → 0.926 (#53) AdjNet +21.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 80.7 | AdjD 65.8 More → 0.795 (#46) AdjO 80.7 | AdjD 65.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 72.5 | AdjD 69.4 More → 0.570 (#127) AdjO 72.5 | AdjD 69.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.757 (#80) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.716 (#95) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 125 | GP 25 More → 1073 (#115) RD 125 | GP 25

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 vs Tex. A&M Int'l W 102 - 71
2025-11-17 vs Champion Chris. W 118 - 56
2025-11-19 @ Ark.-Fort Smith W 75 - 69
2025-11-25 vs Delta St. W 77 - 75
2025-12-04 vs Northwestern Okla. L 66 - 72
2025-12-06 vs Southwestern Okla. W 71 - 63
2025-12-11 @ Henderson St. W 89 - 72
2025-12-15 vs Southern Ark. L 84 - 86
2026-01-03 vs Ouachita Baptist W 99 - 71
2026-01-10 @ Southern Nazarene W 63 - 55
2026-01-15 vs East Central W 71 - 69
2026-01-17 vs Southeastern Okla. W 96 - 71
2026-01-22 vs Harding - Incomplete score
2026-01-29 @ Southwestern Okla. - Incomplete score
2026-01-31 @ Northwestern Okla. - Incomplete score
2026-02-05 vs Southern Nazarene W 87 - 51
2026-02-07 vs Okla. Baptist W 80 - 75
2026-02-09 vs Ark.-Monticello W 75 - 69
2026-02-12 @ Harding L 50 - 72
2026-02-14 @ Ouachita Baptist W 93 - 86
2026-02-19 @ Southeastern Okla. L 56 - 74
2026-02-21 @ East Central L 60 - 62
2026-02-26 vs Henderson St. L 88 - 94
2026-02-28 @ Southern Ark. L 72 - 74
2026-03-06 @ Ouachita Baptist L 73 - 82
2026-03-07 @ Northwestern Okla. L 58 - 61

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Heidi Robinson - 1 34.0 19.0 2.0 3.0 1.0 2.0 4.0 13.0 10.0 -14 1 -14.0 -16.8 46.2 40.0 83.3 -2.08 60.7 53.8
Madeleine Tipton - 1 33.0 17.0 8.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 17.0 8.0 -1 1 -1.0 -1.2 29.4 20.0 83.3 0.0 43.3 35.3
Logan Young - 25 29.7 16.4 4.8 0.8 1.6 0.9 1.2 10.7 12.6 174 24 7.2 9.9 51.9 43.2 87.5 4.86 63.1 55.4
Samantha Watson - 1 24.0 13.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 11.0 3 1 3.0 5.2 57.1 100.0 80.0 0.39 70.7 64.3
Audri Winfrey - 1 36.0 13.0 9.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 9.0 15.0 -8 1 -8.0 -9.1 33.3 37.5 100.0 -0.7 60.4 50.0
AbbiGrace Cunningham - 25 22.9 11.1 5.7 1.0 0.2 0.5 1.6 8.8 8.1 46 24 1.9 3.4 41.8 31.5 82.3 -1.67 54.4 48.2
Perina Leime - 23 21.9 10.5 3.5 1.1 1.0 0.1 1.7 8.9 5.5 92 22 4.2 7.7 45.9 35.1 81.8 2.07 54.9 52.2
Jadah Pickens - 25 22.3 8.7 2.6 2.3 1.3 0.2 1.6 6.7 6.8 115 24 4.8 8.8 46.4 29.5 70.0 1.41 54.8 50.3
Dessie McCarty - 25 15.4 8.0 6.2 1.2 0.9 0.2 1.9 7.0 7.5 105 24 4.4 12.0 41.7 12.9 77.8 3.38 49.1 42.9
Abbey Harrison - 1 28.0 8.0 8.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 2.0 8.0 10.0 -1 1 -1.0 -1.4 37.5 0 100.0 -0.8 45.0 37.5
Shalyn Lyle - 25 24.3 6.3 3.3 2.9 1.2 0.3 2.1 5.8 6.2 157 24 6.5 11.3 34.7 21.4 79.3 3.38 46.6 38.9
Hayleigh Wyrick - 25 15.4 5.2 1.8 1.0 0.7 0.2 1.1 4.9 2.8 62 24 2.6 6.6 38.2 41.7 73.9 1.03 49.2 46.3
ClaraGrace Prater - 25 15.6 3.6 1.8 1.1 0.6 0.6 1.1 2.8 3.8 -1 24 0.0 -0.1 37.1 53.6 84.6 -3.36 54.6 47.9
Madelyn Atkins - 25 8.0 3.0 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.2 2.9 1.2 5 24 0.2 1.2 35.6 31.0 44.4 -2.21 48.1 47.9
Kayden Porter - 1 24.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 -2.0 -23 1 -23.0 -40.1 33.3 0.0 50.0 -4.12 38.7 33.3
Jaiden Smith - 25 12.5 3.0 1.5 0.4 0.7 0.0 0.4 2.7 2.6 11 24 0.5 1.5 32.8 27.8 81.0 -1.81 49.8 44.0
Mackenzie Heeke - 18 5.7 1.7 0.6 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.4 1.2 1.5 11 16 0.7 5.1 52.4 0.0 53.3 -1.16 54.3 52.4
Jessie Lyle - 14 4.7 1.5 0.4 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.4 1.8 0.4 28 13 2.2 16.6 36.0 25.0 0.0 0.97 41.3 42.0
Maya Bujak - 9 4.1 1.3 1.0 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.3 1.2 1.6 31 8 3.9 36.4 36.4 14.3 75.0 2.83 47.0 40.9
Marleigh Sellers - 25 7.4 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.0 0.4 1.2 1.4 -16 24 -0.7 -3.6 31.0 0.0 50.0 -4.18 33.2 31.0
Bree Hubbard - 1 10.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 -1.0 -8 1 -8.0 -31.5 0 0 0 -1.39 0 0
Austyn Oholendt - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Aubrey Henderson - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Brooke Smith - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Kennedi Scrivner - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 1 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 - 0 0
Ruby Trammell - 1 9.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 7 1 7.0 31.3 0 0 0 -0.19 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG