Arkansas Tech
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1269 (#22) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1275 (#20) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1172 (#29) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +20.7 (#44) | HCA +2.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +23.0 (#69) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.597 (#326) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.895 (#141) | NetEff +17.9 |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.000 (#497) | NetEff -75.6 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.896 (#209) | AdjNet +18.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.908 (#205) | AdjNet +19.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.769 (#199) | AdjO 74.3 | AdjD 61.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.774 (#41) | AdjO 80.4 | AdjD 66.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.889 (#38) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.878 (#35) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1319 (#11) | RD 107 | GP 19 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Tex. A&M Int'l | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-17 | vs | Champion Chris. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-19 | @ | Ark.-Fort Smith | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Delta St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-04 | vs | Northwestern Okla. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Southwestern Okla. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-09 | vs | Southern Ark. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-11 | @ | Henderson St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-15 | vs | Southern Ark. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Ouachita Baptist | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Southern Nazarene | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-15 | vs | East Central | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Southeastern Okla. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-22 | vs | Harding | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | Southwestern Okla. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Northwestern Okla. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-05 | vs | Southern Nazarene | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Okla. Baptist | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Young | - | 17 | 28.3 | 16.6 | 4.8 | 0.8 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 10.6 | 13.2 | 146 | 7.7 | 30.1 | 54.1 | 34.6 | 88.5 | 3.22 | 64.3 | 56.6 |
| AbbiGrace Cunningham | - | 17 | 21.5 | 11.5 | 5.4 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 1.7 | 8.5 | 8.6 | 16 | 0.8 | 4.9 | 44.8 | 37.9 | 86.3 | -3.56 | 58.5 | 52.4 |
| Perina Leime | - | 15 | 22.1 | 10.5 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 8.9 | 5.8 | 67 | 3.9 | 34.3 | 46.3 | 38.0 | 82.4 | 0.76 | 55.5 | 53.4 |
| Dessie McCarty | - | 17 | 16.4 | 8.9 | 6.6 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 1.8 | 7.4 | 9.2 | 117 | 6.2 | 57.6 | 42.4 | 14.8 | 77.8 | 4.44 | 51.1 | 44.0 |
| Jadah Pickens | - | 17 | 19.5 | 7.6 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 5.4 | 6.6 | 114 | 6.0 | 36.3 | 50.5 | 22.2 | 66.0 | 3.09 | 57.1 | 52.7 |
| Shalyn Lyle | - | 17 | 25.6 | 7.4 | 3.2 | 3.1 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 2.4 | 6.3 | 6.7 | 136 | 7.2 | 36.0 | 37.4 | 29.7 | 81.4 | 4.18 | 50.0 | 42.5 |
| Hayleigh Wyrick | - | 17 | 15.9 | 6.3 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 5.5 | 3.4 | 114 | 6.0 | 37.5 | 40.9 | 47.4 | 76.5 | 2.64 | 53.2 | 50.5 |
| Madelyn Atkins | - | 17 | 8.4 | 3.6 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 3.2 | 1.9 | 11 | 0.6 | 7.6 | 38.2 | 34.9 | 44.4 | -1.21 | 51.7 | 51.8 |
| Jaiden Smith | - | 17 | 15.3 | 3.5 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3.1 | 3.1 | 7 | 0.4 | 3.7 | 32.1 | 26.2 | 83.3 | -2.21 | 49.2 | 42.5 |
| ClaraGrace Prater | - | 17 | 13.9 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 2.7 | 4.1 | 59 | 3.1 | 21.9 | 39.1 | 44.4 | 80.0 | 0.71 | 54.7 | 47.8 |
| Mackenzie Heeke | - | 13 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 24 | 1.7 | 23.7 | 52.9 | 0.0 | 53.3 | -0.1 | 55.1 | 52.9 |
| Maya Bujak | - | 6 | 5.5 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 23 | 3.3 | 64.9 | 36.4 | 14.3 | 75.0 | 0.66 | 47.0 | 40.9 |
| Jessie Lyle | - | 11 | 5.2 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 41 | 3.4 | 92.2 | 39.1 | 27.3 | 0.0 | 2.41 | 44.8 | 45.7 |
| Marleigh Sellers | - | 17 | 8.0 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 12 | 0.6 | 8.7 | 29.2 | 0.0 | 25.0 | -1.24 | 29.1 | 29.2 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG