Arkansas State
2026-2027 Team Stats (3 games)
74.0
PPG
84.3
Opp
-10.3
Margin
36.4%
FG%
30.6%
3P%
49.2%
FT%
44.0
RPG
15.0
APG
13.0
TO
75.9
Est. poss./game
68.7
Adj PPG
73.8
Adj Opp PPG
#225
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2026-2027
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 874 (#216) | Preseason prior 930 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1020, returning -73, transfers -9, freshmen -7 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 949 (#208) | HCA +212 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 960 (#239) | HCA +212 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +0.9 (#147) | HCA +2.0 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +0.9 (#148) | HCA +2.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.309 (#225) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.439 (#188) | AdjNet -3.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.432 (#193) | AdjNet -4.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.412 (#225) | AdjO 68.7 | AdjD 73.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.419 (#240) | AdjO 68.7 | AdjD 73.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.432 (#192) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.433 (#192) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 941 (#202) | RD 180 | GP 3 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.454 (#160) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | vs | Toledo Rockets | W | 71 - 70 |
| 2026-11-06 | @ | Alabama Crimson Tide | L | 86 - 101 |
| 2026-11-10 | vs | UT Martin Skyhawks | L | 65 - 82 |
| 2026-11-14 | vs | Dillard Blue Devils | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-18 | vs | Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Layne Taylor
|
G | 3 | 32.3 | 17.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 13.7 | 14.0 | - | - | - | - | 48.8 | 39.1 | 66.7 | - | 60.3 | 59.8 |
Aaron McGee
|
G | 3 | 18.0 | 12.0 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 9.7 | 4.7 | - | - | - | - | 44.8 | 43.8 | 60.0 | - | 57.7 | 56.9 |
Tameron Ferguson
|
G | 2 | 26.0 | 10.5 | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 8.0 | 12.5 | - | - | - | - | 50.0 | 42.9 | 33.3 | - | 56.3 | 59.4 |
Jordan Pyke
|
F | 3 | 19.0 | 9.0 | 7.3 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 6.7 | 9.7 | - | - | - | - | 50.0 | 50.0 | 40.0 | - | 55.3 | 57.5 |
Chaz Watson
|
G | 3 | 19.3 | 7.3 | 3.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 2.7 | - | - | - | - | 29.2 | 26.3 | 60.0 | - | 42.0 | 39.6 |
Amadou Doumbia
|
F | 3 | 20.7 | 6.0 | 8.3 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 7.7 | 8.7 | - | - | - | - | 26.1 | 27.3 | 27.3 | - | 32.3 | 32.6 |
Royal Blue Smith
|
G | 3 | 20.0 | 5.7 | 3.3 | 3.3 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.3 | 2.7 | -31 | 2 | -15.5 | -25.2 | 17.9 | 20.0 | 40.0 | -1.82 | 26.2 | 23.2 |
Delang Muon
|
F | 3 | 19.7 | 4.3 | 4.3 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 5.7 | 4.3 | - | - | - | - | 29.4 | 0.0 | 60.0 | - | 33.9 | 29.4 |
Diggy Coleman
|
G | 2 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 5 | 1 | 5.0 | 74.1 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.02 | 69.4 | 50.0 |
Moussa Sy
|
F | 1 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
Anthony Hester
|
G | 2 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | -2 | 1 | -2.0 | -104.3 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | -0.35 | 150.0 | 150.0 |
Aliou Maiga
|
F | 3 | 9.0 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | - | 16.7 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 29.1 | 16.7 |
Rho Omed
|
F | 2 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 3 | 1 | 3.0 | 28.1 | 16.7 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.17 | 16.7 | 16.7 |
CJ Geathers
|
G | 3 | 4.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | -0.3 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 34.7 | 0.0 |
Grayson Bennett
|
F | 3 | 9.3 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.7 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
Alumni in the Pros
Former Arkansas State players in NBA 2026-2027, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last Arkansas State game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.
Active alumni
| Player | At School | League | Team | GP | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | Last game | Last 30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norchad Omier | 2020-22 | NBA | Cleveland Cavaliers | 2 | 7.7 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 11-09 0 pts, 3 reb, 2 ast | 2 GP, 0.0 PPG, 2.5 RPG, 1.5 APG |
Alumni around the leagues: recent games
| Date | Player | League | Team | Opponent | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | Box |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-09 | Norchad Omier | NBA | Cleveland Cavaliers | @ Charlotte Hornets | 12 | 0 | 3 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-11-06 | Norchad Omier | NBA | Cleveland Cavaliers | vs Philadelphia 76ers | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-10-16 | Norchad Omier | NBA Preseason | Minnesota Timberwolves | @ Chicago Bulls | 10 | 0 | 4 | 2 | Box |
2026-2027 Shot Zones
217 located field-goal attempts in 3 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Layne TaylorAaron McGeeJordan PykeChaz WatsonAmadou DoumbiaRoyal Blue SmithAnthony Hester
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 21-42 | 50.0 | 42 | Jordan Pyke 24% (10 pts) | Delang Muon 19% (8 pts) | Royal Blue Smith 19% (4 misses) | Amadou Doumbia 14% (3 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 20-58 | 34.5 | 40 | Aaron McGee 25% (10 pts) | Layne Taylor 20% (8 pts) | Jordan Pyke 16% (6 misses) | Layne Taylor 16% (6 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 4-5 | 80.0 | 8 | Layne Taylor 100% (8 pts) | - | Amadou Doumbia 100% (1 misses) | - |
| Mid-range center | 0-0 | - | 0 | - | - | - | - |
| Mid-range right | 0-1 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Royal Blue Smith 100% (1 misses) | - |
| Left corner 3 | 1-5 | 20.0 | 3 | Anthony Hester 100% (3 pts) | - | Layne Taylor 50% (2 misses) | Delang Muon 25% (1 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 4-9 | 44.4 | 12 | Aaron McGee 25% (3 pts) | Chaz Watson 25% (3 pts) | Aaron McGee 20% (1 misses) | Chaz Watson 20% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 12-41 | 29.3 | 36 | Layne Taylor 33% (12 pts) | Chaz Watson 25% (9 pts) | Chaz Watson 24% (7 misses) | Layne Taylor 17% (5 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 8-25 | 32.0 | 24 | Aaron McGee 25% (6 pts) | Jordan Pyke 25% (6 pts) | Layne Taylor 24% (4 misses) | Aaron McGee 18% (3 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 9-31 | 29.0 | 27 | Aaron McGee 22% (6 pts) | Amadou Doumbia 22% (6 pts) | Royal Blue Smith 23% (5 misses) | Amadou Doumbia 18% (4 misses) |