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Ark.-Monticello

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: Ark.-Monticello
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 921 (#436) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 957 (#341) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 806 (#670) HCA +75 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +1.8 (#149) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → +3.5 (#305) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.336 (#430) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -6.0 More → 0.315 (#331) NetEff -6.0
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -76.2 More → 0.000 (#531) NetEff -76.2
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +6.9 More → 0.688 (#324) AdjNet +6.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +7.7 More → 0.712 (#322) AdjNet +7.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 66.7 | AdjD 62.0 More → 0.607 (#321) AdjO 66.7 | AdjD 62.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 58.5 | AdjD 61.7 More → 0.427 (#500) AdjO 58.5 | AdjD 61.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.406 (#444) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.386 (#464) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 91 | GP 36 More → 810 (#462) RD 91 | GP 36

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 @ Ark.-Fort Smith W 60 - 45
2025-11-15 vs Southern Ark. L 76 - 79
2025-11-15 @ Newman W 61 - 54
2025-11-18 vs Ark. Baptist W 66 - 52
2025-11-19 vs Arkansas Tech L 69 - 75
2025-11-20 vs Crowley's Ridge W 73 - 24
2025-11-22 @ Delta St. L 57 - 61
2025-11-22 @ Southeastern Okla. L 74 - 86
2025-11-25 @ Truman St. L 64 - 66
2025-11-25 @ Mississippi Col. W 59 - 50
2025-11-26 @ Drury W 74 - 65
2025-11-29 vs Ouachita Baptist L 76 - 80
2025-12-02 @ Northeastern St. L 49 - 71
2025-12-04 vs Okla. Baptist L 62 - 68
2025-12-06 @ Newman L 60 - 77
2025-12-06 vs Southern Nazarene L 57 - 74
2025-12-09 vs Harding L 64 - 86
2025-12-13 @ Maryville (MO) L 59 - 80
2025-12-13 @ Ouachita Baptist L 60 - 87
2025-12-20 vs Drury L 47 - 49
2026-01-01 vs Pittsburg St. L 56 - 79
2026-01-03 vs Mo. Southern St. W 73 - 63
2026-01-03 @ Henderson St. L 41 - 76
2026-01-07 @ Rogers St. L 54 - 58
2026-01-10 @ Southeastern Okla. L 33 - 62
2026-01-10 @ Central Okla. L 54 - 62
2026-01-15 vs Northwestern Okla. L 62 - 77
2026-01-16 vs Northeastern St. L 53 - 67
2026-01-17 vs Southwestern Okla. W 71 - 59
2026-01-22 vs Southern Ark. L 75 - 77
2026-01-30 @ Southern Nazarene L 49 - 66
2026-01-31 @ Okla. Baptist L 60 - 65
2026-02-05 vs Southeastern Okla. L 52 - 57
2026-02-07 vs East Central L 48 - 65

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Alyssa Batton - 19 31.7 13.9 3.2 1.5 0.7 0.1 2.1 11.2 6.0 -110 -5.2 -17.3 40.4 32.5 81.5 -1.03 53.1 46.5
Alindsey Long - 19 33.0 11.7 2.2 1.8 1.1 0.6 1.6 11.9 3.8 -97 -4.6 -15.8 36.6 31.0 75.0 1.24 46.4 44.3
Telisha Brown - 9 25.0 11.1 2.0 2.9 1.2 0.0 2.6 9.9 4.8 -32 -2.0 -9.1 38.2 22.5 74.2 0.08 48.7 43.3
Haleigh Jackson - 15 27.9 9.4 5.1 1.3 0.5 0.4 2.1 9.4 5.3 -65 -3.1 -23.1 35.5 21.6 76.7 -1.24 44.1 38.3
Marie-Rose Priscilla BALOWA KASAMBU BABENESHA WEMBA - 15 23.4 8.9 6.1 0.7 0.5 0.5 2.3 7.9 6.5 - - - 45.4 0.0 61.9 - 48.7 45.4
Brilynn Findley - 19 30.9 8.4 4.9 3.1 1.4 0.2 3.1 6.0 8.9 -19 -0.9 -3.6 52.6 39.4 77.1 1.4 61.8 58.3
Keytonna Ross Wilson - 14 25.6 7.9 4.2 2.1 0.7 0.0 1.7 8.4 4.9 -19 -0.9 -7.1 35.9 26.1 73.7 -0.32 43.9 41.0
Jah'Mareah Linville - 13 20.8 7.8 4.1 1.4 1.1 0.3 2.2 7.8 4.6 -30 -1.7 -27.8 39.2 21.9 55.6 -0.31 44.8 42.6
Caiyiah Smith - 12 23.3 7.0 1.9 0.7 0.1 0.3 0.4 5.8 3.8 -53 -4.4 -241.8 40.0 33.3 65.5 -0.75 50.7 46.4
Jena Warden - 18 15.3 5.7 2.4 0.4 0.4 0.1 1.4 6.4 1.3 -30 -1.5 -12.1 32.2 16.2 65.7 0.44 39.5 34.8
DAjha Horton - 13 15.2 5.3 2.2 0.8 0.5 0.3 1.2 4.2 3.5 -26 -1.6 -12.1 41.8 44.4 78.9 0.01 54.5 49.1
Janae Southall - 10 13.8 5.0 1.0 0.6 0.6 0.1 1.0 5.1 1.2 -8 -0.8 -19.8 41.2 30.0 71.4 -0.87 46.2 44.1
Senese Rainey - 14 18.3 4.6 2.2 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.8 4.9 2.1 -36 -1.8 -27.9 33.8 36.0 20.0 0.54 46.3 47.1
Opal Hardy-Pearce - 19 20.4 4.6 4.1 0.5 0.7 0.7 1.8 3.9 4.8 -79 -3.8 -21.8 45.9 33.3 56.2 -2.39 50.0 47.3
Taleigha Ealy - 16 17.6 4.1 4.8 0.5 0.6 0.9 1.2 3.2 6.4 -32 -1.9 -8.0 42.3 0.0 67.7 -2.68 49.5 42.3
Taylor Addison - 4 13.3 4.0 0.8 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.8 4.2 0.0 -35 -5.8 -33.6 35.3 0.0 80.0 -1.13 41.7 35.3
Abby Summitt - 6 16.8 3.7 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.3 1.0 3.0 1.8 -9 -1.3 -16.5 38.9 40.0 100.0 -0.35 58.3 55.6
Harper Biley - 10 15.6 3.0 5.8 0.3 0.0 0.8 1.6 4.5 3.8 -47 -3.9 -35.1 26.7 0 50.0 -0.78 29.8 26.7
Layne Kirkendoll - 14 19.7 2.9 6.4 0.7 0.9 1.1 0.6 2.2 9.1 -68 -3.6 -24.2 45.2 0 48.0 -0.32 47.6 45.2
Jordan Gregory - 12 11.1 2.8 0.9 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.6 3.0 0.7 -10 -0.6 -4.5 30.6 35.5 0 0.18 45.8 45.8
Nicole Weaver - 18 19.2 2.6 3.2 0.6 0.4 0.1 1.0 2.0 3.9 -34 -1.7 -14.0 36.1 20.0 73.1 0.06 49.5 38.9
Ella Hamlin - 17 15.6 2.6 2.1 0.2 0.8 0.0 1.2 3.6 0.9 -19 -1.0 -10.9 30.6 15.8 44.4 -2.61 34.1 33.1
Keira Williams - 16 11.5 2.2 2.2 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.6 2.9 1.8 -22 -1.2 -19.9 32.6 0.0 54.5 -2.71 35.4 32.6
Jordan Gramlich - 8 7.3 1.2 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.1 1.2 2.0 -0.8 -5 -0.6 -4.6 25.0 20.0 0 -0.78 31.2 31.2
Ndidiamaka Chineke - 8 5.4 0.8 1.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.6 0.4 1.1 -34 -2.8 -31.7 33.3 0 50.0 -0.82 46.0 33.3
Shawna Beatty - 9 2.7 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.8 0.0 14 1.3 24.4 42.9 0 0 1.75 42.9 42.9
Madison Young - 1 2.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6 2.0 56.2 0 0 0 0.79 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG