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Ark.-Monticello

Season: 2026 2024 2021
Also known as: Ark.-Monticello
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1013 (#357) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1016 (#365) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 1041 (#203) HCA +56 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → +18.4 (#136) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.994 (#154) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +10.5 More → 0.770 (#246) AdjNet +10.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +10.1 More → 0.768 (#246) AdjNet +10.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 71.8 | AdjD 67.0 More → 0.607 (#288) AdjO 71.8 | AdjD 67.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 74.3 | AdjD 74.8 More → 0.488 (#435) AdjO 74.3 | AdjD 74.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.698 (#208) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.697 (#201) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 1053 (#282) RD 350 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-18 vs Hendrix W 87 - 57

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Ashton Price - 1 27.4 23.0 5.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 13.0 18.0 - - - 53.8 50.0 100.0 - 73.5 65.4
Josh Smith - 1 22.0 22.0 11.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 8.0 23.0 116 5.3 29.3 87.5 0 88.9 -0.06 92.0 87.5
Isaac Jackson - 1 27.2 12.0 7.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 10.0 12.0 - - - 60.0 0.0 0 - 60.0 60.0
Jakob Zenon - 1 30.0 11.0 3.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 4.0 12.0 1.0 - - - 33.3 30.0 0 - 45.8 45.8
Felix Smedjeback - 1 17.2 9.0 7.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 14.0 - - - 66.7 50.0 0 - 75.0 75.0
GianCarlo Valdez - 1 32.0 6.0 4.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 10.0 - - - 40.0 0.0 100.0 - 51.0 40.0
Bryson Hammond - 1 18.0 4.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 5.0 4.0 1.0 - - - 50.0 0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Elem Shelby - 1 18.9 0.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 4.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Jackson Birmingham - 1 7.3 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Gianssen Valdez - 1 7.3 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG