Ark.-Fort Smith
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 942 (#284) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 904 (#291) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +8.0 (#112) | HCA +2.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.388 (#406) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.646 (#183) | NetEff +4.9 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.786 (#280) | AdjNet +11.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.808 (#277) | AdjNet +12.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.669 (#276) | AdjO 72.3 | AdjD 64.6 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-08 | vs | Southern Ark. | L | 53 - 77 |
| 2024-11-09 | vs | Ark.-Monticello | W | 77 - 66 |
| 2024-11-13 | @ | Arkansas Tech | W | 88 - 85 |
| 2024-11-16 | vs | Tex. A&M Int'l | W | 60 - 57 |
| 2024-11-17 | vs | Southwest Baptist | W | 78 - 57 |
| 2024-11-23 | vs | Southeastern Okla. | W | 91 - 81 |
| 2024-11-26 | @ | Drury | L | 55 - 71 |
| 2024-11-27 | vs | Truman St. | W | 75 - 73 |
| 2024-12-03 | vs | Northeastern St. | W | 72 - 64 |
| 2024-12-07 | vs | Newman | W | 61 - 54 |
| 2024-12-21 | @ | Ouachita Baptist | L | 65 - 66 |
| 2025-01-02 | @ | Pittsburg St. | L | 71 - 91 |
| 2025-01-04 | @ | Mo. Southern St. | L | 79 - 91 |
| 2025-01-08 | vs | Rogers St. | W | 68 - 53 |
| 2025-01-12 | vs | Central Okla. | W | 85 - 74 |
| 2025-01-16 | @ | Northeastern St. | W | 81 - 75 |
| 2025-01-23 | @ | Newman | W | 96 - 54 |
| 2025-01-26 | @ | Emporia St. | W | 87 - 68 |
| 2025-01-30 | vs | Mo. Southern St. | L | 96 - 103 |
| 2025-02-01 | vs | Pittsburg St. | L | 87 - 92 |
| 2025-02-06 | @ | Neb.-Kearney | L | 52 - 75 |
| 2025-02-08 | @ | Fort Hays St. | L | 62 - 82 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qua Chambers | - | 1 | 29.0 | 21.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 | 21.0 | 48 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 80.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0.36 | 96.5 | 95.0 |
| Addy Tremie | - | 1 | 31.0 | 16.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 13.0 | 10 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 66.7 | 66.7 | 0 | 0.06 | 88.9 | 88.9 |
| Camille Pritchard | - | 1 | 23.0 | 16.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 15.0 | -109 | -2.9 | -5.1 | 40.0 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 0.74 | 63.3 | 50.0 |
| Bailey Harris | - | 1 | 33.0 | 15.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 13.0 | 6.0 | -9 | -1.1 | -4.1 | 53.8 | 25.0 | 0 | 0.66 | 57.7 | 57.7 |
| Morgan Browning | - | 22 | 31.6 | 13.4 | 2.8 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 2.4 | 11.5 | 5.5 | - | - | - | 36.6 | 28.6 | 76.1 | -0.16 | 48.8 | 41.7 |
| Anna Trusty | - | 21 | 29.0 | 13.1 | 5.9 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 11.3 | 9.1 | - | - | - | 42.9 | 36.6 | 85.7 | 0.42 | 53.2 | 49.2 |
| Haleigh Crews | - | 1 | 25.0 | 13.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 16.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 31.2 | 66.7 | 100.0 | 0.49 | 39.5 | 37.5 |
| Marlee Bright | - | 1 | 30.0 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | 4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 71.4 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.78 | 69.8 | 71.4 |
| Crystal Ortiz | - | 1 | 24.0 | 10.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 11.0 | 11.0 | 38 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 45.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.12 | 45.5 | 45.5 |
| Alindsey Long | - | 1 | 33.0 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 2.0 | -61 | -1.7 | -2.0 | 40.0 | 25.0 | 50.0 | -0.42 | 46.0 | 45.0 |
| Sinetra Jones | - | 22 | 18.3 | 9.5 | 6.0 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 2.2 | 7.4 | 8.2 | -46 | -1.9 | -3.7 | 56.4 | 42.9 | 56.4 | -0.42 | 58.0 | 57.4 |
| Zyniah Thomas | - | 22 | 26.9 | 8.7 | 3.7 | 3.3 | 1.8 | 0.1 | 3.5 | 8.9 | 5.1 | - | - | - | 35.9 | 28.1 | 71.7 | 0.03 | 44.4 | 40.5 |
| Daijah Smith | - | 10 | 17.6 | 8.2 | 3.2 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 6.2 | 5.7 | 54 | 2.8 | 4.4 | 48.4 | 47.8 | 84.6 | 0.12 | 60.5 | 57.3 |
| Elena Lijo-Rodriguez | - | 1 | 29.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 8.0 | -6 | -0.2 | -0.2 | 57.1 | 0 | 0 | 0.57 | 57.1 | 57.1 |
| Telisha Brown | - | 21 | 19.7 | 7.9 | 2.6 | 2.4 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 5.8 | 7.0 | -7 | -0.2 | -0.3 | 42.6 | 34.6 | 63.2 | 0.03 | 54.3 | 50.0 |
| Hannah Boyett | - | 22 | 18.0 | 6.3 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 6.1 | 2.7 | - | - | - | 32.8 | 34.3 | 77.8 | -0.31 | 48.6 | 46.3 |
| Chloe Wilbanks | - | 1 | 18.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | -17 | -0.6 | -0.8 | 50.0 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.37 | 61.5 | 50.0 |
| Cha'Myrean Ellis | - | 1 | 23.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 0 | 25.0 | - | 52.5 | 66.7 |
| Olivia Johnson | - | 14 | 18.1 | 3.6 | 2.9 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 5.1 | 2.5 | 3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 25.0 | 14.3 | 90.9 | 0.07 | 32.5 | 27.8 |
| Layne Kirkendoll | - | 22 | 16.3 | 3.1 | 6.1 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 2.2 | 8.6 | 3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 51.0 | 0 | 52.8 | 0.23 | 53.2 | 51.0 |
| Jordan Gregory | - | 18 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 2.7 | 1.0 | -21 | -0.8 | -2.5 | 35.4 | 24.1 | 72.2 | -0.15 | 48.3 | 42.7 |
| Kelsey Blakemore | - | 1 | 17.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 100.0 | 0 | 0.57 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Sofia Mcnabb | - | 1 | 17.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 50 | 1.4 | 4.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.26 | 20.5 | 0.0 |
| Ti'Alone Banks | - | 1 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 22 | 4.4 | 14.3 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.19 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Riley Stanford | - | 1 | 13.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | -3.0 | 17 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.18 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Kennedee Shelton | - | 1 | 15.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | -3.0 | -43 | -1.3 | -2.3 | 16.7 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.03 | 16.7 | 16.7 |
| Nicole Weaver | - | 1 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | -1.0 | -84 | -2.4 | -4.7 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.8 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Haylee Mitchell | - | 1 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -1.0 | 10 | 0.6 | 3.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.14 | 17.4 | 0.0 |
| Madison Young | - | 22 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | -44 | -1.5 | -2.2 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | -0.58 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Brooklyn Woolsey | - | 21 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | -0.0 | - | - | - | 20.0 | 20.0 | 0 | - | 30.0 | 30.0 |
| Abby Summitt | - | 12 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.14 | 0 | 0 |
| Mckenzie Piper | - | 1 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.23 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Johnna Brockman | - | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | -59 | -1.7 | -3.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.44 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Shiloh Fletcher | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.18 | 0 | 0 |
| Serenity Golightly | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -26 | -1.2 | -3.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.24 | 0 | 0 |
| Jada Gasaway | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Pashonnay Johnson | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.06 | 0 | 0 |
| Mahogany Pierce | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -2 | -0.1 | -0.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.13 | 0 | 0 |
| Jayla Stirgus | - | 1 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.44 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Ella Mask | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.47 | 0 | 0 |
| Ashley Wallace | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Taleigha Ealy | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 15 | 2.1 | 3.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.12 | 0 | 0 |
| Alyssa Batton | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | -80 | -2.2 | -3.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.86 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG